Chapter 16 - Capital Flashcards
(34 cards)
Financial capital (Definition)
Money or other paper asset that functions like money
Real capital (Definition)
physical capital.
productive equipment that generates a flow of services
general equation for C(2)
- consumption in the future
C2 = Present value of lifetime income - i(C1)
Real vs Nominal equation
i= (n-q)/ 1+ q
n = nominal q = inflation rate
i= n-q if inflation rate is v small
Marginal rate of time (MRTP)
∆c2/∆c1
definition = the number of units of consumption in the future of a consumer would exchange for 1 unit of consumption in the present
if > 1 then positive time preference and consumes more in the future (patient)
if < 2 then negative and consumes more today (impatient)
Milton Friedman’s primary determinant of current consumption
Primary determinant of current consumption is =
Permanent income
Permanent income = PV of lifetime income
Effect of a fall in IR on consumers who are:
1) saver
2) borrower
Saver
- future consumption decreases!
- current consumption (? ambiguous)
Borrower
- future consumption (? ambiguous)
- current consumption increases!
Demand for REAL capital
- constant rental rate
(MRP)
MRP(k) = MP * MP(k) = r
Value of marginal product of capital
VMP(k) = P* MP(k)
Bond (definition)
A contract in which the borrower agrees to pay the bondholder a stream of money
Perpetuity (type of bond or also known as Consol)
A bond that pays out a fixed amount each year forever
example: endowments
- face value doesn’t matter
Pc = X /I (derived through PV equation)
Technological obsolescence (Definition)
a good loses value (not due to depreciation) but due to improvements in technology, making substitute products more attractive
Retail price of a unit of real capital
r = i + m + depreciation
I = IR m = maintenance cost
PV equation
R-M/(1+i) + R-M/(1+i)^2 … R-M/(1+i)^n + S/(1+i)^n
Firm should buy machine if Pv > Pk
Pk = price of machine (physical capital)
Interest rate determination
Demand:
1) Firm - how much capital it has and how much it would like to have
2) Consumers - borrow finance for house or other goods
3) Government - funding
Supply:
1) Consumer savings
2) International lenders (growing importance)
- upward sloping supply curve
Risk Premium (definition)
a payment differential necessary to compensate the supplier of a good or service for having to bear risk
Trade-off between safety and expected return
Cautious investors invest in safer stocks (with lower returns)
Less cautious investors give up safety for a higher expected return
Economic rent (definition)
Difference between what a factor of production is paid and the MIN necessary to indue it to remain in its current use
Exhaustible resources
Cannot be replenished by people.
owner of stock must decide: how much to sell of current stock and how much to keep for sale in the future
For market equilibrium:
- Price must be increasing at precisely the rate of interest
Pt = Po (I + i)^t ——> price after t years
Stock exhaustion path: plotting the quantity of a good remaining at each moment
- downward sloping curve
if ∆Pt > i then no one would sell (& if MB to someone using the resource today > Pt then they will bid up current price)
if ∆ Pt < i then everyone would sell (& if MB to someone of last unit of resource today is < Pt thy will not purchase and current price must fall)
Example: Solar and oil
- lowering price of solar = price path of oil shifts downwards
- more demand for oil and oil being depleted earlier
Deriving Perpetuity bond equation
Use PV
PV = X/(1 + i) + X/(1+i)^2 + X/(1+i)^3
y = 1/1+I + 1/(1+i)^2 (multiply both sides by 1+i)
y(1+i) = 1 + 1/(1+i) + 1/(1+i)^2
RHS is function of Y
y = 1/ i
PV = X/i
If P > PV then no one would buy
If P < PV then P would bid up till the point P = PV
Annual Return for Stock (equation)
R = (P1 - Po + d)/Po = (∆P + d)/ Po Po - initial price P1 - end price d - dividends
Risk Averse investors
Rm > Rf
Rm = expected return on stock market
Rf = Return on risk free asset
Expected Value of Portfolio
Rp
Rp = Rf + (Rm - Rf)/σm (σp)
- tradeoff between expected payout and risk
- since Rf, Rm and σm are constants
Intercept = Rf
Slope = (Rm-Rf)/σm
- price of the risk
- the increase in return needed to offset the higher risk
- difference in return from risk free and risky assets and variance on return of risky assets
Question of finding effective yield
effective yield is the interest rate for which PV = P
so set P = PV and find IR
What happens to price in the LR if IR was lower than the effective yield (P=PV) of the bond
If IR < Effective yield then purchasing would be a good investment
- as PV > IR
- Firms would realise this and bid up price till PV = P
Alternatively more firms can enter market & increase competition
- this would result in lower price of product sold by firm and decrease return generated
- essentially excess profits will be eroded through competition