4.3.3 Flashcards
strategies influencing growth and development (41 cards)
what are Market-oriented strategies
Free-market approaches favour giving a larger role to private sector enterprises using liberalisation of markets, structural supply-side reforms to raise incentives for people and businesses and increased transparency for government also high on the policy agenda.
Examples of market-led policies?
- Fiscal discipline – emphasising greater control of government spending, budget deficits and national debt
- Reallocating state spending away from subsidies (e.g. minimum prices to farmers) towards health care,
education & infrastructure - Tax reforms – including widening the base of taxation and encouraging lower tax rates to raise enterprise and
work incentives as a means of creating wealth - Liberalizing market interest rates – i.e. letting financial markets allocate capital among competing uses
- Floating rather than fixed exchange rates – which implies an absence of central bank intervention
- Trade liberalisation via reductions in import tariffs and fewer forms of protectionism such as import quotas
and other non-tariff barriers - Privatisation – i.e. moving state enterprises into the private sector
market led intervention: what is Trade liberalisation?
Trade liberalisation involves a country lowering import tariffs and relaxing import quotas and other forms of protectionism. One of the aims of liberalisation is to make an economy more open to trade and investment so that it can then engage more directly in the regional and global economy. Supporters of free trade argue that developing countries can specialise in the goods and services in which they have a comparative advantage.
market led intervention: micro and macro effects of trade liberalisation?
Micro effects
* Lower prices for consumers / households which then increases their real incomes
* Increased competition / lower barriers to entry attracts new firms
* Improved efficiency – both allocative & productive
* Might affect the real wages of workers in affected industries
Macro effects
* Multiplier effects from higher export sales
* Lower inflation from cheaper imports – causing an outward shift of short run aggregate supply
* Risk of some structural unemployment / occupational immobility
* May lead initially to an increase in the size of a nation’s trade deficit
market led intervention: what is Promotion of Foreign Direct Investment?
Many countries rely on inflows of foreign direct investment (FDI) as a key source of aggregate demand and as a driver of real growth.
market led intervention: what are the gains and risks of inflows of FDI?
Main gains from attracting inflows of FDI:
1. Improved infrastructure especially in power and transport sectors
2. Higher capital intensity / capital deepening i.e. more capital per worker which leads to higher productivity
3. Better training for local workers leading to improved human capital and less risk of structural unemployment
4. Investment grows a country’s export capacity (e.g. via firms attracted into special economic zones)
5. Technology & know-how transfer, promoting diversification of the economy and reducing primary
dependence
6. More competition in markets which then lowers prices for consumers and increases their real incomes
7. Creates new jobs leading to higher per capita incomes and increased household savings
8. FDI can promote a shift to higher productivity jobs and high-value added industries
What are the main risks from policies designed to attract investment into an emerging economy?
1. Multinationals wield power within host countries especially LEDCs and they can gain favourable laws &
regulations
2. Foreign multinationals take advantage of weak laws on anti-competitive practices and environmental
protection
3. Multinationals have been criticised for poor working conditions in foreign factories
4. Profits made in an LEDC are often repatriated to the host country
5. Imports of components/capital goods initially have a negative effect on a country’s trade balance
6. Multinationals may only employ local labour in lower skilled jobs
market led intervention: what are some policies to attract FDI?
- attractive rates of corporation tax
- soft loans and tax reliefs/subsidies
- trade and investment agreements
- flexible labourforce + skilled workers
- creation of special economic zones
- high quality critical infrastrcuture
- open capital markets for remitted profits
- attraction of relatively low unit labour costs
market led intervention: how can the removal of government subsidies help?
conomists who support intervention to promote development argue that subsidies can play an important role in improving (for example) farm incomes which then leads to higher capital investment and supports innovation and improved productivity in the long run. Subsidies are also a way of encouraging increased production to help overcome the challenges of malnutrition among the poor and they help to generate surpluses for export.
market led intervention: how could government subsidies be argued against?
- Subsidies distort the working of the price mechanism
- Subsidies can stifle innovation because producers are less reliant on innovation as a way of making more
profit - Producers / growers can become “subsidy-dependent” in the long run and there is also the risk of corruption
syphoning off financial support to those who don’t need it - From an environmental point of view, subsidies can lower the incentive for producers to improve efficiency,
instead they are rewarded by increasing the intensification of farming which can lead to deforestation, a loss of biodiversity and increased water scarcity. Farmers may overuse fertilisers or pesticides, which can then result in soil degradation which reduces the maximum sustainable yield in the long run
market led intervention: what are the arguments in favouring of switching to a floating exchange rate?
- A floating exchange rate can be helpful for countries exposed to external economic shocks. For example,
Poland operates with a floating currency (the Zloty) inside the EU Single Market. When the global financial crisis erupted in 2007-08 and the wider European economy went into recession, the Polish zloty depreciated heavily against the Euro and the US dollar. This helped the Polish economy stabilise since their exports were now more competitive. In contrast, Greece was locked into the single currency and could not rely on a depreciation to restore some loss competitiveness - Floating exchange rates mean that a country’s central bank does not have to intervene to change the currency’s price. This means that they do not have to maintain large reserves of gold and other foreign currencies.
- Many developing countries have become more open to trade in goods and services and inflows and outflows of investment. Maintaining a floating exchange rate implies that capital controls will not be used to limit the inflow and outflow of currency and this in turn may make a country more attractive to foreign investment
- Floating currencies are not necessarily volatile ones and allowing market forces to determine the price means that a government/central bank is not using up foreign currency reserves to defend a fixed exchange rate that the market has decided is not sustainable
market led intervention: what is the evaluation of switching to a floating exchange rate?
Evaluation:
* A floating currency might be more appropriate for a country with a low trade to GDP ratio since exchange
rate fluctuations would have less of an impact on the trade balance and the inflation rate.
* We have to consider whether a country has the size and reserves to be able to control their own currency. Many smaller EU nations including the island countries of Cyprus and Malta have chosen to join the single
European Currency.
* An economy with one dominant trade partner might decide that the advantages of a pegged currency
outweigh come of the possible gains from currency flexibility
market led intervention: what does Microfinance refer to?
- Micro-credit - the provision of small-scale loans to the poor for example by credit unions
- Micro-savings – for example, voluntary local savings clubs provided by charities
- Micro-insurance - especially for people and businesses not traditionally served by commercial insurance
businesses - a safety net to prevent people from falling back into extreme poverty - Remittance management – managing remittance payments sent from one country to another including for example transfer payments made through mobile phone solutions
market led intervention: what are the benefits and disadvantages of micr-credit?
Benefits of micro-credit
* Helps overcome the savings gap which limits entrepreneurship
* Encourages entrepreneurship especially social enterprises
* Targeted at women entrepreneurs
* High rates of repayment because the system is built on social capital / trust
Disadvantages of micro-credit
* High interest rates
* Low success rate for new small businesses
* Alleged forcible collection of debt in many villages – hard to monitor
* Perhaps relatively ineffective compared to the impact of migrant remittances & foreign direct investment
market led intervention: what are the benefits and disadvantages of privatisation?
Benefits of privatisation:
1. Private companies have a profit incentive to cut costs and be more productively efficient and raise efficiency
2. Government gains revenue from the sale of assets and no longer has to support a potentially loss-making
industry
3. If a state monopoly is replaced by a number of firms this extra contestability in an industry will lead to lower
prices which helps to increase the real incomes of poorer households
4. The competitiveness of the macro economy may also improve especially if privatisation leads to increased
investment and benefits from economies of scale. Improved competitiveness will drive higher exports and long run GDP growth
Drawbacks / disadvantages from privatisation
1. Social objectives are given less importance because privately-owned firms are driven by the profit motive
2. Some activities are best run by the state operating in the public interest because they are strategic parts of
the economy e.g. water supply, steel and railways and have the characteristics of a natural monopoly
3. Government loses out on dividends from any future profits
4. Public sector assets are often sold cheaply, and the privatisation process may suffer from corruption
5. Privatisation leads to job losses as firms increase their efficiency – this increases the risk of poverty for those
affected
6. Unless privatised corporations are regulated effectively, there is a risk of creating private monopolies who use
their market power to increase prices and profits, this can have a regressive effect on the distribution of income
interventionist intervention strategies: what are interventionist strategies?
terventionist policies involve many different types of government intervention in markets designed to correct for multiple market failures, influence patterns of trade and investment and address some of the root causes of extreme poverty and inequality. Supporters of interventionist strategies believe in the concept of a developmental state – where the government can be an active and positive force in driving sustainable and inclusive growth and development
interventionist intervention strategies:
interventionist intervention strategies:
interventionist intervention strategies: what are some of the key possible roles for the state?
- Basic (universal) and health care
- Accessible & affordable education of good quality
- Infrastructure especially in telecommunications, health and transport
- Core public goods that the free-market under-provides
- Institutions of governance (including judiciary)
- Public-private partnerships in supporting urbanization
- Smarter regulation e.g. building codes, regulation of monopoly power
- Welfare provision to provide a basic social safety net and also encourage saving
- Progressive taxation and state spending to reduce inequality of income and wealth
interventionist intervention strategies: what are some interventions to improve human capital?
- Strategies to improve nutrition and reduce the extent of stunted growth among young people. An example
is the use of conditional cash transfers: Shombhob, a conditional cash transfer piloted in Bangladesh, has been found to reduce wasting among children aged 10-22 months and improve mothers’ knowledge about the benefits of breastfeeding - Other health interventions can also increase school attendance - a famous study in Kenya by economist Esther Duflo found that deworming in childhood reduced school absences while raising wages in adulthood by as much as 20 percent. A project in Nepal to improve basic sanitation led to a measured decline in anaemia among the young
- Increased investment in primary and secondary schooling - including policies to improve the quality of teaching and access to online education
- Incentives to attract an inflow of skilled migrant workers and curb ‘brain drains’ of highly qualified people - there are more Sudanese doctors working in London than Sudanese doctors working in Sudan.
- Investment in training to re-skill people at risk of unemployment from the fast-changing pattern of employment including robotics, automatic and artificial intelligence
- Cash transfer interventions can increase demand for education especially among the poorest families who must make hugely difficult decisions about how to spend a meagre budget
interventionist intervention strategies: Main arguments/justifications for protectionism?
- Import substitution - erecting trade barriers are designed to protect fledgling domestic industries that have
not yet achieved sufficient economies of scale to become cost and price competitive in international markets. The infant industry argument is often used as justification for tariffs that increase the prices of substitute products in strategically important industries - Need to raise tax revenues - import duty revenues can be a useful source of tax revenues for developing countries especially when per capita incomes and formal employment is low which then limits the tax take from the domestic economy.
- Tariffs can be justified as a response to alleged dumping of products into a country i.e. selling at a price below cost. Dumping can have a serious impact on the profits, investment and employment in those industries affected
- Tariffs might also be a retaliatory response to allegations that a country has used a competitive devaluation of their currency to make their exports more price competitive
interventionist intervention strategies: what are theorists of high tarrifs?
- Tariffs may protect jobs in some industries e.g. car making but have damaging effects elsewhere because
they increase the prices of key imported raw materials, components and capital technologies - Revenues raised by tariffs might only be a small percentage of total government revenue and lost jobs in
other sectors will diminish the net effect on these revenues - There is always the risk of retaliatory action by other countries - a good recent example has been the tit-for-
tat trade war developing between the United States and China - Protectionist tariffs risk causing a loss of competition for domestic firms which eventually leads to lower productivity, less innovation and weaker competitiveness
- Tariffs increase prices for consumers leading to higher inflation, reduced real incomes and an increased risk of poverty for poorer households
- Protectionist subsidies for domestic firms can cost a government a lot of money leading to an increased budget deficit and rising national debt
interventionist intervention strategies: why might a country switch to a managed exchange rate?
Overall, one key aim of managed floating currencies is to reduce the volatility of exchange rates. This is because big fluctuations in the external value of a currency can increase investor risk and perhaps damage business confidence. If the risk for example of overseas investor buying a government’s bonds rises, then they may demand a higher interest rate (or yield) on those bonds as compensation.
Managed floating exchange rates might also be used as a tool for a government to restore or improve the price competitiveness of exporters in global markets or perhaps respond to an external economic shock
interventionist intervention strategies: what policies can be used for managed exchange rates?
the central bank might attempt to bring about a depreciation to
* Improve the balance of trade in goods and services / improve the current account position
* Reduce the risk of a deflationary recession - a lower currency increases export demand and increases the
domestic price level by making imports more expensive
* Rebalance the economy away from domestic consumption towards exports and investment
* Sell foreign currencies to overseas investors as a way of reducing the size of government debt
Or to bring about an appreciation of the currency
* To curb demand-pull inflationary pressures
* To reduce the prices of imported capital and technology
interventionist intervention strategies: how will a joint venture promote growth and development?
A joint venture (JV) is a separate business entity created by two or more parties, involving shared ownership, returns and risks. Joint ventures provide an opportunity for developing countries to acquire specific expertise in industries that they are hoping will be a new source of comparative advantage in the years ahead. For global companies, a joint venture can be a quicker way of securing access to new markets that were previously closed or subject to some form of protectionist policy