1.1 Measures of economic performance - economic growth Flashcards

1
Q

What is GDP? What are the 3 ways to calculate it

A

GDP is the measure of the total value of national output of goods and services over a given time period

Output = Expenditure = National Income

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2
Q

What are the 3 ways to measure GDP?

A
  1. Output - value added from all firms and sectors output, the final price - cost of inputs or add up output of final goods/services
  2. Incomes - add up all incomes in the economy - profits of private and public sector businesses, rental income, transfers, rent, shares and dividends
  3. Expenditure in the economy - also known as AD - AD= C + I + G + (X-M)
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3
Q

What is economic growth?

A

Rise in the productive potential of an economy over a time period

In the short run is the increase in the real value of goods and services produced measured by GDP.

Contracted 4% in the recession

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4
Q

What are the features of growth

A

Short run:

  • GDP, AD and Jobs
  • Wages rise
  • Unemployment falls
  • Incomes and SOL rise
  • Tax revenue rise

Long run

  • Life expectancy
  • Poverty/inequality
  • Education
  • Lower fertility
  • Innovation and technology
  • high commute times
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5
Q

What is real disposable income? What is GNI?

A

RDI - income after deduction of taxes and benefits, adjusted for inflation

GNI - remittances, wages, profits and interest all earned abroad

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6
Q

What is a contraction

A
  • GDP falls, economy shrinks, growth negative
  • May lead to recession or depression

Signs - AD falls, unemployment rise, firms leave market, house prices fall, spending rises to support poor, SOL fall

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7
Q

Benefits of growth

A

Household: incomes, choice, SOL, confidence, health

Work: incomes, choice of jobs and location

Firms: AD so investment, profit, new markets and environment to grow

Government: tax revenues reduce borrowing so easy to manage economy - social stability

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8
Q

Costs of growth:

A

Household: inflation, pollution, congestion, inequality

Workers: poorer conditions, inconsistent, unemployment, jobs move abroad

Firms: competition drives out market, congestion costs, inflation of costs and wages

State: inflation, worsen trade balance, unsustainable so downturn, cost of externalities

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9
Q

How do you convert from a nominal to a real value?

A

Say base year is $1,400 and index 100

And new year is $1,450 and index 103

R = real value

Divide the new value by its index then times it by 100 to put it back into 100 index, giving $1,408

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10
Q

What is the circular flow of income?

A

Firms provide goods and services to households as well as give rent, wages and dividends

Households provide land, labour and capital to firms and give expenditure

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11
Q

What are the benefits of using real GDP

A
  • Easy comparisons over time
  • Easy comparisons with different countries
  • Correlates other living standards measures e.g. HDI
  • Higher income generally coincides growth and living standards
  • Sets interest rates
  • Plans policies, tax and spending plans
  • Estimates budgets
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12
Q

What are the flaws in using GDP

A
  • Lagging indicator
  • Ignores shadow economy and illegal activity
  • Estimated hidden economy to be £3.5bn in 2015, 13% of the economy
  • Flash indicator inaccurate
  • Growth rates inform us growth but not growth of output
  • Does not tell us much except rate growth changes
  • GDP on its own does not account for GNI stuff
  • Does not account for depreciation - NNP = GNP - depreciation of capital
  • Informal economy ignored
  • Illegitimate goods/services avoid tax
  • Short term measurement, not fully accurate
  • Unpaid work e.g. babysitting family
  • Investment not accounted for e.g. R&D, advertising, training and research
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13
Q

Flaws of measures in general

A
  • Inequality
  • Changes in working conditions
  • GDP no allowance for depreciation
  • Valuation of changes in life expectancy
  • Non market output e.g. voluntary work
  • Innovation and improvements in public services which do not add value
  • GDP growth may be unsustainable if coincides draining resources
  • Ignores quality of goods and services
  • Defence expenditure
  • Debt
  • Other factors not considered - literacy, equality etc.
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14
Q

What is the difference between growth and welfare?

A

-Growth sustained growth of real GDP, living standards and productive potential

Welfare is a more broad measure of well being, not linked to material aspects of life .g. inequality, median house incomes. May include:

  • Real GDP/Capita
  • Real household spending/capita
  • Median incomes
  • Household net wealth
  • Unemployment
  • Financial security
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15
Q

What is the Easterlin Paradox?

A

-Richer people tend to be happier than poor people, and richer societies do not tend to be happier than poor societies.

As countries get richer, they do not inevitably get happier. Happiness only rises up to a point and after that the marginal gain declines.

This may be because people would rather get relative rewards than everyone else benefitting more

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16
Q

What is the multiplier theory?

A

The ratio of a change in real income against the autonomous injections brought about this rise in income.

The money injected circulates round, losing a percentage to leakages each time. The size is dependent on the size of withdrawals and any rise in withdrawals reduces the multipliers value.

Injections : Government spending, Investment, Export

Withdrawals: Savings, Taxes, Imports

17
Q

Different propensities

A

APC - consumption/income

MPC - proportion of additional income spent on consumption = change in consumption/change in incomes

MPW - proportion of additional income withdrawn - includes MPS, MPM and MPT

18
Q

How do you calculate the multiplier and what does it show?

A

1/mpw or 1/1-mpc

As mpw rises, the multiplier shrinks so money circulating falls and economy grows slower

As % of income used for consumption is measured with mpc we can say as mpc rises the multiplier rises

19
Q

Evaluation of multiplier:

A
  • Increased G not always lead to expansion - offset by other spending, increase imports or rise in savings
  • Difficult to measure multiplier as oversimplified
  • Always a time lag
  • Multiplier very low, little power
20
Q

What are the 3 types of growth?

A
  • Export led - driven by injections
  • Balanced growth - all sectors grows
  • Supply side - more resources, productivity and GDP etc.
21
Q

Difference between a real and nominal value?

A

Nominal - time recorded

Real - accounts for inflation e.g. if inflation rises 10% something worth 10m is now 11m

22
Q

How do you calculate inflation rates using nominal growth?

A

New nominal - original nominal / original nominal

Base year $1500 and index 100
New year $1800 and index 120

This means $1800 is still the real value

120-100/100 = 20% increase
and 1800-1500/1500 = 20% inflation

Now say the nominal value went from 1500 to 2000 in the same years, this will be a 33% rise in value, but a 13% real increase in value due to the 20% inflation

23
Q

How do you use index numbers?

A
  • Set x as the base year to 100 then compare the rest to 100
    e. g. base is 1500

New value is 2000 then 2000/1500 x 100 = 133

24
Q

How do you go from a nominal to a real value?

A

Nominal value/price index sets it to just the value of 1

Then x100 to get to the 100 base index

25
Q

What are the problems using indicators to compare countries?

A
  • Doesn’t account for PPP - must be measured under 1 value using the same basket of goods to see relative cost of living in a country
  • Doesn’t account per capita
  • GNI = GDP + net income from abroad
  • Developing countries more room for growth
  • Developing countries large shadow economy
  • Doesn’t account for population and equality.
26
Q

What is HDI?

A

Measures development using a wide variety of composite indicators:

Life expectancy

Education - average years of schooling and mean years of leaving school

Real GDP/capita at PPP