Macroeconomics Flashcards

(49 cards)

1
Q

What is demography? (1)

A
  • Identifies trends in populations over time e.g. ageing population, fewer younger people - greater need for govt investment, supply side policies, investment in tech
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2
Q

What are the GDP limits of the EU? (2)

A
  • Debt to GDP ratio - 40%
  • Upper deficit limit - 3%
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3
Q

What are socio-economic changes? (3)

A
  • Environmental change
  • Demographic
  • Global economy
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4
Q

What are the major trends in the global economy? (5)

A
  • Growth in emerging markets
  • International trade
  • Financial globalisation
  • Technology change
  • Increased demand for commodities
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5
Q

What is PPI? (1)

A
  • Producer’s price index (cost of inputs) indicates inflation expectations. If a producer is spending more on suppliers (inputs), they will pass the cost onto the consumer in the form of higher prices
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6
Q

What are some leading economic indicators? (3)

A
  • Consumer or business surveys
  • Money supply and credit growth
  • Stock market movements
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7
Q

What are some lagging economic indicators? (1)

A
  • Unemployment levels (moves 3 or 4 quarters after the output itself changes)
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8
Q

What is a coincident indicator? (3)

A
  • Industrial production
  • GDP move with the economy
  • National Bureau of Economic Research measures this in the US
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9
Q

How is government borrowing monitored? (4)

A
  • Public Sector Net Cash Requirement (another name for a budget deficit)
  • Deficit = borrowing > revenue
  • Surplus = revenue > borrowing
  • Anything to do with govt spending/borrowing = fiscal
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10
Q

What is inflation? (2)

A
  • A general rise in average price level over a period of time
  • Fall in purchasing power
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11
Q

What are the measures of inflation? (2)

A
  • RPI - price of a weighted basket of goods purchased by the average household. If price of goods in a basket increases, so will the index value. Index linked gilts are linked to RPI - using a level 3 months prior to any payment date
  • CPI - monetary policy committee sets a CPI target of 2% - took over from RPI in 2003 as measure of inflation
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12
Q

What is the base rate? (2)

A
  • Monetary tool used by the MPC in the BoE to influence interest rates
  • 0.5% is the target base rate
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13
Q

What are the various stock market movements in an economic cycle? (5)

A
  • Bull market - rising price trend
  • Bear market - falling price trend
  • Contrarian approach - doing the opposite of the trend e.g. buying when the trend is selling (long)
  • Cyclical companies - firms the do well when the economy is doing well, but do badly when there is a downturn e.g. luxury goods and house builders
  • Counter cyclical companies - firms that do well when the economy is in a downturn and not so well when the economy is booming e.g. cheaper alternatives
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14
Q

What is the balance of payments? (1)

A
  • Net flow of funds into or out of the uK
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15
Q

What is the current account on the BoP? (5)

A
  • Current account = trade position of the UK - net exports - (X-M).
  • Current account includes cash flow from visibles such as physical goods e.g. coal, steel and invisibles such as tourism, services, banking
  • The total of the current account = balance of trade
  • Exports > imports = BoP surplus - correct this by
  • Import > export = BoP deficit
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16
Q

What is the current account on the BoP? (4)

A
  • Capital account = includes FDI - domestically and abroad
  • Measures investment relationship of the UK with the rest of the world
  • Longer term aspect of BoP
  • Net impact of UK investors in foreign investments and non-UK investors in the UK
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17
Q

What is the relationship between BoP and exchange rates? (1)

A
  • If demand for a foreign good increases, imports will increase and the price of the currency will also increase, eventually making imports more expensive
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18
Q

What are the indicators of government borrowing? (5)

A
  • Public sector net cash requirement
  • This is the difference between what the government has spent in the public sector and what is has generated in income
  • Central government net cash requirement
  • Local government net cash requirement
  • Public corporations net cash requirements
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19
Q

What are the measurements of inflation? (3)

A
  • CPI - consumer price index, harmonised index of consumer prices
  • RPI - retail price index
  • RPIX - adjusted to strip out mortgage payments
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20
Q

What is inflation, deflation and disinflation? (3)

A
  • Inflation - general rise in price level - RPI is 3%
  • Deflation - general fall in price level - RPI is 0.5%
  • Disinflation - inflation at a negative rate - RPI moves from 3% to 2%
21
Q

What are the 2 types of inflation? (2)

A
  • Demand pull inflation - rise in price level from increase in aggregate demand in economy
  • Cost push inflation - rise in price level from increase costs e.g. wages and price of raw materials
22
Q

What is monetary policy? (7)

A
  • When the BoE implements policies controlling the money supply (QE) and interest rates
  • IR rise, people save more and borrow less - contractionary monetary policy
  • IR fall, people spend more, save less - expansionary monetary policy
  • Monetary Policy Committee set the interest rates
  • Government inflation target of 2%. If inflation is below 1% or above 3%, MPC need to explain why
  • Monetary policy is more effective for short term intervention
  • Monetary policy primarily used to control inflation
23
Q

What are retail sales? (1)

A
  • Measures the volume of sales in the retail sector
  • If retail sales fall, consumers spend less, save more
24
Q

What is unemployment? (1)

A
  • When someone will is willing and able to supply themselves to the labour market, but cannot find paid work
25
What are the types of unemployment? (4)
- Structural - supply side - mismatch between jobs and skills - Frictional - moving between jobs - Seasonal - demand during certain seasons e.g. ski instructor - Cyclical - demand side shocks/layoffs - recessionary
26
What are indicators of the health of an economy? (5)
- Inflation - Level of unemployment - Stock market indicies - PSNCR - GDP - Net exports
27
What is the impact of unemployment? (2)
- Higher benefits, less tax revenue - May lead to increased wages, inflation
28
How do stock market indices indicate the health of an economy? (2)
- Current share prices reflecting the future expectation for each company - Current index values are rising
29
What are the components of aggregate demand? (4)
- Consumption - Income - Government spending - Net exports (X-M)
30
What is the balance of payments? (3)
- Made up of 2 accounts - Current account - exports-imports position (goods and services) - Capital account - includes FDI abroad and at home
31
What is a current account deficit? (3)
- Imports > exports - Allowing currency to depreciate corrects this - Domestic goods cheaper, exports more expensive
32
What is a current account surplus? (3)
- Exports > imports - Appreciation in the currency to correct this - SPICED - imports cheaper, exports more expensive
33
What is GDP? (5)
- Measures economic growth - Market value of goods and services produced WITHIN a country - Includes foreign owned produced in the UK - Does not include UK produced goods abroad
34
What is GNP? (2)
- Market value of goods and services produced BY a country - All UK produced goods, including abroad
35
What are the injections into the circular flow of money? (3)
- Exports - current account - Investment - financial institutions - Government spending - fiscal policy
36
What are withdrawals from the circular flow of money?
- Imports - fx rates - Savings - monetary policy - Taxes - fiscal policy
37
What is the equation for an economy that is in equilibrium?
- G + X + I = I + T + S
38
What is aggregate demand? (1)
- Total amount of demand for all finished goods and services produced in an economy
39
What is the consumption function? (2)
- C = a + bYd - Higher the gradient, the higher the marginal propensity to consume
40
What is fiscal policy? (4)
- Government policy based on taxation and government spending - If spending is more than taxation, there is a budget deficit - expansionary - If spending is less than taxation, there is a budget surplus - contractionary - If government spending equals tax - balanced budget
41
How does a budget deficit impact the Public Sector Net Cash Requirement? (3)
- Government/DMO needs to issue more gilts - More gilts issues, price falls, yield increases - If government bonds, default risk free rate - more likely to invest. Can lead to crowding out of corporate securities
42
What is the Keynesian multiplier? (2)
- An increase in income leads to a disproportionate increase in MPC - Multiplier effect
43
What is monetary policy? (3)
- When central banks use QE and interest rates to influence the economy - IR rise - QE decreases = contractionary - IR falls - QE increases = expansionary
44
How can central banks influence the money supply? (4)
- Quantitative easing - increasing money supply on bank balance sheet - Forward guidance - central banks drop hints of future rates - Sterilisation - adjusting money supply in order to compensate for balance of payments surpluses/deficits - Crowding out - govt gilts more attractive, crowing out corporate debt
45
What is fractional reserve banking? (2)
- Multiplier effect extends to banks - money multiplier - Banks receive a deposit of £1000. They will then lend £900. That then gets spent again with some in reserves
46
How is credit control regulated? (3)
- BoE - Banks, capital ratios - FCA/PRA - capital and liquidity requirements under Basel Accord
47
What is the quantity theory of money? (5)
- Fisher equation - MV = PT (money velocity in circulation = price x transactions) - Changes in price levels are mainly caused by changes in the money supply - 5% increase in money supply = 5% increase in prices - 5% decrease in money supply = 5% decrease in prices
48
What is the short run Phillips Curve? (3)
- Short run Phillips Curve looks at the relationship between inflation and unemployment - Constant expected inflation and the natural rate of unemployment - Unanticipated increase in AD lowers unemployement and increases inflation
49
What is the long run Phillips curve? (1)
- Unanticipated inflation will cause short run fluctuations around the natural rate but wages eventually adjust and the economy returns to natural state