4.5 Exchange Rates Flashcards
What is a “Floating” exchange rate?
A type of exchange rate system where the market forces of supply and demand determine the exchange rate
What is appreciation and what causes it?
An increase in the value of a currency. Caused by an increase in demand or a decrease in supply.
What is depreciation and what causes it?
A decrease in the value of a currency. Caused by a decrease in demand or an increase in supply.
What are some factors that increase currency demand (leading to appreciation)?
- Increase in foreign demand for exports of g+s
- Lower inflation leading to increase in foreign demand for exports
- Increase in inward investment
- Higher interest rates leading to more inward financial investment
What are some factors that decrease currency demand (leading to depreciation)?
- Decrease in foreign demand for exports of g+s
- Higher inflation leading to a decrease in foreign demand for exports
- Decrease in inward investment
- Lower interest rates leading to less inward financial investment
What are some factors that decrease currency supply (leading to appreciation)?
- Decrease in domestic demand for imports of g+s
- Lower inflation leading to a decrease in domestic demand for imports
- Decrease in outward investment
- Higher interest rates leading to less financial investment by domestic residents in foreign countries
What are some factors that increase currency supply (leading to depreciation)?
- Increase in domestic demand for imports of g+s
- Higher inflation leading to an increase in domestic demand for imports
- Increase in outward investment
- Lower interest rates leading to more financial investment by domestic residents in foreign countries
- Increase in outflow of remittances
What is the impact of APPRECIATION on “Economic Growth”?
Net exports decrease, causing a left shift in AD (as exports become more expensive, and the incentive to import is greater! X fall, M increase, (X-M) falls!)
Negative economic growth
HOWEVER,
Whether it’s good or bad depends on the stage of the business cycle:
- INFLATIONARY GAPS - this is good! fall in AD reduces inflationary pressure
What is the impact of APPRECIATION on “Unemployed”?
AD falls, increase in unemployment
HOWEVER,
Wages may have a tendency to fall as demand for the labour decreases,
this could lead to a fall in costs of production, and therefore labour intensive industries will have access to cheaper labour (AS shifts outwards)
What is the impact of APPRECIATION on “Inflation”?
Inflation is controlled as AD is falling (demand pull inflation falls)
HOWEVER,
The threat of the deflation is based on the business cycle
What is the impact of APPRECIATION on “Living Standard”?
Increase in living standards of living,
AD decreases, cost of living decreases, imports increase
What is the impact of APPRECIATION on “Indebtedness”?
Indebtedness falls, less domestic currency is needed to pay the same debt
What is the impact of DEPRECIATION on “Economic Growth”?
Depreciation reduces the incentive for consumers to import, whereas foreign countries are more likely to import as the products become cheaper to buy,
therefore X increases, M falls, and (X-M) Increases, causing an AD shift and thus economic growth.
HOWEVER,
Economic growth depends on how reliant an economy is on imports. As imports become more expensive, if an economy heavily relies on imports, they will have to keep importing,
this causes M to increases and will decrease the net exports, potentially causing a fall in economic growth.
What is the impact of DEPRECIATION on “Unemployment”?
Due to an outward shift in AD, the rate of unemployment decreases. Cyclical unemployment decreases due to economic growth
HOWEVER,
Due to higher inflation some companies may be incentivized to move geographic locations increasing structural unemployment
What is the impact of DEPRECIATION on “Inflation”?
Due to the outward shift in demand the price level increases, so an increase in inflation (demand-pull) inflation occurs
HOWEVER,
If there is a lot of spare capacity and unemployment in the economy, then AD can shift outward without inflation (Keynesian economics)