Balance of Payments Current Account Flashcards
(17 cards)
Balance of Payments
-Record of all international transactions between one country and the rest of the world
Current Account
Measures the total value of export revenue and import expenditure of trade in goods & services , investment income and current transfers.
Automatic Adjustment of BOP
C.A deficit (Value M>Value X
means increase in supply of pound(value of m increasing)–
devaluation
which means a depreciation of pound leading to WPIDEC making a C.A surplus)
Causes of a current account deficit(low exports high imports)
Recession abroad—low incomes abroad—real disposable incomes fall demand for domestic exports—fall in revenue generated worse current account
-Strong exchange rate-makes exports dearer and imports cheaper
High Interest rates-Increase RFS (SPiCED)
IIncrease in inflation — (higher price of exports)
consequences of a deficit
Less Demand-Pull inflation-eval (could lead to a deflationary spiral)
Unemployment increases(4.4%) -
-Fall in Growth eval(depends on spare capacity if lack of spare capacity minimal growth)(lower inflation -price of Uk X fals)- increase growth)
SPiCED leads to a fall in foreign debt)
causes of a current account surplus
Low Inflation
Economic growth among trading partners
Depreciation of Exchange rate(fall in interest rates)(4.5%)
Increase income tax less income less mpi
Protectionism-imposing tarrifs
Consequences of a Surplus
High Exports-increase demand for X-increase demand for currency which leads to an appreciation—less growth
Increase employment(4.4%
policies to correct a current account deficit
Currency Devaluation
Deflationary Policies
Direct Controls
Supply side policies
Policies to correct a deficit: Currency Devaluation
BOE could sell reserves of its own currency -increase supply of pound—fall in exchange rate
Fall in interest rates —less hot money flows
Currency Devaluation Evaluation
if demand for imports is price inelastic-demand stays high increase value of M(inelastic as we must import )(manufacturing goods)
l But other countries are locked into trade aggreemnets demand falls value x falls which means deficit.(Thereby it depends on if Marshall Lemer condition is met only if PED m >1 would a devaluation improve)
Deflationary Policies
Deflate the economy and reduce AD
-Fall in AD—less growth less incomes —improve C.A
-fall In AD low inflation increase value of X -increase AD
evaluation for deflationary policies
Does a fall in Ad cause deflation on LRAS Curve,depends on spare capacity likely they have a lot
if other countries price levels are lower no demand for uk exports
Deflationary spiral fall in growth business confidence less I
Direct controls-protectionism
Policies that seek to control cut or prevent expenditure on imports
Tarrifs-Increase price of M— Quantity demand for M falls _C.a Deficit imrpvoes
Evaluation for direct controls-protectionism
Tarrifs-increase price of M increease cost push inflation fall in demand for uk X
Supply side policies to improve deficit
SSP-Increase G spent on Edu -Increase output —Fall in price level —inccrease C.A
Privatisation —Firms profit driven increase I _-increase r and D increase Demand for X
Evaluattion for supply side polices to improve deficit
depends on debt levels-Debt levels- to peak at £99,000 per household and approximately 2.8 trillion