Voting behavour Flashcards

1
Q

How has the realibity of middle class voters for the conservatives decreased from 1979-2005?

A

In 1979 they received 59% of the middle class vote and labour only received 24%, whereas in 2005 they received 37% and labour received 31%.

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2
Q

2019 class AB vote split (upper class and professionals)

A

32% Labour, 42% conservative

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3
Q

2019 class C1 and C2 vote split (skilled and less skilled working class)

A

C1- 34% Labour, 43% conservatives
C2- 31% Labour, 49% conservatives

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4
Q

2019 vote split by medium, low and high levels of education

A

Low education- 25& L, 58% C

High- 43% L, 29% C

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5
Q

Influence of BREXIT on 2019- what % of leave voters voted conservative?

A

74%

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6
Q

Vote split by gender 2015

A

Conservatives had slightly higher male support with 38% compact 37% women. Labour had slightly higher female support with 33% women and 30% men.

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7
Q

Labours vote by ethnicity 2015 and 1997

A

In the 2015 general election labour received 28% of the white vote and 65% of all ethnic minorities vote. In 1997 labour received 82% of the black vote and 66% of the Asian vote

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8
Q

Vote split by age 2010

A

In 2010 for instance, the conservative party won 44% of the 65 plus age group and 38% of the 55 to 64 age group, whilst labour 131% of the 18 to 24 year olds and 36% of the 25 to 34 year olds.

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9
Q

Salient issue example in 2010

A

At the 2010 general election it was proved that the economy was the most salient issue. When asked which party do you think has the best policies on the economy, 29% of peoples are conservative and 36% said other, none or don’t know

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10
Q

Significance of party leaders in 2010

A

The significance of party leaders was made very clear in 2010 when the first ever live TV debate was held with over 10 million viewers. Liberal Democrat leader Nick Clegg surprised many winning the first debate, and his approval rating reached 68%.

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11
Q

Significance of approval rating; Brown v Cameron

A

David Cameron always enjoyed a high approval rating-contrasting with that of Gordon Brown who had only a 35% approval rating by Election Day due to links to the 2007 financial crisis and the MP’s expenses scandal.

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12
Q

Influence of party reputation

A

The conservatives have always adopted the nasty party reputation-being unsympathetic to minority groups and in favour of the rich. David Cameron challenged us by embracing environmental and social issues like gay marriage

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13
Q

Influence of the media 1992-2010

A

in the 1992 general election only the guardian and the Daily Mirror supported labour. When the conservatives surprisingly won, this sun run headlines claiming they’d won it for this conservatives. However, in 1997 the sun switched its support and backed knew labour. Labour won a landslide, and the sun switched back in 2010.

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14
Q

What % of news readership is right wing?

A

87%

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15
Q

Influence of the sun 2005-2010

A

Between the 2005 and 2010 elections, there was a 13.5% swing from labour to conservatives amongst sun readers. But 12.5% of that swing had occurred before the sun announced its support in September of 2009

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16
Q

Direct effect theory

A

the media can directly affect how we think about political issues and how we vote.

17
Q

Agenda setting theory

A

suggests the media might not change how we think but it can influence what we think about. TV channels are not supposed to be partisan but they still decide what gets broadcasted -in 2015 it was found that the conservative party was much more Widley covered than labour.

18
Q

Framing theory

A

the media can subtly frame issues to influence how we think about them. Following his election as labour leader Ed Miliband was frequently portrayed as a socialist, far from the political centre, and became known as “red ed”. In 2013 the daily mail ran a story about ed Miliband father with the headline “the man who hated Britain”

19
Q

Reinforcement theory

A

we choose media that agrees with, rather than challenges our political views.

20
Q

How has the significance of the newspaper decreased?

A

Average daily sales of the sun in 1997 were 3.87 million, and in 2014 it was 2.21 million.

21
Q

Voting context model- voting behaviour depends on the type of election. How does UKIP and conservative vote split in general and European parliament elections show this?

A

In general elections the conservative party performed much better than UKIP, receiving 36.1% in 2010 in comparison to UKIPs 3.1, and 36.9% in 2015 compared to UKIPs 12.7%. however in European parliament elections, in 2014 UKIP received 26.6% of the vote and the conservatives only received 23.1%.

22
Q

Influence Of the electoral system on elections- European parliament elections using closed party list vs FPTP

A

, UKIPs 26.6% of the vote in the European parliament elections translated to 32.9% of the seats, whereas their 12.7% in the 2015 general election translated to 0.2% of the seats.

23
Q

Seats changing hands more in byelections:

A

In four of the 15 by elections held by 2012 and 2015 the seat changed hands, twice from conservative to UKIP, once from conservative to labour and once from conservative to respect.