7.9 Challenges for superpowers Flashcards

1
Q

What are some of the main challenges superpowers will face in the future?

A

-economic restructuring
-structural unemployment
-ageing and social care costs
-increased debt levels

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2
Q

What is economic restructuring and why has it occurred in the UK?

A

The shift in employment from primary and secondary sectors to tertiary and quaternary. This has been seen in the UK as manufacturing moves to Asia as TNCs want to take advantage of cheaper labour

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3
Q

What long term challenges are caused by economic restructuring?

A

-Unemployment
-loss of social cohesion in the industrial regions

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4
Q

What is an example of unemployment in the UK caused by economic structuring? What other countries has this also been happening in?

A

In the UK’s traditional mining sector in the Midlands and North: In 1980, 240,000 people worked in the UK’s coalmines, but by the mid 1990s, this number had dropped to 13,000.
North East industrial regions in France were also affected along with the ‘rust belt’ in the USA, where manufacturing towns such as Allentown has lost 2,800 jobs and is in decline

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5
Q

What happened to the British Bank Northern Rock in 2007?

A

Northern Rock had greater debts than assets, meaning people feared their savings were at risk and withdrew their money immediately. The Bank of England rescued Northern Rock with £3 billion and then nationalised to stop the panic: the government feared if it collapsed that public panic would spread and other banks would follow. However, this soon occurred in lots of banks

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6
Q

What was the main cause of the 2007-8 financial crisis?

A

The main cause was sub-prime lending by US banks to low-income earners with insecure jobs, who would never normally be able to afford a mortgage. This made it questionable if mortgages would be repaid and so they were sold on to others. However, when the property bubble eventually burst, almost every global bank was affected

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7
Q

What were the consequences of the global financial crisis?

A

-The property market crashed and houses were now not worth the same
-The global stock market crashed
-Businesses closed
-A global recession was caused
-Mass unemployment was caused

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8
Q

What are examples of banks who were affected by the global financial crisis?

A

-some banks collapsed e.g. US investment bank Lehmann Brothers
-some were bailed out with government money e.g. Lloyds
-were nationalised e.g. the Royal Bank of Scotland

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9
Q

What were government debt levels like after the global financial crisis?

A

Debt levels were high due to increased bank bailouts, meaning they had to pay an increasing proportion of their GDP to service debts (pay interest on them)

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10
Q

How did the UK’s debt level change between 2007 and 2013?

A

The UK debt more than doubled

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11
Q

What was UK debt in March 2023 as a proportion of GDP? What are the interests rates on this? Why are these rates so high?

A

100.5%
Facing a 20-year high of 5.05% interest rates and these will stay higher for longer. In 2022, the government spent £111 billion on debt interest, which is more than what is spent on education.
Covid and the global financial crisis caused debt rates to soar

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12
Q

What were the three different routes taken by governments after the financial crisis?

A

The US government chose to respond by increasing national debt level to maintain consumer spending and an economic multiplier effect
However, centre right parties in the UK and Germany favoured policies of austerity to reduce government spending. This led to unemployment as government spending was cut
-Elsewhere, such as in Greece, countries had to aid their government as they nearly went under and hate crimes against immigrants soared.

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13
Q

What is structural unemployment?

A

Where certain demographic of people become unemployed because the demand for workers in sectors they are primarily in decreases. It’s mainly seen in male, low-skilled, middle aged workers, because they had jobs in manufacturing. There is very little enthusiasm to retrain

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14
Q

What is an example of structural unemployment?

A

Youth unemployment in the EU was 22% in 2015 and over 45% in Spain and Greece. Although by July 2023, this had reduced to 13.9%

Unemployment rates also vary between regions in the UK: In September 2023, NE England had 5.3% unemployment and SE England had 3.9%

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15
Q

Why is there issues in the UK with an ageing population and social care costs?

A

The baby boom of the 50s is reaching retirement age and with better health care, we have longer life expectancy.
Less people working means we have a higher dependency ratio with increased healthcare costs and higher state pensions

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16
Q

What is the ageing population and social costs like in the EU?

A

The EU’s workforce will decline by 14% by 2030 and by 2035, the total population will likely be falling. In 2021, healthcare in the UK accounted for 12% of GDP spending

17
Q

What are the costs of maintaining a military superpower?

A

Naval
Airforce
Nuclear weapons
Intelligence services

18
Q

How much does the UK spend on defense?

A

The UK has the world’s 5th largest defence budget at £46 billion in 2016-17, by this was the equivalent of just 10% of what the US spend. It’s 2.3% of the UK’s GDP

19
Q

What is an example of the UK improving as a naval power?

A

The Royal Navy’s newest Type 45 destroyers use the latest technology, but the UK only has 6

20
Q

Why is NATO spending contentious?

A

Only 5 members actually pay the target of 2% of their GDP on defence. 23 members do not meet this target, with median spending in 2015 being 1.2% of GDP. The five countries that meet the funding question why the others don’t and Trump is threatening to not back countries in times of war who do not pay their allocated amount

21
Q

What is UK government spending like on nuclear warheads?

A

In 2016, the UK government voted to replace the UK’s Trident nuclear defence with an updated version. It was cost the UK between £100 bn and £250bn over 40-50 years (4 submarines each carrying 16 missiles, each one armed with up to 8 nuclear war heads). These are expensive to make, protect and decommission given they may never be used

22
Q

Where has air power been used in the 21st century?

A

bombing in Libya after the Arab Spring of 2011 and in Syria.

23
Q

Which countries are committed to space exploration?

A

US: $16.7 bn
EU: $5.5bn
Russia: $5.6bn
Japan
China
India
Canada
Much of this funded goes towards the joint programme of the international space station

24
Q

Where is space budgets under threat and where are space budget flourishing?

A

Budgets in Western countries are under threat, while Asian countries, such as India and China have adopted major space programmes and are able to launch space flights much more cheaply:
India sent a non-crewed probe to the moon in 2008
China built and launched the Tiangong-I space station in 2011 and has landed an exploration rover on the moon

25
Q

Why is the US stronger as a superpower than the UK?

A

The USA is made up of states, which are not sovereign. This is unlike the EU which has 27 (28 before England left). It will be much easier to get the former to agree on policy.
The USA is not ageing as fast as the EU. It has a fertility rate of 1.9 versus 1.6 for the EU, so its population will be youthful for longer.

26
Q

What are the options for the future of superpowers?

A

US Hegemony - unipolar
Regional mosaic- multi-polar
New Cold War- bipolar
Asian Century - unipolar

27
Q

What would happen in a situation of US hegemony?

A

US dominance and economic and military alliances continue in a unipolar world: China faces and economic crisis due to high levels of debt and ceases to grow rapidly
Problems include spread of a westernised, ‘successful’ culture and smaller businesses would continue to be outcompeted by TNCs like Apple and McDonalds

28
Q

What would happen in the situation of a multi-polar world?

A

Emerging powers continue to grow while the EU and US decline, creating a multi-polar world of broadly equal powers with regional, but not global influence

29
Q

What would happen in a situation of a new cold war?

A

China rises to become equal in power to the US, and many nations align themselves with one ideology or another
Could see many African countries aligning themselves with communism

30
Q

What would happen in a situation of a unipolar world of the Asian century

A

Economic, social and political problems reduce the power of the EU and US; economic and political power shifts to emerging powers in Asia, led by China