Practice Test 2 Flashcards
A business firm that has sold a commodity which is not owned and has hedged with a purchase of futures is said to be:
a. Short the basis
b. Long the basis
c. A short hedger
d. Both b and c
a. Short the basis
An individual is “short the basis” when he is short the cash commodity. Examples would be the grain exporter who has entered into a contract to supply grain at a fixed price for delivery at a later date, and who does not currently own the grain. Another example would be a plywood dealer who has sold plywood to a home builder for delivery at today’s price. Delivery will not be made for six months, and the dealer does not currently own the cash plywood. A third example would be a flour miller who has contracted to supply flour to a bakery over the next 12 months, and who has not yet purchased the wheat.
In all of the above examples, the business firm has committed itself to deliver a commodity at a fixed price sometime in the future. The firm does not own the cash commodity and is concerned with a price rise. It will therefore hedge buying futures (long hedge).
The terms “long the basis” and “short hedger” both apply to the hedger who is long the cash commodity. As he would be concerned with a price decline, he will sell futures. An example of a business that is long the basis (long cash) and who would sell futures (short hedge) is the grain elevator operator who has grain in inventory. He will sell futures to protect against falling prices.
Which of the following is NOT considered to be part of carrying charges:
a. Storage costs
b. Interest
c. Transportation
d. Insurance
c. Transportation
Transportation is not considered part of carrying charges.
Firms are required to keep a record of all option complaints.
a. True
b. False
a. True
This is true. NFA Rule 2-18 requires that the firm keep a copy of all option complaints they receive and make a notation concerning the action taken to resolve the situation.
The term “reversal chart” would apply to a:
a. Bar chart
b. Line chart
c. Point and figure chart
d. Moving average chart
c. Point and figure chart
Point and figure charts are handled differently than bar charts. In a bar chart, the high and low range for the day, plus the closing price, are plotted on the chart. In a point and figure chart, this is not done. In this type of chart, the analyst first determines the scale he will use. The scale might be 1/2 cent, or 1 cent, or any other variation that he chooses. Whatever scale is decided upon then determines what will be plotted on the chart.
Let’s assume that the analyst determines that he will use a 1 cent scale. He will make entries on his chart only if the price of the commodity advances or declines by one cent. It does not matter over how long a period this change takes place. As soon as the change upward or downward is 1 cent, an entry will be made. Let’s assume that the initial price of the commodity is $4.10. The commodity trades the following day up to a high of $.10 3/4. No entry will be made on the chart at all because the price has not varied by the scale amount of 1 cent. The next day, the commodity advances to $4.11 1/4. Since the advance was over 1 cent from the initial starting price, an entry would be made on the chart. The commodity does not fluctuate over the next three days more than 1/4 point, so no entries will be made. On the following day, however, the commodity advances to $4.13. Since the change in price was over 1 cent, another entry would be made on the chart.
On the following day, the commodity drops in price to $4.12 1/2. As this is a change of less than 1 cent, no entry is made. The next day, the price drops again, to $4.11 3/4. As the change was now over one cent, another entry would be made.
Note that prices are plotted when they either advance or decline by the amount that the analyst has determined as his variation. If the price has advanced, and then reverses itself and declines by the amount of the variation (in this case 1 cent), an entry is made on the chart. This is the reason why the point and figure chart is also referred to as a “reversal chart.”
A trader buys a corn contract at $1.25. Margin is 12 cents a bushel and the commission is $30. The contract size is 5,000 bushels. If he sells the contract at $1.31, his profit is:
a. 50%
b. 45%
c. 15%
d. 5%
b. 45%
The question states that margin is 12 cents a bushel. Therefore, multiply the margin of 12 cents by the number of bushels (5,000) to indicate a margin deposit of $600. The question further states that the price advances by 6 cents a bushel. Therefore, multiply 6 cents by the number of bushels in the contract, to indicate an advance of $300. The customer’s gross profit is therefore $300. From this profit of $300, we must deduct the commission of $30, to indicate a net profit of $270. In order to determine his margin of profit on his investment, we would divide the net profit of $270 by the total amount of his investment ($600), which indicates a profit of 45%.
There is a maximum discount at which a distant futures month can sell under a near futures month.
a. True
b. False
b. False
In an inverted market (also called a discount market), cash is selling above futures, and nearby futures are selling above distant futures. There is no maximum amount of discount between nearby futures and distant futures. In a premium market, where cash is selling for less than futures, and the nearby futures are less than distant futures, there is a maximum premium that distant futures may sell above near futures. This maximum premium is the amount of the carrying charges. However, although there is a maximum premium in a carrying charge market, there is no maximum discount in an inverted market.
If an investor is long a put option on a financial futures contract and he decides to exercise, he will assume a:
a. Long futures position
b. Short futures position
c. Long actuals position
d. Short actuals position
b. Short futures position
Anyone who buys or is long a put option on a financial future will assume a short futures position if the option is exercised.
Margin due from a clearing house member based upon the settlement price is payable to the clearing house:
a. 24 hours after the call
b. 1 hour after the call
c. Before the market opens the next business day
d. None of the above
c. Before the market opens the next business day
A member firm is required to deposit both original and variation margin with the clearing house before the opening of trading on the following day. In the event that the market for a commodity is particularly volatile, the clearing house has the right to demand immediate margin. This emergency margin would have to be deposited by the member firm within one hour.
The sale of corn futures by a hog feeder is a bona fide hedge.
a. True
b. False
b. False
Since the hog feeder is short the basis (does not own corn), he will establish a long hedge.
When nearby futures are below the deferred futures, the market is called:
a. A discount market
b. An inverted market
c. A regular market
d. A normal market
d. A normal market
A “normal market,” which is also called a “premium market” and a “carrying charge market,” is one in which the cash price is lower than the futures prices, and the price of near futures is lower than the price of deferred futures.
If the cash price is higher than the price of futures, and the price of near futures is higher than the price of deferred futures, the market is called an “inverted market” or a “discount market.”
To liquidate a long position when the futures price reaches a certain level above the existing price, one would enter:
a. A sell stop order
b. A buy stop order
c. A sell limit order
d. A fill or kill order
c. A sell limit order
A trader liquidates a long position by selling. If he wants to liquidate a long position at a price that is above the current market, he will enter a sell limit order. This is an order that may be executed only at or above the price specified in the order. For example, an individual might have bought a contract of plywood at 115. He anticipates that the price will advance to 120, at which price he wants to sell in order to take his profit. He will enter a limit order to sell at 120. If the contract trades up to this price, the broker will sell, but under no circumstances will he accept less than 120.
The sell stop order is placed below the market. This type of order will be entered by a trader who has a long position and who wants to limit his loss on the downside. In the above example, the trader who bought the contract at 115 and anticipated an advance to 120 realizes that the price could drop, in which case he will suffer a loss. Therefore, he might enter a sell stop order at 110, which instructs the broker to sell at the market if the contract sells down to or below 110.
The buy stop order is placed above the market. It is used to limit a loss on a short position. The trader might have sold short at 120, anticipating a drop in price. However, as he realizes the price could also advance, causing a loss, he will enter an order to buy at 125. If the contract rises to 125 or higher, the broker will buy it at the market.
A fill or kill order is an order to be executed immediately when the broker enters the trading pit. He may do all or part of the order. If any part of the order cannot be completed immediately, it will be canceled.
The agency responsible for floor brokers and floor traders is the:
a. NFA
b. CFTC
c. Exchange
d. NASD
b. CFTC
The CFTC is the agency responsible for the commodity industry including floor brokers and floor traders. An exchange is a membership organization. The NFA is an industry association. Both the exchange and the NFA are DSROs (Designated Self-Regulatory Organizations). The CFTC is the independent federal agency that has overall responsibility to regulate the futures industry.
The primary significance of volume and open interest lies in:
a. Their respective changes in connection with price changes
b. Their changes in connection with each other
c. Whether their size is large or small
d. Their relationship to the size of the crop
a. Their respective changes in connection with price changes
Volume and open interest figures are used by technical analysts to estimate the course of the market. Volume figures measure the total number of contracts that are traded. Open interest is the total number of contracts that have been established and that have not yet been liquidated.
Some technical analysts think that changes in volume and the direction of the market can be reliable indicators of the trend of the market. For example, if the market is increasing in price and the volume is also increasing at the same time, this could indicate a continuing uptrend. If the market declines in price and the volume increases as the price declines, this could indicate a continuing downtrend in the market.
Technical analysts also use the trend of prices and open interest to make judgements about the future course of the market. For example, if the open interest is increasing, this means that new buyers and new sellers are entering the market. If the price increases at the same time the open interest increases, the market is considered to be technically strong. The reasoning behind this analysis is that the new longs are increasing their buying power as the price advances and will be able to assume new positions. The shorts, on the other hand, are suffering losses as the market advances and can be expected to start closing out their positions to cut their losses. Shorts close out their positions by buying the commodity, and this will add more buying pressure to the market, thus causing further price advances.
At the top of the market, some longs will attempt to sell to realize their profit, but will find that new buyers are not interested in entering the market at prices that they consider to be too high. The longs will therefore have to offer their contracts at progressively lower prices and the market will drop. Since new buyers are not entering the market, the longs will be selling to the existing shorts and the open interest will be declining. This type of market is technically weak and is called a “liquidating market.”
An RCR may enter an order for a customer who is currently undermargined if the customer assures him that a remittance is under way.
a. True
b. False
a. True
The margin rules of the Chicago Board of Trade require that a member may not accept orders for new transactions from a customer unless the minimum initial margin on the new transaction is deposited and the margin on established positions is at least equal to maintenance requirements of the exchange. However, if a customer states that funds required to fully margin his account are being transmitted at once, the member firm may accept this as adequate for a reasonable period of time and may allow the customer to establish a new position.
A hedged position does not guarantee full price protection against adverse price movements because:
a. The basis may change
b. The actual position held in inventory may not be an exact multiple of the futures contract
c. The basis grade may differ from the hedger’s cash position
d. All of the above
d. All of the above
All of the factors listed in the answer are correct statements. The purpose of a hedge is to protect the hedger against losses on his cash position. If the hedge is perfect, which means that there is no change in the basis between the hedger’s cash price and his futures price when the hedge is placed and when it is lifted, the hedge would be the purchase of cash wheat at $2.50 and the sale of futures at $2.60, with the hedge lifted when cash wheat is $2.30 and futures are $2.40. The basis was 10 cents under (cash was 10 cents less than futures) when the hedge was placed and when the hedge was lifted.
Few hedges are perfect, and therefore the hedger could still suffer a loss if the basis changes in an adverse direction. The hedge will still afford him protection against most of the loss due to adverse price change, but will not afford him full protection. Let’s examine the reasons why the hedge might not be completely effective.
An adverse change in the basis could result in a loss. Let’s assume that a hedger is long 1,000 tons of sugar. He buys the sugar for 38.70 and hedges when the price of futures is 39.90. His basis is therefore 1.20 cents under. His cash price of 38.70 is 1.2 cents under his futures price of 39.90. Since he is long 1,000 tons of sugar, he will establish a selling hedge by selling 20 sugar contracts (a contract in sugar is 50 tons). If the price of cash and futures rises or falls by exactly the same amount when the hedge is lifted, he will have neither profit nor loss. However, if the price of cash should drop more than the price of futures, he would suffer a loss. Let’s assume that the price drops for both cash and futures. The cash price drops to 38.20 and the futures price drops to 39.50. His basis is now 1.30 under. Since the basis widened, he will suffer a loss. The following shows his initial and closeout positions.
## Cash Futures Basis Buy 1,000 tons at 38.70 Sell 20 contracts at 39.90 1.20 under Sell 1,000 tons at 38.20 Buy 20 contracts at 39.50 1.30 under Loss .50 Profit .40 The hedger has a loss of 50 points (1/2 cent per pound) on his cash position. This was only partially offset by his profit of 40 points on his futures. His net loss was therefore 10 points, which is 1/10th of a cent per pound. As he was long 2,400,000 pounds (1,000 long tons at 2,400 pounds each), his net loss on the hedge was $2,400 (2,400,000 times .001). Had he not hedged his position, however, his loss would have been the full 1/2 cent per pound, or $11,200.
Another reason why a hedge might not be fully effective is if the hedger’s cash position is not a multiple of the futures contract. For example, if the sugar hedger was long 1,030 tons, he would have to hedge either 20 contracts and remain vulnerable for 30 tons on his cash position, or 21 contracts, which would leave him vulnerable for 20 tons on his futures position. If he hedged 20 contracts and the price dropped, he would bear the full extent of the loss on 30 tons. If he hedged 21 contracts and the price advanced, he would bear the full extent of the loss on 20 tons.
A third reason why a hedge might not be fully effective is because the basis grade of the commodity that is traded might differ from the hedger’s cash position. The factors that affect the basis grade might not be the same as the factors that affect the cash grade. For example, an individual might be long No. 1 wheat and he hedges on the Chicago board of Trade, where the basis grade is No. 2 wheat. No. 1 wheat might drop by 1 cent a bushel, while No. 2 wheat drops by only 3/4 cent a bushel, because of different supply and demand factors between the two grades of wheat. His loss of 1 cent on his cash wheat will only be partially offset by his gain of 3/4 cent on his selling hedge of No. 2 wheat.
A customer is long five contracts of sugar at 7.55. He offsets the position when sugar is 8.55. Round-turn commissions are $30. The size of the contract is 112,000 lbs. The net profit is:
a. $1,090
b. $1,120
c. $5,450
d. $5,600
c. $5,450
The net profit is $5,450, calculated as follows:
##
All of the following are advantages of futures trading EXCEPT:
a. Provides an alternative market for the commodity which increases liquidity of inventory
b. Buyers and sellers are able to deal directly with each other
c. The cost of financing is lowered through hedging
d. The value or price of a commodity is constantly being established
b. Buyers and sellers are able to deal directly with each other
All are advantages of futures trading except that buyers and sellers can deal directly with each other. When a futures contract is entered into by a buyer and a seller, it is done through a brokerage firm that is a member of the exchange. The buyer and the seller are not aware of each other’s identity, and there is no direct dealing between them.
The futures market does provide an alternate channel for the marketing of the cash commodity when a futures contract is settled by delivery, the cost of financing can be reduced because banks will lend money on a more favorable basis when a position is hedged, and the price of a commodity is constantly being established through sales that take place on the exchange.
A buy stop order becomes a market order when there is an execution or bid at the stop price.
a. True
b. False
a. True
A buy stop order is an order that is placed above the market, to buy the commodity if the price rises to or above the stop price. The buy stop order in commodities differs from the buy stop order in securities in that the securities stop order is one that becomes a market order when the stock trades at or above the stop price. In the commodities stop order, the order becomes a market order when the commodity trades at or above, or is bid at or above, the stop price.
Let’s examine a buy stop order to see how it is handled. A customer has sold a contract of oats at 99. He thinks that the price will fall, and he will therefore profit by buying the contract at the lower price. However, he realizes that the price could advance as well, and he would like to minimize his loss to around 2 cents a bushel, so he enters an order to buy a contract at 101 stop. The floor broker gets the order and holds it until the price rises. After a few days, the price has risen. The highest bid is now 100 3/4 and the lowest offer is 101 1/4. A broker enters the crowd and buys the contract offered at 101 1/4. The stop is immediately put into effect and a contract will now be bought at the best price available.
Let’s see how the order would be effected on a bid at the stop price. The market is once again 100 3/4 bid, 101 1/4 offered. A broker enters the crowd and bids for the commodity at 101. Since this bid is at the stop price, the order will immediately become a market order. The broker with the stop order will now buy the contract offered at 101 1/4.
Since a call option is the right to go long the futures market and a put option is the right to go short the futures market, a put option offsets a call option.
a. True
b. False
b. False
This is false. An investor closes out (offsets) an option position by undoing the opening position. An investor long a call option closes out the position by selling the call (not with a put).
When a customer signs his margin agreement, he is allowing the member firm to automatically transfer funds from his regulated commodities account to his securities account if there is excess equity in the commodities account and a deficit in the securities account.
a. True
b. False
b. False
The margin agreement does not allow the member firm to transfer funds from a commodity futures account into a securities account. In order to transfer funds, the customer would either have to give his written permission each time a transfer is to be made, or would have to sign the transfer consent form (supplemental agreement) to have transfers made automatically.
A businessman has agreed to deliver the cash commodity in three months at the price in effect today. In order to hedge effectively, he would:
a. Sell futures
b. Buy futures
c. Buy the cash commodity
d. All of the above are possible ways to hedge his risk
b. Buy futures
The businessman has agreed to deliver the cash commodity in the future. He does not own the cash commodity and wishes to protect himself against a price rise. He would therefore buy futures.
Which of the following is not an important influence affecting futures prices for an agricultural commodity?
a. Changes in Government agricultural policy
b. Stated opinions of officials of the various exchanges
c. News regarding international developments and monetary devaluation
d. Weather, seasonal price patterns and general business conditions
b. Stated opinions of officials of the various exchanges
Choices (a), (c) and (d) are all important influences that will cause price changes in commodities. Government agricultural policy is a very important factor. To just cite two of many possibilities, if the Government announced the end of acreage allotments in a commodity that was subject to them, this could be expected to greatly increase the supply of the commodity. If the Government announced that it was increasing its purchases of commodities to make donations to needy nations, this would have a direct bearing on demand for the commodity.
News regarding international developments and money devaluations would have a direct impact on prices of commodities. For example, announcement of a much larger crop in certain foreign countries would lead to a greater supply and a concurrent drop in price, whereas news of a drought would lead to a smaller crop and a greater demand, indicating a price increase. A devaluation of money by a country lessens the ability of that country to import foreign goods, and therefore this would lessen demand in that country.
Weather conditions have a direct bearing on the size of the crop. Seasonal price patterns will give a trader an indication of comparative factors between the current year and past years. General business conditions will indicate the ability of consumers to purchase a particular commodity. If conditions are good, there will presumably be more purchases than if conditions are poor.
The stated opinions of the officials of the exchanges are not of particular importance in regard to supply and demand factors that determine prices for commodities.
Cash and futures prices will converge:
a. At the country elevator
b. At the market location during the month of delivery
c. At the terminal elevator
d. At the clearing house
b. At the market location during the month of delivery
The price of cash and the price of futures must converge during the delivery month. If the prices did not converge, traders would buy the less expensive and sell the more expensive, thereby causing the prices to come together. For example, let’s assume that the price of the cash commodity is $3.00 and the price of futures is $3.10 during the delivery month. Traders would sell futures at $3.10 and immediately buy cash at $3.00. They would then deliver the cash commodity against the futures they just sold (as this is the delivery month, there would be no carrying charges) and would thereby insure themselves of a profit of 10 cents. The act of selling futures would drive the price down, while the purchase of cash would drive the price up. Eventually, the prices would converge.
A trader takes a position in a corn contract and deposits the necessary margin of $1,500. Maintenance is $1,100. The exchange subsequently raises the initial margin requirement to $2,000 and the maintenance requirement to $1,500. In this case the trader:
a. Must immediately deposit an additional $500
b. Need not deposit any additional margin on his existing position
c. Would have to deposit an additional $2,000
d. Would be required to liquidate his position
b. Need not deposit any additional margin on his existing position
If the exchange raises the initial margin requirement, the FCM would not be required to obtain additional margin unless the equity in the account dropped below the new maintenance margin level.