Chapter 33-Investment Flashcards

1
Q

State the 3 main principles of investment for a life insurance company (5) and how can these investment principles be summarised (2)?

A

Principles of investment

(1) To minimise risk, insurer should select investments that are appropriate to nature, term and currency of liabilities
(2) Investments should be selected to maximise overall return on assets, including both investment income and capital gains

(3)Extent to which ‘appropriate’ investments referred to above may be departed from to maximise overall return will depend, amongst other things, on
+extent of company’s free assets
+company’s risk appetite

Alternatively, principles of investment may be stated as

(1) company should invest so as to maximise overall return on assets,
(2) subject to risk taken on being within available financial resources

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2
Q

List the 4 main asset classes in descending order of (likely) expected return (4)

A

Main asset classes in descending order of (likely) expected return

(1) equities and property
(2) corporate bonds
(3) government bonds
(4) cash and money market instruments

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3
Q

What are the key characteristics according to which we consider and compare various asset classes? (7)

Which is the most important characteristic to consider, and what points do we need to bare in mind regarding this characteristic? (6)

A

We can consider asset types according to the following key “SYSTEM T” characteristics

Spread (volatility)
Yield (return)
Security
Term
Expenses
Marketability
Tax

Of the above characteristics, ‘yield/return’ is the most important, in particular

+how much expected return will be
+whether return is real vs nominal
+split of return between +income and capital gain
+whether running yield sufficient for investors’ needs
+variance of return
+tax implications for return

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4
Q

In addition to the highly important ‘investment return’ asset class characteristics, what 2 other factors are of key importance? (2)

A

Statutory constraints on insurer holding certain assets

Tax implications
+tax reduces returns
+tax regime may favour investment in particular assets
+tax regime may favour income over capital gain (or vice versa)

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5
Q

Government fixed interest bonds

Discuss characteristics (10)

A

Spread (volatility):

+return not variable, unless not held to redemption, very important when considering matching issues

+short term market value fluctuation with market, eventual redemption unaffected by such fluctuation

Yield (return):
+nominal

+coupon yield similar to money market yield; may also be zero coupon, where running yield is zero, and all of return is capital gain through redemption value’

Security:

+very secure, most secure asset class other than cash

Term:
depends on market, typical 15 to 20 years

Expenses:
low dealing costs

Marketability:
most marketable and common asset type

Tax:

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6
Q

Government index linked bonds

Discuss characteristics (9)

A

Spread (volatility)

real return not variable, unless not held to redemption, very important when considering matching issue

short term market value fluctuations with market, eventual redemption unaffected by such fluctuation

Yield (return)
payments defined in terms of index eg price inflation => impacts nominal returns

Security

very secure, as with fixed interest gov bonds

Term

less variety than gov fixed interest bonds + smaller amounts issues

Expenses

probably low dealing costs, but more expensive than gov fixed interest, as less variety traded

Marketability

lower marketability than gov bonds, because of less variety/smaller amts
Tax

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7
Q

Corporate fixed interest bonds

Discuss characteristics (9)

A

Spread (volatility)

non volatile return, if held to maturity

market value fluctuates with markets, but less important if held to redemption

Yield (return)

higher return than government fixed interest bonds of same term

running yield similar to prevailing market interest rates for term concerned

Security

less secure than government bonds
can be a problem if issuing company not AAA rated

Term
terms similar to government bonds

Expenses
higher dealing

Marketability

lower marketability

Tax

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8
Q

Equities

Discuss characteristics (13)

A

Spread (volatility)

+volatile income/capital value

+volatility can be problematic even when holding the asset for long term income, because

+may need to be valued to help demonstrate solvency and

+when having to redeem it for much less than hoped

Yield (return)

+returns (dividend) which would be expected to increase in real terms

+market value of share also expected to increase in real terms

low running yields

Security

+underlying company itself might go bankrupt/perform badly

Term

+what is the term for an equity? well, can be held in perpetuity

+for matching purposes, discounted mean term is important measure of term, and it is finite for equities

Expenses

+usually low dealing costs; depends on how developed market is

Marketability

+highly marketable in some markets where equity investments is very developed, but there will also be almost unmarketable stocks

+in other markets equity investment may not be an option because of the size and reliability of the local market, in which case could consider overseas investment in more mature stock exchanges

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9
Q

Property

Discuss characteristics (9)

A

Spread (volatility)

+highly volatile market value, many property markets suffer from some form of cycle

Yield (return)

+normally associated with relatively high return
income in form of rent; low running yield, should increase in real terms

Security

+normally seen as secure, though income stream may suffer occasional interruptions

Term

+could be held in perpituity; very long term investment (like equity)

+unlike equity, option of buying with intent to sell in short term no practical due to impact of dealing costs

Expenses

+significant dealing expenses
also significant expenses incurred in administering/holding asset

Marketability

very unmarketable

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10
Q

Cash

What do we mean by ‘cash instruments’? (1)

Discuss characteristics ( 7)

A

By cash, we normally mean

money held on overnight accounts earning spot rates of interest

Investment characteristics of cash

Spread (volatility)

+least variable value, especially in the short term

Yield (return)
+relatively low return

Security

+most secure asset class

Term

+usually very short term
in fact, because of relatively low term, discounted mean is around zero

Expenses

+very low dealing costs

Marketability

+very liquid

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11
Q

What is perfect liability matching? (1)

Why is asset liability matching generally undesirable, and under what circumstances may it be desirable? (2)

A

Perfect asset liability matching is when

+assets are chosen whose proceeds are identical to outgo of money being paid out on liabilities, as they occur => would be no investment risk

Desirability/undesirability of asset liability matching

+perfect matching usually undesirable as it removes chance of investment profit

+may be desirable if company has very low free assets such that, without matching, probability of ruin would be unacceptably high

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12
Q

What is the difference between cash flow matching risk and short term asset shock risk?

A

cash flow mismatching

+risk over time asset proceeds income less than outgo needed to meet liabilities due to such things as

+having to buy assets in future at lower than expected yields

+having to sell assets at depressed market values.

+result of assets liability mismatch by nature, term or currency and its effect unfolds over time as actual cash flows take place (requires cash flow projection to assess mismatch.)

short term asset shocks risk

+relates to whether company would continue to be able to meet its supervisory reserving requirements if market investment conditions were to change suddenly.

e.g. change in fixed interest yields or a fall in capital values of equity and property.

identify risk, analyse statutory solvency position under different assumptions of current investment conditions.

This is known as resilience testing.

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13
Q

What are the constituent parts of the liability outgo of a life company? (3)

A

Insurer’s liabilities can be split into the following constituent parts

+benefit payments,
+expenses,
+premium income

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14
Q

List four categories in which liabilities can be split according to the nature of the payments involved?

Give an example of a payment type falling in each category?

A

(1) guaranteed in monetary terms

+this includes guaranteed benefit payments under all forms of without profits contracts and the accrued contractual benefits under with profits contracts

+premium payments treated as negative liability outgo

(2) guaranteed in terms of an index of prices or similar

+benefits whose amount is directly linked to such an index

+inflation linked contracts and expenses payments

(3) discretionary

+Consist of future bonus payments under with profits contracts and surrender values where these are not guaranteed.

+Level of discretion will depend upon bonus distribution method used.

(4) investment-linked

consists of benefits under unit linked and index linked contracts, the amounts of which are determined directly by the value of investments underlying the contracts.

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15
Q

In an investment context, what do we normally mean by ‘term’ of an asset/liability? (4)

A

concept of discounted mean term (DMT, duration) rather than actual nominal term

DMT defined as

+weighted sum of the terms of payments

+where the weight attributed to each term is the present value of the payment at that term. useful in considering an appropriate investment strategy.

+matching liability DMT with suitable assets results in assets that move in value with the liability in the event of interest rate movements/fluctuations

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16
Q

In an investment context, what impact does currency/investing overseas play? (5)

A

+liabilities denominated in certain currency should be matched by assets in same currency, to reduce currency risk

may also invest overseas
+if liabilities are denominated in that overseas currency

+for diversification

+greater returns

+gain access to different asset classes/types otherwise unavailable

17
Q

Liability nature effects on investment strategy: guaranteed in monetary terms

Discuss how an insurer will invest its assets for liabilities guaranteed in money terms (5)

A

Insurer will invest to
ensure it can meet guarantees

this means investing in assets that produce flow of asset proceeds to match liability outgo, taking account of
+term of liability outgo and
+probability of payments being made

Fixed interest assets would be best match though exact matching generally won’t be possible,

usually impossible to find assets whose proceeds exactly match expected liability outgo

particularly as terms of available fixed interest securities are often much shorter than corresponding liabilities

18
Q

Liability nature effects on investment strategy: guaranteed in monetary terms

Comment on the use of immunisation (8)

A

Immunisation may be useful but subject to theoretical and practical constraints

loss of mismatching profits

difficult to immunise real liabilities

only works/helps for small interest rate changes

assumes flat yield curve

need to re balance portfolio to immunised position constantly

assets of required term may not exist

assets proceeds timing unknown, and liabilities can only be estimated

19
Q

Liability nature effects on investment strategy: guaranteed in terms of index

Discuss how an insurer will invest its assets for liabilities guaranteed in terms of a prices index (5)

A

Suitable match would be index-linked securities, where available…

…ideally chosen to match expected term of liability outgo

In their absence, invest in assets expected to provide ‘real’ return, eg
equities and property

20
Q

Liability nature effects on investment strategy: discretionary benefits

Discuss how an insurer will invest its assets for discretionary benefits (6)

A

Main aim when investing for discretionary benefits is to maximise discretionary benefits,

so invest in assets producing highest expected return

Recipients of discretionary benefits usually expect proceeds of contracts to maintain value in ‘real’ terms.

So invest in assets expected to give ‘real return’

Given these considerations, common approach is to invest in ‘blue-chip’ equities and property

21
Q

Liability nature effects on investment strategy: discretionary benefits

How might the balance between discretionary (non-guaranteed) and guaranteed benefits impact investment strategy? (5)

A

Balance between discretionary/guaranteed benefits may also impact investment

bonus philosophy of company
low guaranteed benefits/more terminal bonuses => more equities, worried about matching only closer to policy maturity

level of free assets

risk appetite of company

published investment strategy

insurer’s view of relative performance of various asset

22
Q

Liability nature effects on investment strategy: investment linked liabilities

Discuss how an insurer will invest its assets for investment linked liabilities (3)

A

such benefits are guaranteed in the sense that their value can be determined at any time in accordance with definite formula, based on value of specified fund of assets (or investment index)

insurer can avoid investment matching problems by investing in same assets as used to determine benefits

often regulatory requirement to invest these same assets,

23
Q

Outline the impact of free assets on investment strategy (4)

A

free assets can be used as a cushion to reduce the probability of becoming insolvent

Allows company to mismatch/depart from matching strategies to improve overall return on its assets and thereby benefit:

Policyholders - through higher bonuses, or lower premium/charging rates

shareholders (if any) through higher dividends

24
Q

Describe the approach an insurer could take to developing an investment strategy

(Categorise, match, 4)

(Free assets, 3)

(Cash, 1)

A

(1) categorise liabilities: guaranteed in terms of monetary/index, investment linked, discretionary
(2) match investment linked liabilities exactly
(3) match liabilities guaranteed in reference to index if possible, if not possible choose nearest thing
(4) match liabilities guaranteed in monetary terms with government bonds & possibly some corporate bonds of suitable term

(5) discretionary benefits
ideally invest in low risk equity and property normally weighted towards equity, because of difficulty associated with property

(6) Free assets
normally invested in riskier equities and property

(7) include sufficient cash
for company to operate on daily basis without need to realise any non cash assets

25
Q

Outline the process for determining an optimal investment strategy using an asset-liability model (lots of points…easily 10 marks in an exam))

  1. Model
  2. Allocate free assets
  3. Stochastics
  4. Solvency capital requirement checks
  5. Profit measure
  6. Repeat
  7. Identify
A

(1) Using a model of business in force, a model investment portfolio can be built up based on the company’s proposed/current investment strategy
(2) Allocate adequate proportion of free assets to support underlying reserves
(3) Perform stochastic projections of a company’s future assets and liabilities on a statutory valuation basis

incorporate stochastic investment model to project future investment income & capital gains/losses +

stochastic inflation rate models for future expenses

may also account for future new business growth plans, hence future new business strain

stochastic projections results will give a statistical distribution of amounts available to meet solvency capital requirement, hence calculate the probability of future insolvency

(4) Check excess of assets over liabilities exceeds any minimum capital requirement (or multiples thereof) for the entire projection period for chosen confidence level (eg 99% of sims)
(5) Identify success measure useful to compare investment strategies eg profitability
proprietary: some measure of distributed profit over the future horizon

highest expected returns aren’t always most successful, as also depends on how liabilities move…consider overall profit emerging

(6) Repeat steps assuming different investment strategies until the target probability of insolvency achieved

Identify which of the possible strategies, having equal insolvency risk, produces the highest profitability

26
Q

List 4 aspects of a life insurer’s financial position that could be investigated using asset-liability modelling (5)

A

Level of riskiness of investment strategy that can be supported

Level of free assets required to support any business strategy

Probability of insolvency

interdependence between above three aspects