business cycle Flashcards

1
Q

definition of the business cycle

A

the business cycle is a regular oscillation of economic activity.

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2
Q

what happens in a boom?

A

high confidence, construction, interest rates, consumption, investment, profitibility, inflation, durables, imports, wages and employment but low savings and inventories

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3
Q

what happens in a downswing?

A

rising interest rates, low consumption and investment, uncertainty, lower employment and wages, high production costs, debt, inflation, low govt spending, decrease in confidence

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4
Q

what happens in a trough?

A

high unemployment, low confidence, low investment, low consumption, low interest rates, hgh savings, low inflation, low demand for labour, negative GDP growth, low govt rev

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5
Q

what happens in an upswing?

A

low interest rates, increasing investment and consumption, expansionary fiscal policy, less debt, discounts, increasing confidence, higher share prices, construction

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6
Q

what are leading indicators?

A

indicate changes before they happen

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7
Q

what are coincident indicators?

A

indicates what is happening in the economy currently

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8
Q

what are lagging indicators?

A

indicate changes after an economic trend has been established

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9
Q

what are the two approaches to measuring GDP?

A

income and earnings approach and the expenditure approach

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10
Q

what is the income and earnings approach?

A

where all incomes are added, allowing for depreciation of capital equipment and net indirect taxes

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11
Q

what is the expenditure approach?

A

measuring using this apprach involves measuring the total expenditure on final goods and services produced by the four major sectors of the economy

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12
Q

defintion of aggregate expenditure

A

the total amount that firms and households plan to spend on goods and services at each level of income

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13
Q

what is the aggregate expenditure equation?

A

AE = C + I + G + (X-M)

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14
Q

what are the four components of aggregate expentiture?

A

consumption
investment
government expenditure
net exports

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15
Q

how does disposable income effect consumption?

A

there is a positive relationship

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16
Q

how does interest rates effect consumption?

A

low interest rates have a positive effect as less repayments and opportunity cost of spending decreases but high interest rates cause a pause in consumption

17
Q

how does household stock of wealth effect consumption?

A

feel wealthier when their assests rise so they spend more

18
Q

how do expectations effect consumption?

A

expectations are positive or negative sentiments people have about the future state of the economy and depending on their expectations they will spend or not

19
Q

how does government policy effect consumption?

A
  • monetary policy impacts interest rates, fiscal policy impacts spending decisions (taxation and govt spending)
20
Q

how does interest rates effect investment?

A

there is an inverse relationship

21
Q

how does profitability effect investment?

A

when profits are low firms may run down their capital over a longer period of time, when profits are high they have more to spend

22
Q

how do business expectations effect investment?

A

if expectations are positive they will invest more, if not they will invest less

23
Q

how do government policies effect investment?

A

monetary policy influences interest, fiscal policy impacts company tax

24
Q

how does stabilisation of macroeconomic fluctuations effect government expenditure?

A

the govt takes considerable long term investment in infrastructure but it would be inappropriate to undertake one if the economy was at full capacity but if it was in a recession it would increase employment

25
Q

how do domestic levels of economic activity effect net exports?

A

influences australia’s propensity to import. they are relatively elastic

26
Q

how does the exchange rate effect net exports?

A

if the AUD appreciates we can purchase more from overseas but if our exports become more expensive then exports will fall

27
Q

how does the terms of trade effect net exports?

A

growth of china and india has caused demand for commodities to increase, boosting export prices but imports have fallen