Exchange Rates Flashcards

1
Q

Exchange rates

A

The price of a nations currency in terms of another currency

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2
Q

Factors affecting exchange rates (6)

A

Net trade
IR: hot money flows
Price level
Speculation
EG/events
Y: Income (MPI)

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3
Q

Floating exchange rate

A

Currency value is set by market forces and there is no intervention by the central bank. There’s no target for the exchange rate.

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4
Q

How an appreciation in the exchange rate occurs

A

• Hot money flows
• increased demand for pounds
• Price then increases

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5
Q

How an appreciation of an exchange rate can affect

A

N: increase in X and fall in M
IR is increased
Price level falls
Speculation is positive
EG/Events are positive
Y falls: MPI

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6
Q

How a depreciation of the exchange rate can occur

A

• Brexit: recession fears
• Speculation of low IR
• Selling of pounds
• Increase in supply
• Fall in the price of the pound

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7
Q

Depreciation of exchange rate how it affects NIPSEY

A

N: increase in M, decrease in X
IR low
Price level high
Speculation is negative
Events/EG are negative
Y- income increases (MPI)

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8
Q

Impact of depreciating currency on inflation

A

Increasing import prices could increase the PL for consumers

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9
Q

Impact of depreciating currency on EG

A

Stimulus for EG as net exports will increase

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10
Q

Depreciating exchange rate affect on UE

A

• Competitive currency: increases domestic consumption
• Possible multiplier effect: more tourism and foreign students

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11
Q

Depreciating exchange rate affect on BOP

A

Usually good but it depends on the PED for exports. There could be a possible J-Curve effect.

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12
Q

Depreciating currency affect in business investment

A

Increased profitability because overseas earnings will be worth more in terms of pounds

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13
Q

J-Curve effect

A

• Currency depreciation
• Should see a fall in imports but first the situation gets worse before contracts have to be fulfilled
• LT trade position improves

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14
Q

Marshall Lerner condition

A

A depreciation of exchange rates will lead to an increase in net trade balance if PED for X+M is greater than 1

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15
Q

Evaluation of currency depreciation

A

• The scale of the change in the exchange rate (5%,10%, 15%)
• Change LT or ST?
• When currency movement takes place: recession/recovery/boom

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16
Q

Floating exchange rates advantages (3)

A

• Little reserve holding required
• Can set IR to meet domestic objectives
• Partial autocorrection for current account deficit

17
Q

Floating exchange rate disadvantages (2)

A

• No guarantee of stability
• Volatility may scare investors

18
Q

Fixed exchange rates

A

Government/central bank fixes the value. The pegged exchange rate becomes the official rate and is adjustable

19
Q

Fixed exchange rate advantages (4)

A

• Certainty of value: attracts investment
• Export dependant economies may favour managed system due to less volatility (China)
• Stability helps control inflation: discipline to keep unit costs low
• Imposes macro responsibility on gov/central bank

20
Q

Fixed exchange rate disadvantages (3)

A

• Reduced freedom to use IR for other MEPOs
• Requires large reserves some countries are unable to hold
• Devaluation of fixed exchange rate can lead to cost push inflation