Lecture 4 Flashcards
Which are the two reasons to value companies?
- Deciding wether or not to invest in publicly traded companies
- Determining the price when investing in a private firm, or when issuing new shares
How do you calculate the market value of equity?
Number of shares outstanding * price per share
What is an appropriate stock price according to the dividend-discount model?
The price should be equal to the present value of the expected future dividends
State the benefits of using the dividend-discount model
- Very simple & intuitive
* If we observe the share price, we can back out other unobservable inputs from the formula
State the problems with using the dividend-discount model
- Not very exact
- We have to assume that the riskiness of the firm stays constant
- Uncertainty associated with forecasting a firm’s dividend growth rate and future dividends
- Small changes in the assumed dividend growth rate can lead to large changes in the estimated stock price
How can you use the dividend-discount model to calculate cost of equity?
Substitute share price with discount rate (i.e. cost of equity)
How can dividend payments be increased?
Increase earnings, decrease # shares outstanding, or increase dividend payout rate
When can lowering the dividend payout rate actually increase the share price?
When the market expects that the rate is decreased to save capital for a large, profitable investment
How can the dividend-discount model be used for firms that do not show constant growth, e.g. young firms?
- Forecast individual dividends in the first few years (they can take any numbers you deem reasonable)…
- … then use a constant growth model for the “stable” part of a firm’s life
State the formula for enterprise value
Enterprise Value = Market Value of Equity + Debt − Cash
How can you obtain the EV (enterprise value)?
Discount the free cash-flows:
EBIT × (1 − τ) + Depreciation − Capital Expenditures − Increases in Net Working Capital
Which measure is used as discount rate when using the discounted free cash flow model?
The WACC, since free cash flows include both debt and equity
State the formula for market value of equity
Market Value of Equity = Enterprise Value – Debt + Cash
What is a valuation multiple?
A ratio of firm’s value to some measure of the
firm’s scale or cash flow
Which are the basic steps of the “multiples valuation” method?
- Take an accounting number from the company we want to value (e.g., earnings)
- Get the multiples (e.g., Price/Earnings) of 5-10 closely comparable companies
- Calculate the average or median
- Multiply the earnings figure from the company we want to value with the average P/E estimate from the comparable firms
- Viola: that’s our estimated share price