Agriculture And food Supply Flashcards
(144 cards)
What are emission scenarios determined by
Economic growth Population growth Fossil fuel use Land use change New technologies
What has the temperature risen by in the last century
0.6*C
What are the 3 major changes causing in agriculture
Human activity changing co2
Changes in global surface temperature
Changes in rainfall
What do we need to do To predict effect of further climates on crip yield
Increase atmospheric co2 concentrations
Increase atmospheric temperature
Adjust rainfall accordingly
What are the impacts of a particular change in one factor dependant on
The effect of others
Why is there less impact of elevated co2 under drought
Bc they are stimulated by increase co2 so more spruce for them to photosynthesis so if drought hits there’s a greater effect
Why is there renter impact of increased temperature effects under elevated co2
Under aminant co2 concentrations a few difference in growth f plants; under elevated co2 concentrations elevate the growth
What are the limitations of the experiment on complex interactions between environmental factors that stimulates global climate change
Strictly controlled engionrmwntw
Limited temp fluctuations
Timing of irrigation may not simulate rainfall
Limited pot size
Some components of environmental change not considered
Plants not grown until yield
What is a way to improve the experiment on complex interactions between environmental factors that stimulates global climate change
Use previous environment/ yield data to stimulate future yields.
Example of a place to compile yield data
Lobell and Asner 2003. Complies historical records on rainfall, light temperatures across growing zones in USA. Accessed info on crop yields in same parts and then they just did some statistical associations to understand whether the changes in environment were correlated to changes in crop yield.
Examples of crops which decreased yield in some places and increased elsewhere with increased temperature
Soy bean and corn bean
What is the correlation between rainfall and light intensity with crop yields
Not correlated
Why does increased temperature decrease yield for maize and soybean
Crops had development sped up by increased temperature. Had leaves exposed to light for short time, life cycle is compressed, photosynthesis is less and therefore lower yield
What is the climate change effect on percentage crop yield trends due to predicted impacts of temperature and rainfall for maize
-3.8% (lobell£
What is the climate change effect on percentage crop yield trends due to predicted impacts of temperature and rainfall for wheat
-5.5% (lobell)
What has climate change already decrease maize production by
4%
What is the limitation of the Lobell study
Model takes no account of:
Expansion of cropping areas into cooler climates where previously could not be grown.
Use of new varieties like plant breeding and genetic modification to make them more adaptive.
Farmer changes in cropping practice like earlier planning date.
Rainfall intensity to determine soil water uptake.
Co2 fertilising effects.
What is farmer changes in cropping practice called
Agronomy
What are the 3 major approaches to determining the effects of climate change on food production
Experimental
Historical yield/ environment analysis
Crop growth/ stimulation modelling
What are the 3 major approaches to mitigating the effects of climate change in food production
Plant breeding to exploit natural genetic diversity
GM by adding/ altering specific genes
Agronomy by changing the environment through agricultural practices
What is the concept of plant breeding
Select a wild relative showing tolerance to a component of climate change.
Over many cycles of crowding and selection a new genotype is created and released.
What is a component of climate change
Drought
High temperatures
Blight
Example of wild relatives of rice that are stress tolerant
Oryx rufipogon
Example of wild relatives of wheat that are stress tolerant
Aegilops