Risk Markets Flashcards

1
Q

Define a risk

A

An uncertain event or condition, which if occurs, would impact on the achievement of an objective. We are concerned with risks that have a possibility of loss exposure (an uncertain event leading to a possible loss.)

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2
Q

Define risk transfer

A

is passing risk onto to professional counterpartiesD

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3
Q

Define retrocession

A

is the reinsuring of a risk by a reinsurer.

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4
Q

Define a peril and give different types

A

Peril is the underlying cause of the loss – the risk event.
Natural Perils
Human Perils
Economic Perils

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5
Q

Define hazard

A

Hazard is a condition that increases the frequency or severity of a loss. Ex: smoking is a mortality hazard

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6
Q

What is a viatical settlement

A

Allows you to invest in another person’s life insurance policy. With a viatical settlement, you purchase the policy (or part of it) at a price that is less than the death benefit of the policy. When the seller dies, you collect the death benefit.

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7
Q

How does efficiency relate to risk transfer

A

The market is said to be risk efficient if there is a good market for risk transfer ie. many companies, good capacity, reasonable transparency on prices etc

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8
Q

What does reinsurance do to risks and what do reinsurers offer

A

Insurance/reinsurance replaces event risk (and liquidity risk) with (the much smaller) event-counterparty risk combination
Reinsurer is the insurance company that insurer (‘direct writer’)
uses- have very specialist expertise
Reinsurance premium is more than the expected value of the claim
Must assess total value of services by reinsurers as well as pure risk mitigation
Reinsurers you expect to lose money but purpose is to try reduce tail risk of lots of things in aggregate going wrong together

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9
Q

What risks are reinsurers exposed to

A

Reinsurers can be exposed to a lot of counterparty risk. Ex: Hurricane risk - Reinsurer may go bust and can’t pay the insurer who had them reinsuring them.
To transfer risks you need to know there’s no information asymmetry. Otherwise reinsurer may not know how much risk they take on.

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10
Q

Why are reinsurers used?

A

Balance sheet protection to protect the solvency of the company.
Stabilise profit stream and selling volatility
To increase capacity
Achieve a more balanced mix of business (reciprocity)
Gain experience in new markets/new products
Cash flow assistance
For arbitrage

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11
Q

Explain why reinsurance can help achieve a more balanced mix of business - reciprocity idea

A

Reciprocal insurance exchanges are a form of insurance organisation in which individuals and businesses exchange insurance contracts and spread the risks associated with those contracts among themselves.

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12
Q

What do reinsurance contracts look like?

A

Can be contracts for differences, meaning you settle up at the end
Contracts are often tailored to meet the particular needs of the ceding company
Coinsurance contracts may be in place
Risks can be ceded on a facultative basis or under a treaty arrangement

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13
Q

What is coinsurance

A

Coinsurance is reinsuring a risk with several reinsurers. (don’t want credit risk to one particular company for big amounts)

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14
Q

What is meant by faculative or treaty arrangement and what are the consequences of these

A

Risks can be ceded on a facultative basis (each risk on an individual basis) or under a treaty arrangement (a blanket arrangement across an entire class of business.)

Treaty contracts; only negotiated once and then in place. Generally personal lines
Facultative means every risk has to be approved.

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15
Q

What is meant by proportional reinsurance and name two types

A

Reinsurer covers an agreed proportion of each risk: may be constant or may vary by risk covered
Does not cap the cost to the insurer of very large claims
Ex: quota share or surplus reinsurance

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16
Q

Explain quota share reinsurance

A

Fixed % of every risk is reinsured. Often used to spread risk, write larger portfolios of risk and encourage reciprocal business. Reinsurer pays half claims and gets half the premium for example (plus reinsurance premium)

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17
Q

Explain surplus reinsurance

A

Treaty specified the retention level and a maximum level of cover available form the reinsurer. For each risk the total cover (up to max) is now divided between insurer and reinsurer so the insurer is left with Line/[Total Cover], if Total Cover>Line, otherwise 100%. The reinsurer meets the balance (up to max), Constant of proportionality would be different for bigger contracts. Retention and max levels are specified in the treaty. For commercial covers of property, business etc they can be selected by the cedant.

18
Q

Explain non proportional reinsurance and name types

A

Used to get a cap on max loss
Enables the provider to accept risks that might give rise to large claims.
Stabilises the technical results of ceding provider by reducing claims fluctuations
Ex:
Excess of loss reinsurance
Risk excess of loss
Aggregate excess of loss (Aggregate XL)
Catastrophe excess of loss

19
Q

Explain excess of loss reinsurance

A

Cost to a ceding company of large claims is capped with the liability above a certain level being passed to a reinsurer called the excess point. If the claim amount exceeds the upper limit of the reinsurance, the excess will revert back to the ceding company.

20
Q

Explain Risk XL reinsurance

A

Relates to individual losses (one risk or per event basis)
Where a risk event can only result in the payment of the full sum insured, or no payment at all, claim amounts are identical under individual risk XL and surplus reinsurance.
Differ if there is a claim for less than the full sum.
Will be an excess point or deductible and a max limit.
Payout: Min(Max(direct claim minus deductible, 0),limit)

21
Q

Explain Aggregate XL reinsurance

A

Covers the aggregate of losses over a portfolio above an excess point and subject to an upper limit, sustained from a defined peril (or perils) over a defined period, usually one year.
Used when events can occur which involve losses to several insured risks
Claims may not be of exceptional size, but collectively the aggregate cost might be damaging
Stop loss reinsurance is a particular type but its not generally used.

22
Q

Explain Stop loss reinsurance

A

When all perils are covered for a ceding company’s whole account, or for a major class of business within the whole account, this is sometimes referred to as Stop Loss reinsurance. - type of Aggregate XL

23
Q

Explain Catastrophe XL

A

Contract will outline the amount of payment which is typically excess of the total claim amount over the cedant’s catastrophe retention level.
Definitions can be a long period of negotiation: what is a CAT
Reinsurance liability in respect of a single catastrophe claim would be subject to a maximum amount
Available on a yearly basis and then are renegotiated.

24
Q

What is ART?

A

Alternative risk transfer produces tailor-made solutions for risks that the conventional market would regard as uninsurable, using both capital market and insurance techniques.
Before ART insruance risks and capital market risks were separate
In theory capital markets have vastly greater capacity than the insurance sector to absorb those risks - hence market amergence. as insurers are restricted in the capital they can raise

25
Q

Explain contingent capital

A

Form of ART
Contingent capital - if CAT happens someone guarantees they will buy more shares. Usually would be hard to get as people would not want to buy shares.

26
Q

What do ART contracts include?

A

Securitisation: Transfer of risk to capital markets or to banks- bigger capacity
Post loss funding: for a commitment fee, funding is guaranteed on the occurrence of a specified loss
Insurance derivatives: Instead of basis on share of the instrument you base it on weather events. Carries basic risk.

27
Q

Expain ILS and their logic

A

Insurance-linked securities (ILS) are financial instruments whose values are driven by insurance loss events. ex: CAT bonds
Represent an asset class, with a return uncorrelated with other assets/asset classes.
Return required to hold catastrophe-linked insurance risk is typically lower for a capital markets investor than for a reinsurance company.

28
Q

Why in ART markets are SPVs used?

A

Use of SPVs is important. If it’s just a bond issued by a company then whoever is buying the bond is exposed to company risk of being bust , if it’s SPV we’re only exposed to that catastrophe risk.
Costs alot of money to set up SPV or SPI

29
Q

Explain the concept of a CAT Bond

A

Instead of reinsurance through a reinsurer, one might issue a bond but maybe the principal doesn’t have to be repaid based on some sort of event happening.

30
Q

Explain how a CAT bond works and the cashflows

A

SPV or SPI enter into a reinsurance agreement with a sponsor
SPV receives premiums
The capital (or principal) for the SPV is provided by investors, who are issued with securities (CAT bonds).
Coupons paid are the interest the SPV makes from the deposits and the (annual) premiums the sponsor pays.
Qualifying event occurs: SPV will liquidate collateral required to make the payment and reimburse the counterparty
If no trigger event occurs: liquidated at the end of the bond term and investors are repaid.

31
Q

Name four types of CAT Bond triggers in the ILS market:

A

Indemnity
Industry loss
Parametric
Modelled loss

32
Q

Explain indemnity as a type of CAT Bond triggers in the ILS market

A

no or explicit basis risk for insured but needs plenty of information and time to settle is long. Linked to outward claims for the insurer.

33
Q

Explain industry loss as a type of CAT Bond triggers in the ILS market

A

the availability of industry-wide insured loss surveying allows the structuring of industry loss based transactions, whereby the total industry loss in a particular region is the trigger. Basis risk and timing of payoff.

34
Q

Explain parametric as a type of CAT Bond triggers in the ILS market

A

A parametric transaction uses the direct drivers of physical damage in a catastrophic event as triggers, which is designed to correlate to modelled portfolio losses. Event parameters are published in a matter of days - rapidly settled but big basis risk

35
Q

Explain modelled loss as a type of CAT Bond triggers in the ILS market

A

A modelled loss transaction applies a modelled representation of a catastrophe event to a notional portfolio that represents the underlying insurance risk in order to determine a loss estimate that is used as a trigger.
Timely settlement and less basis risk than parametric

36
Q

Explain basis risk

A

Risk you’ve insured decided is not quite the event you got covered by reinsurance

37
Q

Outline roughly the Steps to estimate a model of losses from hurricane risk

A
  1. Stochastic event module defines event set
  2. User enters location data and building characteristics into the model - Get data
  3. Hazard module generates event information
  4. Vulnerability module retrieves hazard intensity and generates average damage
  5. Based on the estimated mean damage ratio and uncertainty, financial module calculates losses
  6. Financial loss is quantified
38
Q

How is longevity risk transfered by traditional methods and ART options

A

Longevity risk is the risk that longevity is not as expected.
Traditional Transfer: Annuity
ART Options: Longevity Swap or Longevity Bond

39
Q

Explain how a longevity swap works

A

Longevity Swap: Seller (eg: a pension scheme) makes regular payments based on agreed mortality assumptions to a buyer (an investment bank or insurer) and in return the buyer pays out amounts based on the scheme’s actual mortality rates.
The seller will also pay a fixed regular risk premium to offload the longevity risk while the buyer will typically transfer all or part the risk to capital or reinsurance markets.

40
Q

Explain how a longevity bond works

A

Longevity Bond: payments (coupon) are linked to a particular mortality index. The issuer (investment bank or insurer) pays more to the owner (eg: a pension scheme) when the scheme’s actual longevity exceeds that expected based on the mortality index.

41
Q

Whats a pro and con to longevity bonds

A

Large upfront payment needed to purchase the bond - disadvan
Longevity bonds are tradable
Can also sell bonds to others, if I no longer want that exposure.