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L3 17 Capital Market Expectations

This class was created by Brainscape user Steven Popovic. Visit their profile to learn more about the creator.

By: Steven Popovic
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Decks in this class (18)

a discuss the role of, and a framework for, capital market expectations in the portfolio management process;
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b discuss challenges in developing capital market forecasts;
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c demonstrate the application of formal tools for setting capital market expectations, including statistical tools, discounted cash flow models, the risk premium approach, and financial equilibrium models;
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d explain the use of survey and panel methods and judgment in setting capital market expectations;
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e discuss the inventory and business cycles, the impact of consumer and business spending, and monetary and fiscal policy on the business cycle;
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f discuss the impact that the phases of the business cycle have on short- term/ long- term capital market returns;
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g explain the relationship of inflation to the business cycle and the implications of inflation for cash, bonds, equity, and real estate returns;
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h demonstrate the use of the Taylor rule to predict central bank behavior;
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i evaluate 1) the shape of the yield curve as an economic predictor and 2) the relationship between the yield curve and fiscal and monetary policy;
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j identify and interpret the components of economic growth trends and demonstrate the application of economic growth trend analysis to the formulation of capital market expectations;
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k explain how exogenous shocks may affect economic growth trends;
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l identify and interpret macroeconomic, interest rate, and exchange rate linkages between economies;
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m discuss the risks faced by investors in emerging- market securities and the country risk analysis techniques used to evaluate emerging market economies;
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n compare the major approaches to economic forecasting;
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o demonstrate the use of economic information in forecasting asset class returns;
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p evaluate how economic and competitive factors affect investment markets, sectors, and specific securities;
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q discuss the relative advantages and limitations of the major approaches to forecasting exchange rates;
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r recommend and justify changes in the component weights of a global investment portfolio based on trends and expected changes in macroeconomic factors.
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L3 17 Capital Market Expectations

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