6 Flashcards

(50 cards)

1
Q

Why can bonds with the same maturity have different interest rates?

A

Bonds with the same maturity can have different interest rates due to:

Default risk
Liquidity
Income tax considerations

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2
Q

What is default risk in the context of bonds?

A

Default risk occurs when the issuer of the bond is unable or unwilling to make interest payments or pay off the face value.

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3
Q

What is the difference between default-free bonds and default-risk bonds?

A

Default-free bonds (𝑖𝑑𝑓) are bonds with no risk of default.
Default-risk bonds (π‘–π‘‘π‘Ÿ) carry a risk of the issuer defaulting.

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4
Q

What is a risk premium?

A

The risk premium is the difference between the interest rates on default-risk bonds and default-free bonds. It is calculated as:
Risk premium = π‘–π‘‘π‘Ÿ βˆ’ 𝑖𝑑𝑓

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5
Q

What does liquidity mean in the context of bonds?

A

Liquidity refers to the ease with which an asset, such as a bond, can be converted into cash.

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6
Q

How do income tax considerations affect the risk structure of interest rates?

A

Income tax considerations can affect the attractiveness of bonds by influencing the after-tax returns. Bonds with favorable tax treatment may have lower interest rates compared to taxable bonds

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7
Q

What happens when there is an increase in default risk for corporate bonds?

A

Lower demand
Lower price
Higher interest rate

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8
Q

What happens to Treasury Bonds when there is an increase in default risk for corporate bonds?

A

Higher demand
Higher price
Lower interest rate

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9
Q

Which credit-rating agencies are responsible for estimating default risk?

A

Moody’s Investor Service
Standard and Poor’s Corporation
Fitch Ratings

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10
Q

What are considered low-risk bonds or investment-grade securities?

A

Bonds rated Baa (BBB) and above.

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11
Q

What are considered high-risk bonds or junk bonds?

A

Bonds rated below Baa (BBB), also known as speculative-grade bonds.

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12
Q

What were the consequences of the collapse of the subprime mortgage market in 2007?

A

Large losses among financial institutions.
Investors began to doubt the financial health of corporations with low credit ratings (e.g., Baa bonds).
Increased perceived default risk for Baa bonds, making them less desirable at any given price.

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13
Q

How did the perceived increase in default risk for Baa bonds affect their market?

A

The perceived increase in default risk made Baa bonds less desirable at any given price, as investors became more cautious.

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14
Q

What is a liquidity premium?

A

A liquidity premium is an interest premium that compensates investors for the lower liquidity (or harder-to-sell nature) of certain bonds.

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15
Q

Why do municipal bonds have lower interest rates than treasury bonds despite having a higher risk of default?

A

Municipal bonds have lower interest rates because the interest payments on municipal bonds are exempt from federal income taxes.

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16
Q

What is the tax advantage of municipal bonds?

A

The tax advantage of municipal bonds is that their interest payments are exempt from federal income taxes, making them attractive to investors in higher tax brackets.

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17
Q

How does tax exemption affect the demand for municipal bonds?

A

Tax exemption leads to higher demand for municipal bonds, as the interest payments are exempt from federal income taxes.

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18
Q

What is the effect of higher demand for municipal bonds on their price and interest rate?

A

Higher demand for municipal bonds leads to a higher price and a lower interest rate.

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19
Q

Why do bonds with favorable tax treatment, such as municipal bonds, have lower interest rates?

A

Bonds with favorable tax treatment, have lower interest rates because investors are willing to accept a lower return in exchange for the tax-exempt status of the bond.

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20
Q

How did the Obama tax increase impact the interest rates on municipal bonds compared to Treasury bonds?

A

The Obama tax increase from 35% to 39% led to lower interest rates on municipal bonds relative to Treasury bonds, as higher taxes made the tax-exempt status of municipal bonds more valuable.

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21
Q

Why did the income tax increase result in lower interest rates on municipal bonds?

A

The income tax increase made the tax-exempt interest on municipal bonds more valuable, leading to higher demand for municipal bonds, which in turn caused lower interest rates on them relative to Treasury bonds.

22
Q

What does the term structure of interest rates refer to?

A

The term structure of interest rates refers to the relationship between the interest rates on bonds with different maturity dates but identical risk, liquidity, and tax characteristics.

23
Q

Why do bonds with different maturity dates have different interest rates?

A

Bonds with different maturity dates may have different interest rates because the time remaining to maturity is different, even if the bonds have identical risk, liquidity, and tax characteristics.

24
Q

What is a yield curve?

A

A yield curve is a plot of the yield (to maturity) on bonds with differing terms to maturity but the same risk, liquidity, and tax considerations.

25
What does an upward-sloping yield curve indicate?
An upward-sloping yield curve indicates that long-term rates are above short-term rates. (people expect interest to increase in future)
26
What does a flat yield curve indicate?
A flat yield curve indicates that short-term rates and long-term rates are the same.
27
What does an inverted yield curve indicate?
An inverted yield curve indicates that long-term rates are below short-term rates. (people expect interest to fall)
28
What is the empirical facts that a good theory of the term structure of interest rates should explain?
interest rates on bonds of different maturities move together over time. when short-term interest rates are low, yield curves are more likely to have an upward slope; when short-term rates are high, yield curves are more likely to slope downward and be inverted yield curves almost always slope upward.
29
What is the Expectations Theory and what does it explain?
Expectations Theory explains the first two empirical facts It does not explain the third fact (yield curves almost always slope upward).
29
What is the Segmented Markets Theory and what does it explain?
Segmented Markets Theory explains the third empirical fact but not the first two
30
What is the Liquidity Premium Theory and why is it the most widely accepted?
Liquidity Premium Theory combines Expectations Theory and Segmented Markets Theory to explain all three empirical facts
31
What is the assumption of Rational Expectations Theory regarding long-term and short-term bond interest rates?
The interest rate on a long-term bond will equal the average of the short-term interest rates that people expect to occur over the life of the long-term bond. The difference in interest rates of bonds with different maturities is due to the fact that short-term interest rates may have different values at future dates.
32
What is the second assumption of Rational Expectations Theory regarding bond maturity preferences?
Buyers do not prefer bonds of one maturity over another. Bonds are perfect substitutes, meaning that the expected return on bonds of different maturities is equal.
33
A: purchase a 1-year bond (𝑖𝑑 = 9%), hold to maturity; then, purchase another 1-year bond (𝑖𝑑+1 𝑒 = 11%). B: purchase a 2-year bond (𝑖2𝑑 = ?)
compute the average: 9% +11% / 2 = 10% Expected returns on strategies A and B must be equal, per year.
34
34
What does the Rational Expectations Theory explain about the term structure of interest rates?
Fact 1: Interest rates on bonds with different maturities move together over time. The theory explains this by assuming that long-term interest rates are an average of expected future short-term rates. Fact 2: Yield curves tend to slope upward when short-term rates are low and slope downward when short-term rates are high.The theory explains this by assuming that expectations of future interest rates influence long-term rates. Fact 3: The theory does not explain why yield curves usually slope upward. For example, if short-term interest rates are expected to remain unchanged, the yield curve is flat. If short-term rates are expected to fall, the yield curve can become inverted.
35
What does the Segmented Markets Theory assume about bonds of different maturities?
bonds of different maturities are not substitutes for each other, and the interest rate for each bond is determined by demand and supply in separate, segmented markets for each maturity.
36
How does the Segmented Markets Theory explain investor preferences for bond maturities?
Investors generally have short desired holding periods and prefer shorter-term bonds because they have less interest-rate risk.
37
Why does the Segmented Markets Theory explain why yield curves usually slope upward (Fact 3)?
The higher demand for short-term bonds leads to lower interest rates on short-term bonds. To attract investors to longer-term bonds, these bonds must offer higher returns, making the yield curve typically slope upward.
38
How does the Segmented Markets Theory explain why long-term bonds offer higher interest rates than short-term bonds?
Because investors prefer short-term bonds with less interest-rate risk, there is higher demand for short-term bonds. To attract investors to long-term bonds, these bonds must offer higher interest rates.
39
What is the Liquidity Premium Theory?
The Liquidity Premium Theory is a modification of the Expectations Theory with features of the Segmented Markets Theory. It explains all three empirical facts about interest rates and the yield curve.
40
What does the Liquidity Premium Theory assume about bonds of different maturities?
Bonds of different maturities are substitutes, but not perfect substitutes.
41
How is the interest rate on a long-term bond determined under the Liquidity Premium Theory?
The interest rate on a long-term bond equals an average of expected short-term interest rates over the bond's life plus a liquidity premium that adjusts based on supply and demand conditions for the bond.
42
What does the liquidity premium represent in the Liquidity Premium Theory?
The liquidity premium reflects the additional interest rate required to compensate for the risk of holding longer-term bonds, including the uncertainty about future interest rates and the potential difficulty in selling the bond.
43
Why do investors prefer shorter-term bonds over longer-term bonds according to the Liquidity Premium Theory?
Investors prefer shorter-term bonds because they bear less interest-rate risk. Longer-term bonds are more sensitive to interest rate changes
44
What must investors be offered to hold longer-term bonds in the Liquidity Premium Theory?
Investors must be offered a positive liquidity premium (also called a term premium) to compensate for the interest-rate risk associated with holding longer-term bonds.
45
What is the formula for the interest rate on a long-term bond according to the Liquidity Premium Theory?
int = (it+ it+1 +it+2 +β‹―+it(nβˆ’1))/n + lnt ​ int is the interest rate on the long-term bond. 𝑖𝑑 is the expected short-term interest rate. 𝑙𝑛𝑑 is the liquidity (term) premium.
46
liquidity premium 2 facts
It is always positive increases with maturity.
47
How does the liquidity premium change with the maturity of a bond?
The liquidity premium is positive and increases with maturity, meaning longer-term bonds typically have a higher liquidity premium than shorter-term bonds.
48
What does the Preferred Habitat Theory assume about investors?
Preferred Habitat Theory assumes that investors have a β€˜preferred habitat’—a preference for bonds of a particular maturity. They generally prefer short-term bonds but will switch to long-term bonds if the expected return is higher.