Austin Investment Planning Deck Flashcards
(29 cards)
Value Line and Morningstar Rankings
Value Line:
* Ranks Stocks
* Scale (High - Low): 1 - 5
Morningstar:
* Mutual Funds; Stocks; ETFs; Bonds
* Scale (High - Low): 5 Star -1 Star
Ex Dividend Date; Date of Record
- Ex Dividend Date is 1 day before date of record
- An investor must purchase the stock before the ex-dividend date or 2 business days prior to the date of record.
- Remember: An investor must buy the stock prior to the ex-dividend date to receive the dividend.
Commercial Paper
Short term loans between corporations.
Maturities of 270 days or less.
Not registered with the SEC.
Commercial paper has denominations of $100,000 and are sold at a discount.
Bankers’ Acceptance
Facilitates imports/exports.
Maturities of 9 months or less.
Can be held until maturity or traded.
Eurodollars
Deposits in foreign banks that are denominated in US dollars.
Weighting on Indexes
Price Weighted Index:
1. Only takes stock price into consideration when calculating the average.
2. Dow Jones Industrial Average
Value (CAP) Weighted Index:
1. Takes market capitalization (shares outstanding x price) into account.
2. S&P 500; Russell 2000
3. Wilshire 5,000: Best index for large, mid, and small cap stocks
Describe “time-weighted” and “dollar-weighted” returns.
Time-weighted:
1. Time-weighted returns DO NOT consider cash inflow or outflow.
2. Measure performance without inflow/ outflow
3. Mutual funds report on a time-weighted basis.
Dollar-weighted:
1. Dollar-weighted returns take an investor’s cash flow into consideration.
2. Investors report returns on a dollar-weighted basis.
What do technicians consider in their analysis?
- Charting
- Market Volume
- Short Interest
- Odd Lot Trading
- The Dow Theory
- Breadth of the Market
- Advance Decline Line
What does Fundamental Analysis consider?
- Financial statement analysis through ratio analysis.
- Economic data such as GDP, inflation and interest rates.
- Provides a method for determining a securities price based upon future cash flows.
Agency Bonds
- Agency bonds are not backed by the full faith and credit of the U.S. government They are a moral obligation of the U.S. government.
- Exception to the rule - GNMA bonds are backed by the full faith and credit of the U.S. Government
Three Types of Municipal Bonds
General Obligation Bonds
1. backed by the taxing authority that issued the bond.
Revenue Bonds
1. backed by the revenues to be generated by the project for which the bond was issued (e.g. – toll roads).
Private Activity Bonds
1. used to fund private activities such as stadiums.
What companies insure municipal bonds?
American Municipal Bond Assurance Corp. (AMBAC)
Municipal Bond Insurance Association Corp. (MBIA)
Bond Duration
- It measures a bond’s price sensitivity to changes in interest rates.
- The bigger the duration, the more price sensitive or volatile the bond is to interest rate changes.
- Duration is the moment in time the investor is immunized from interest rate risk and reinvestment rate risk.
- It’s the weighted average time until an investor receives all the coupon payments and principal.
- A bond portfolio should have a duration equal to the investor’s time horizon to be effectively immunized.
Duration Relationships
Direct Relationship with Duration:
1. Term
Inverse Relationship with Duration:
1. Coupon Rate
2. Yield
Characteristics of Option Pricing Models
Black Scholes Model
1. Used to determine Value of a CALL Option
2. Current price of the underlying asset. Time until expiration. The risk-free rate of return. Volatility of the underlying asset
Put/ Call Parity:
1. Used to determine Value of a PUT Option
Binomial Pricing Model:
1. Explains prices based upon the underlying asset price moving in two directions.
Security Market Line (SML)
The SML represents the tradeoff between systematic risk and return for a security.
The intersection of the SML on the y-axis represents a risk free rate of return.
The SML also graphically represents the CAPM.
Beta is the risk measure used.
Yield Curve Theories (3)
Liquidity Preference Theory
1. Investors are willing to accept a lower yield on short term bonds because of their preference for liquidity.
2. Results in an upward sloping yield curve (up and to the right).
Market Segmentation Theory:
1. The yield curve depends on supply and demand for bonds and various maturities.
2. When supply is greater than demand, rates are higher to incentivize investors.
3. When demand is greater than supply, rates are lower since issuers don’t have to pay as much to attract investment.
Expectations Theory:
1. The yield curve reflects investors’ inflation expectations.
2. When inflation is expected to be higher in the future, long term rates will be higher than short term bonds.
Heuristics/ Biases
1. Overconfidence:
Hindsight Bias:
* Hindsight bias is a form of overconfidence related to an investor’s belief that they had predicted an event that, in fact, they did not predict.
** Cognitive Dissonance:**
* Cognitive dissonance is also a form of overconfidence because an investor’s memory of past performance is better than the actual results.
Anchoring:
* Anchoring represents the investor’s inability to objectively review and analyze new information. The investor is “anchored” to the first information they reviewed.
Types of Straddles and Why
- Long Straddle: Buy a call and buy a put; this is when an investor Stock to go way up or way down, but unsure of which direction (expects volatility)
- Short Straddle: Sell a call and sell a put; this is when an investor is anticipating a trading range (no volatility)
* Think Long = long way down or long way up
Preferred Stock
- Both Equity and Debt Features
- Stated at par value and dividend is stated as percentage of par
- Price of bond will fluctuate with common stock
- Deduction for all dividends received
Types of Real Estate Investment Trusts
- Equity Reits: Invest in real estate for capital appreciation; Income is from rental income and appreciation
- Mortgage Reits: Invest in mortgages and construction loans; makes spread between lending and borrowing
- Hybrid Reits
Real Estate Investment Trust (REIT): General
General Information about REITs
* REITS must pay out 90% of investment income to shareholders to maintain tax exempt status
* Attractive due to low correlation with stock market
* Behve similar to a closed ended mutual fund
* Add to portfolio when INFLATION is expected
Options Strategies
R-Squared (R^2)
Define:
1. statistical measure that represents the percentage of a fund or security’s movements that can be explained by movements in a benchmark index
2. Measure of how well diversified a portfolio is and how closely tied it is to the movements of index
3. If r^2 is GREATER THAN .7; Beta IS A GOOD MEASURE of risk
Equity Benchmark: SandP 500
Fixed Income Benchmark: T-Bill
Formula
R-Squared = Correlation^2