Macro year 2 NOT FINISHED Flashcards
what causes a shift in SRAS
- a increase/decrease in CoP
what is the main differences between classical and keynesian economics
- Classical likes minimal government, trusts in market self-correction.
- Keynesian prefers government involvement, especially in tough times, to boost demand and tackle unemployment.
what 2 factors does the phillip curve join
what type of relationship do the factors have
- inflation rate % and unemployment
- they have an inverse relationship
what does the phillip curve show us
- there is a conflict between inflation and unemployment
re is
what is meant by stagflation
- high inflation and high unemployment
what is the multiplier effect
- Possibility that when the initial shift in aggregate demand encourages more spending, which effects other consumers, encouraging further spending, savin , investment and so on
what is the equation to find the multipler
- 1/1-MPC
- 1/MPW
MPC refers to marginal propensitry to consume
what actually is meant by MPC (marginal propensity to consume)
- out of each extra pound being earned how much of that is going to be spent on consumption
what actually is meant by MPW (marginal propensity to withdraw)
- out of each extra pound earnt how much of it will be a withdrawal/leakage from the economy (savings, imports, taxation)
how do the values of MPC link to the values of the multiplier
- the bigger the values of MPC the bigger the multipler and visa versa
what could cause a decrease in peoples MPC
- an increase in peoples marginal propensity to withdraw
- ^increase in marginal propensity to save,taxation and import
what is the accelerator effect
investment would be likely to increase if rate of GDP growth is increasing as firms predit an increase in demand and growth in the future and so firms pre-emptively invest
Vice versa if decreasing rate of GDP growth
what makes up the balance of payments
- current account
- financial account
- capital account
- net errors + omissions
what does the capital account, account for
- inheritance tax (international)
- debt forgiveness
- death duties (internationally)
- sales of tangible assets overseas (selling skyscraper)
- transfer of financial assets by migrants
- sales of intangible assets overseas (such as land)
what does the financial account, account for
- portfolio investment transactions (buying and selling of financial assets)
- FDI
- reserves (of currency or gold)
how could AD be affected by a current account deficit
- could lower AD
^X-M is the biggest component of current account - chances are in CA deficit gonna have negative trade balance (X-M = negative), which would pull down AD
how can a current account deficit cause a currency crisis and potential economic crisis
- Borrow to cover deficits.
- Accumulate debt (e.g. gov bonds, corporate bonds)
- Investor confidence declines.
- Currency sell-off by investors (causes depreciation)
- people in country with savings, debt (money) move money out (worsening of depreciation)
- exchange rate risks
- Debt servicing becomes challenging.
- Potential for a currency crisis and economic problems.
how could a current account deficit have consequences for the exchange rate
- if a country is selling more of its currency (to import) than is demanded (in exports) by other countries than there will be an increasing of supply of domestic curreny in the market
- ^ this creates downward pressure on value of currency (depreciation)
what could be an evaluative point when talking about how a current account deficit can affect the exchange rate
- in theory as downward pressure put on currency (depreciation) CA deficit could rectifiy itself due to WIDEC and imports falling
- but could argue that if country is already in CA deficit could be sign of lack of competitiveness
what main type of policies are available to goverments to close a current account deficit
- expenditure reducing policies (policies to reducing spending on imports in economy)
- expenditure reducing policies
what are some evaluative points that can be used when talking about contractionary monetary & fiscal policy that aim to help close a current account deficit
- conflict of obj (by reducing AD, increasing unemployment, reduced growth, perhaps recession)
- consumer/business confidence (e.g. could be so high AD does not fall if intrest rates rise)
- output gap (if econ at full employment even if AD goes left incomes may not decrease)
- MPM (if not high, policies may not be effective enough to cause impact)
MPM = marginal propensity to import
what are some evaluative points that can be used when talking about weaker exchange rates for purpose of reducing CA deficit
- marshall-lerner condition (How price elastic of demand for imports and exports)
- inflation (can be cost push and demand pull)
- retaliation & currency wars (essentially protectionist measure, countrys may do something, u dont get benefits)
what are the demand side causes of a current account surplus
- high incomes abroad (↑ importing by them, higher exports by us)
- low incomes domestically (low imports)
- weal exchange rate (WIDEC)
what are the supply side causes of a current account surplus
- low relative inflation (high international competitveness)
- low unit labour costs: can pass on lower prices (high productivity, weak TUs, low min wages)
- strong investment (keep prices low in LR, is capital up to date)
- gains in comparative advantage (specalisation of one good, can export it)
- new resource discoveries (can sell them around world, up export rev)
what are the consequences of a current account surplus
- ↑(X-M), ↑AD, ↑ growth, ↓ unemployment, ↑ inflation
- appreciation of exchange rate (increased demand for currency)
- financial account deficit, to balance balance of payments (can buy gov bonds, what if foreign country has issues)
- can harm international relations (can cause trading wars with CA deficit countries, especially if using dirty tactics such as heavy protectionism)
- sign of unbalanced economy (if products are being exported, maybe not enough products for domestic consumers)
what is absolute advantage
occurs when a country can produce a product using fewer factors of production than another nation
what is comparative advantage
states that a country should specalise in the goods.services it can produce at the lowest opp. cost, and then trade with another country
how would you calculate the comparative advantage of a good/service
divide both values by the value of the good your trying to find the opp. cost for
e.g. produce 20 apples and 10 berriers
to find opp.cost of producing apples divide both sides by 20 and you will find out to produce 1 apple they are given up 0.5 berries
what must occur for given countries to exploit there comparative advantage and achieve mutally benefical trade
- a rate of exchange must be suitable (this lies between the oppurtunity costs of production for the given countries)
^its only worth trading with another if what they get in return is greater than what they could of made themselves
when can a country consume outside of their PPF curve by using comparative advantage
- by specalising in where they have the comparative advantage and by coming to a suitable rate of exchange
what are some limitations to the theory of comparative advantage
- assumes perfect knowledge: consumers might not know where lowest prices are
- assumes no transport costs: can erode comparative advantage if huge costs
- assumes no economies of scale: country that doesnt have comparative advantage could exploit EoS, distort comparative advantage
- rates of inflation ignored: if high rates erodes comparative advantage benefits
- no import controls: could have tariffs, quotas on imports, comparative advantage distored
- non-price competitiveness
- exchnage rate movement ignored
what are some benefits of free trade
- higher efficency, better allocation of world resources (comparative advantage)
- access to goods that wouldnt be produced domestically (both goods and raw materials)
- lower prices: ↑ competition, ↑ EoS, ↑ technological transfers
- greater consumer choice (quantity of goods and variety of goods)
- economic growth (if comparative advantage, not just supply domestic market but world market, ↑ export rev)
- increase in consumer surplus (eval decrease in producer surplus)
what are some arguements for protectionism
- protect infant industries: may only need short term protectionist measures
- protect against dumping: sale of a good below its cost of production
- protect domestic employment
- protect against exploitative low cost labour abroad
- protect product standards (if goods coming in dont follow the same standards you do)
- to raise gov rev (tarrifs)
- avoid risk of over specalisation (allow other industries mature so you arent dependent on one industry in which you have the comparative advantage)
what is an embargo
- a government-imposed restriction on the trade of specific goods/services with one or more countries.
- It involves a complete ban on imports or exports
what are some evaluative points that can be used when talking about the arguements for protectionism
- protect infant industries arguement: can allow them room for inefficency
- dumping arguement: it is very hard to prove, if you do protect due to think dumping it occuring and its not, retaliation
- protect domestic employment: if industry already going into decline may be longing out process
what is dumping and how can it occur
- practice of exporting goods at a price that is below the cost of production
- if country has surplus product may sell it off for cheap overseas
- may also be short term stragtery to gain market share and drive out competers
what actually is a tariff
- a tax/duty imposed by a government on goods traded internationally.
^It can be a percentage of the value of the goods (ad valorem) or a fixed amount per unit (specific)
how would a tariff affect a domestic market
- shifts world supply up (raises prices in market)
- ^ contraction of domestic demand, extension of domestic supply
- imports decrease
what are some disadvantages of using tariffs
General arguements against protectionism:
- market distortion (↑price, ↓choice, ↓ consumer surplus)
- production inefficencies (deadweight loss of world efficency)
- retaliation
specific:
- regressive (especially because tariffs are often on necessity items)
what is some evaluation that can be used when talking about tariffs
- the price elasticity of domestic demand and supply (if inelastic not big change, perhaps other policies may be better)
- size of tariff
what is an import quota
- a restriction set by a government on the quantity of a particular good that can be imported within a specified time period
how does an import quota effect a domestic market
- quantity of imports capped (the creates excess demand)
- ^this leads to increase in price in market
- shift of supply in market to right (because new suppliers enter market, incentivised by higher price)
- contraction of domestic demand due to higher price
what are the arguements for a import quota
- protect infant industries
- protect against dumping
- protect domestic employment
- protect against exploitative low cost labour
- may improve trade position
what are the arguements for a trade subsidy
- protect infant industry
- protect against dumping
- protect domestic employment
- may improve CA position
how does trade subsidies effect a domestic market
- extension of domestic supply
- raised effective price for domestic firms
- decrease in imports
what is the world trade organisation
international organisation that regulates world trade
how many states are members of the world trade organisation
- 164 members (117 of which are developing)
- 86% of countries are in world trade organisation
what is ideal trade according to the world trade organisation
- non-discriminatory
- free from barriers (protectionism)
- predictable (easier for investment decesions to take place, business can grow)
- promotion of fair competition (even SR protectionism if it is needed)
- benefical for developing countries through special provisions
what are the roles/functions of the WTO
- set and inforce rules on international trade
- resolve trade disputes (reduce retaliation)
- provide a forum for negotiating trade liberilisation and monitor it
- to increase the transparency of decision making process by the WTO
- to help developing countries fully benefit from global trade
- cooperate with other major economic institutions
what is the IMF (international monetary fund)
- works to achieve sustainable growth and prosperity for all of its 190 member countries
- 97% of countries are members
- It does so by supporting economic policies that promote financial stability and monetary cooperation
what is meant by international competiveness
the ability of a nation tom compete successfully overseas and sustain improvements in lliving standards and outputs
what 3 things can international competivieness be broken down into
- price competitivness
- non-price competitiveness
- ability to attract factors of production (FDI)
what are the 3 fundamental measures of international competitnessess
- unit labour cost (UCL)
- global competitveness index (GCI)
- terms of trade (greater the terms of trade the worse the price competitiveness)
what is the equation for unit labour costs
what kind of things will determine unit labour costs
- total labour cost/output
- productivity (if high lower UCL)
- skills
- high min wages (increase unit labour costs)
what are some factors that determine international competitiveness
- ULCs
- labour flexibilty, skills (flexbility of hours, skills, part-time, how easy someone can leave and enter industries)
- tex regime (corp tax, effects reinvestment, useful for efficency gains, if low can also attract FDI, if income tax low can attract foregin workers)
- innovation (both price and non-price comp)
- infrastructure (can boost efficency)
- regulation (can enforce costs, can elongate process of business, can also improve non-price comp)
- economic stability (stabiler is it easier to attract FDI and for domestic business to grow)
where is the uk ranked on the global competitiveness index
- 9th out of 140 countries
- in top 6%
lowest corportation tax rate in developed world
why would a goverment want ot improve their international competitiveness
- to rebalance an economy (if growth led by consumption would work to improve exports to give another avenue for growth)
- for the longterm longevity of the economy and sustained growth
what are some examples of policies that can be used to increase international competitiveness
- gov spending on transport infrastructure: make business more efficent (easier,quicker, cheaper), attracts FDI
- tax incentives: lower income/corp tax, tax allowances on investment (investment, attracts FDI, increase size of labour force)
- deregulation: lowers CoP, attracts FDI
- gov spending on education: improving skills (curiculum reforms, re-training), apprenticeships (drive down unit labour costs)
what are some evaluative points when it comes to policies to increase international competitiveness
- cost -> opp. cost (costs may have to go up in future to fund, counter productive)
- no guarentee such policies will work
- time lag (education reform especially)
- targeted (policy may be uneffective if targets wrong area)
- relative concept (may be using policies but if another country using policys more wouldnt see benefits)
what is globalisation
process in which national economies have become increasingly intergrated (countries becoming more alike) and inter-dependent (they rely on eachother more)
what are some causes of globalisation
- trade liberalisation
- trading blocs (more and deeper)
- growth of MNCs (greater intergration)
- technological advancement (easier to intergrate)
- mobility of labour and capital (increased intergration and inter reliance)
what are the pros of globalisation
- increased competitiveness: lower prices, innovation, efficency gains (good for firms & consumers)
- free movement of labour and capital: FDI (trading blocs)
benefits of trade:
- high growth
- higher tax revenues for govs,
- in developing countries promotes economic development
- greater employment
- benefits from large EoS (increased market size)
- tech transfer and innovation
what are the cons of globalisation
- growing inequality
- higher structual unemployment (demand deficant unemployment)
- environmental costs: lack of sustainability
- trade imbalances (export led growth is lucrative, but if slows down/shock trade wars may begin to rectify imbalances)
- greater risk of external shocks (if one country has crisis could take down others, even in particular industries)
- less cultural diversity
what percentage of wealth does the top 1% hold
between 55-63% of global wealth
what must the goverment have if they wish to have a fixed exchange rate
the gov or central bank requires large amounts of currency reserves
what is a fixed exchange rate
a value determined by the government compared to other currencies.
what would the goverment/central bank do if the currency has increased in value compared to your fixed exchange rate
- gov/central bank would sell their currency and buy up foreign currencies
- ^to increase the supply of their currency in the market to devalue the currency back down to the desired value
what would the gov/central bank do if the currency has devalue below the value of the fixed exchange rate
- they would need to increase demand for their currency hence revalue the currency
- ^would use foreign currency reserves to buy up their currency in the market (e.g. forex trading)
when would depreciation and devaluation be used, the same with appreciation and revalueation
- devalue and revalue in fixed exchange rates
- appreciaition and depreciation would be used when talking about semi and free floating exchange rates
what is an acronym to remember the effects of a appreciation of exchange rate
-SPICED
- strong, pound, imports,cheap, exports, dear