Ch 9 Flashcards
Exchange Rate
The price of one currency expressed in terms of another; the number of units of one currency that can be exchanged for another
*Fluctuate
-Appreciate (go up in value)
-Depreciate (go down in value)
Currency Risk (Financial)
Potential Harm that arises from changes in the price of one currency relative to another
-If the foreign currency fluctuates in your favor, you may gain a windfall
- The prices the firm changes can be quoted in the firm’s currency or in the currency of each foreign customer
- Several months can pass between placement and delivery of an order, fluctuations in the exchange rate during that time can cost or earn the firm money
- The firm and its customers can use the exchange rate as it stands on the date of each transaction, or can agree to use a specific exchange rate
Who can face risk?
Exporters, licensors, and foreign direct investors
Convertible Currency
-Can be easily exchanged for other currencies
-Most easily convertible (hard currency)
*British pound
*European Euro
*Japanese Yen
*U.S Dollar
Nonconvertible Currency
Not acceptable for international transactions
*To preserve supply of hard currencies or avoid the problem of capital flight
Capital Flight
Rapid sell-off by residents or foreigners of their holdings in a nation’s currency or other assets, usually in response to a domestic crisis that causes investors to lose confidence in the country’s economy
Foreign Exchange
All forms of money that are traded internationally, including foreign currencies, bank deposits, checks, and electronic transfers
Foreign Exchange Market
The global marketplace for buying and selling national currencies
How exchange rates are dettermined
The price of any currency is determined by supply and demand
-Adjust according to market forces; some are pegged to fixed exchange rates and may not respond
Free market:
-The greater the supply, the lower price
-The lower the supply, the higher the price
-The greater the demand, the higher the price
-The lower the demand, the lower the price
The 4 factors that influence supply and demand
-Economic Growth
-Inflation
-Interest Rates
-Market Psychology
Economic Growth
Increase in the value of goods and services an economy produces
-Central bank increases nation’s money supply and manages exchange rate
Inflation
Increase in the price of goods and services
-With high inflation, the purhcasing power of a nation’s currency is constantly falling
-Inflation occurs when demand for money grows more rapidly than supply or when the central bank increases the national money supply faster than the rise in national productive output
-There is a relationship between real interest rates and the value of currency
Market Psychology
Unpredictable behavior of investors
Herding: Tendency of investors to mimic others’ actions
Momentum Training: When investors buy stocks whose prices have been rising and sell stocks whose prices have been falling
-When a nation’s currencies are too expensive, exports are likely to fall
-When a nation’s currency is cheap, exports increase
Trade Surplus: When a nation’s exports exceed imports for a short period of time
Trade Deficit: When a nations imports exceed exports for a short period of time
**Balance of trade
When a trade deficit becomes severe, the nations central bank may devalue its currency
-Devaluation deters nation’s residents from importing from other countries, potentially reducing trade deficit