Balance of Payments Flashcards

(31 cards)

1
Q

Balance of payments

A

A record of all the financial transactions that occur between it and the rest of the world

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2
Q

Surplus of an account

A

Whenever a balance has positive value (credit > debit)

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3
Q

Deficit of an account

A

Whenever a balance has a negative value (debit > credit)

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4
Q

Current Account Balance with other accounts

A

Current account + Capital account + financial account = 0

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5
Q

Payments in Current account

A

Exports/Imports:

  • Goods/Services

Income: (Different forms of income)

  • Wages (for labor)
  • Dividends (for shares)
  • Interest (for capital)

Current Transfers: (transfers from abroad)

  • (Foreign) Aid
  • Remittances (sent home from workers abroad)
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6
Q

Payments in Capital Account

A

Capital Transfers (inflows - outflows):

  • debt forgiveness
  • investment grants (provided by governments)
  • sale of fixed assets

Transactions non-financial assets (inflows - outflows:

  • land, mineral rights, forestry rights, airspace
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7
Q

Payments in Financial Account

A

FDI (inflows - outflows):

  • investments in physical capital (buildings, factories)

Portfolio Investment (inflows - outflows):

  • bonds & stocks

Reserve Assets (official reserves):

  • Foreign currencies held by central bank to manage exchange rates.

Official Borrowing:

  • Govt borrowings abroad
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8
Q

Current Account

A

The sum of the balance of trade in goods and services, income and current transfers.

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9
Q

Capital Account

A

The sum of the balance of capital transfers and transactions in non-produced, non financial assets.

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10
Q

Financial Account

A

The sum of (FDI), portfolio investment, reserve assets and official borrowing.

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11
Q

Balance of trade

A

Trade balance:

  • Export of goods - the imports of goods = Visible exports - visible imports = 0
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12
Q

Export

A

Exports are produced in domestic country and bought by foreign country

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13
Q

Imports

A

Imports are goods produced in foreign countries and bought by domestic country

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14
Q

Debit

A

payments made from the economy - money flows out

  • debits create supply of the currency - depreaciation
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15
Q

Credit

A
  • payments received by the economy from other economies - money flows in
  • credits create demand for a currency - appreaciation
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16
Q

Why are the current account and financial account interdependent?

A
  • Due to imports, it consume outside the PPC, hence there must be a matching financial account surplus to provide the country with the necessary foreign exchange to pay for excess imports over exports
  • A current account surplus means consuming less than produced, and a part of the income generated from the sale of extra output produced correspond to a financial account deficit.
17
Q

Causes of Current Account Deficit (Imports > Exports)

A
  • If the economy is at full employment (all resources are used in an economy)
  • If you are less efficient than the rest of the world
18
Q

Causes of Current Account Surplus
(Exports > Imports)

A
  • Price of a country’s exports increases (and quantity is unchanged).
  • Recession → consumer cut down consumption, including imports → export > imports
  • If a country is more efficient than the rest of the world
19
Q

Consequences of a Current Account Deficit
(Imports > Exports)

A
  • Increase imports demand → reduce domestic output → causing layoffs and unemployment. (-)
  • Increase imports demand → AD decrease → Recession (-)
  • Increase in imports of capital goods may lead to a current account surplus in the future (+)
20
Q

Consequences of a Current Account Surplus
(Exports > Imports)

A
  • Can build up foreign reserves (+)
  • Improves AD and leads to economic growth (+)
  • Deindustrialization (-)
  • Feedback effects (-)
  • Can be inflationary (AD increase) (-)
  • Depression of domestic living standards (-)
21
Q

Implications of a persistent current account deficit (HL Only)

A
  • Depreciating Exchange Rate
  • High Interest Rates (increase financial account)
  • Foreign ownership of domestic assets (increase financial account)
  • High Debt
  • Low Credit Ratings
  • Lower Economic Growth
22
Q

Implications of a persistent current account surplus (HL Only)

A
  • Lower domestic consumption and investment
  • Appreciation of domestic currency
  • Reduced export competitiveness (depends on PED)
  • Both an inflationary and deflationary effect on price levels
  • increase employment
23
Q

BOP and Exchange Rates (HL): Current Account

A

Current account surplus = appreaciation

  • Demand for export increase → appreaciation → demand for imports increase → depreaciation → rebalance

Current account deficit = depreaciation

  • Demand for import increase → depreaciation → demand for exports increase → appreaciation → rebalance
24
Q

BOP and Exchange Rates (HL): Financial Account

A

Financial account surplus = appreaciation

Financial account deficit = depreciation

25
Ways a government can correct a persistent Current Account Deficit 1 : (HL) | Expenditure-switching policies
**Expenditure-switching policies:** Policies that aim to switch spending from imports to domestic goods and services. * can cause higher prices for domestic goods * lower domestic consumption * inefficiencies ## Footnote E.g. trade protection
26
Ways a government can correct a persistent Current Account Deficit 2: (HL) | Expenditure-reducing policies
**Expenditure-reducing policies:** Policies that aim to reduce overall spending in the economy, including spending on imports. (e.g. contractionary monetary/fiscal policies) * May create a recession * high interest rate might appreaciate currency
27
Ways a government can correct a persistent Current Account Deficit 3: (HL only)
Supply side policies * increase competitiveness → more exports * promote industries that produce exports
28
Marshall-Lerner Condition (HL Only)
Depreciation improves the current account if **sum of export and import elasticities is greater than 1.** ## Footnote PED of X + PED of M > 1
29
J curve
Shows the effect of currency depreciation in a trade deficit → worsened BOT initially → improvement as consumers adjust.
30
Short run J curve
* Depreciation lowers export prices * Inelastic (time lag) demand may reduce export revenue * Import prices rise → consumer still purchase because lack of substitutes * Current account worsen
31
Long run J curve
* Demand for M and X are elastic * Foreigners buy export → revenue rise * Consumer find substitutes for imports → revenue rise * Current account improve