Exam Flashcards
Following Mao era, why was reform necessary?
1) Disillusion with dogma following Great Leap Forward & Cultural Rev
2) Nearby countries standard of living improving
3) Shift of mindset from class struggle to economic development
Issues with old system? (Mao era)
1) Distorted pricing
2) Inefficient allocation of resources
3) No work incentive
4) No foreign trade
Overview of stage 1 of economic reform process (1978-1984)
1) Prosperity of country placed above ideology (first emancipation of mind)
2) Experiment with SOE profit retention (1979, Sichuan)
3) Beginning of SEZ experiments
Overview stage 2 economic reform process (main period 84-89)
1) Dual track pricing (why? - prevent rapid price increase)
2) Gradualist approach (created opps for corruption)
3) Contract responsibility system
Overview stage 3 reform (inertia, 89-93)
1) Economy overheating
2) Increased conservative influence
3) Post-Tiananmen
Implications of Deng Southern Tour (1992)?
1) Re-energised reform process with a key focus on institutional reform including:
- Decision was officially made to pursue market system
- Rule of law
- Market supporting institutions
- Property rights
Four Key SOE Challenges?
1) Inefficiency
2) Debt burden
3) Overstaffing
4) Policy burden/overstaffing
2 stages of SOE reform?
1) Autonomy (79-92)
- Focussed on improving inner workings of SOE’s, ie Sichuan experiment, CRS, increased managerial authority
2) Marketisation (92 onwards)
- Process of building market supporting institutions, privatising SOE’s (hold large release small in 96-97)
Private sector contribution rule
50 percent of tax revenue 60 percent of GDP 70 percent of technological innovation 80 percent of urban employment and 90 percent of new jobs and new firms
Interplay between SOE’s and banking systems?
Banking system is SOE dominated
Much more interest alignment between SOE banks & SOE firms, hence big imbalance between private & SOE access to funding
Leads to shadow banking sector
What is the Kuznets Curve?
Economic theory that suggests an inverted u relationship between GDP per capita growth and inequality
After a certain point reached, inequality begins to fall
How serious is inequality in China? Include comparisons
Current Gini coefficient estimated >0.5
- Very high for Asia
- Comparable to Latin America
- Australia is 0.33
- Grown by approximately 0.25 percentage points since reform began
What are the types of inequality?
“RRES”
1) Rural Urban
- Most serious (contributes over half of total inequal)
2) Regional
- Product of initial reform policies and natural endowments (SEZ’s, fiscal decentralisation)
3) Educational inequality
- The returns from education are growing, and more rapidly at the University level, then technical school, then high school
4) Sector inequality
- Income in monopolistic industries (where modern SOE’s tend to dominate, such as telecommunications) are higher than non-monopolistic industries
What has been done to combat inequality?
1) Regional initiatives (GWD, Rise of Central China)
2) Introduction of dibao
3) Anti-corruption campaign
What further actions can be taken to combat inequality?
Progressive tax system which mitigates the underlying problem of returns to capital outpacing GDP and returns to wages
How much wealth does 1% of Chinese population own?
1/3
Difference between international trade & international investment?
Trade:
- Imports & Exports
Investment
- Investment in a nation into activities controlled by investing firm
Why did China join WTO?
1) NX key part of GDP, thereby increasing NX, and increase GDP
2) Promote trade with other countries, leading to:
- Improve access to tech
- Learn from advanced firms
- Increase competitive pressure on local firms to drive efficiency
Consequences of joining WTO?
China exports grew by >20% within a year driving employment growth, GDP growth and improve living standards
Benefits of inward FDI?
1) Learning opps
2) Greater options for consumers
3) Improve local firms
Negatives of inward FDI?
1) Crowding out effect
2) Competitive pressure on local firms will inevitably lead to casualties
Two major perspectives on outward FDI?
1) Springboard
- Access to foreign resources can increase competitiveness of firms VS foreign firms
2) Escape
- Heavy gov intervention, low IP protection and shady legal system make firms want to enter more developed foreign markets
Why Chinese firms engage in OFDI?
1) Extremely strong government support encourages it
2) Revenue & Risk diversification
3) Greater access to key resources
Challenges of Chinese OFDI?
1) Regulatory differences across borders
2) Cultural imbalances
3) Reputational challenges (Chinese reputation for imitation goods, low cost low quality)