Chapter 2 Flashcards
(30 cards)
Employment
The number of people who have a job
Unemployment
The number of people who do not have a job but are looking for one
Labor force
The sum of employment and unemployment
unemployment rate
the ratio of the number of people who are unemployed to the number of people in the labor force u = U/L
Current Population Survey (CPS)
The US survey to households to research how much unemployment there is
Not in labor force
People not having a job and not looking for a job
Discouraged workers
Unemployed workers that give up looking for a job
The flows in and out the labor force should not be disregarded as they give a lot of information. For example, the flow out of the labor force generally increases in periods of recession as many discouraged individuals stop looking for jobs.
Participation rate
the ratio of the labor force to the total population of working age
Inflation
A sustained rise in the general level of prices (the price level)
Inflation rate
the rate at which the price level increases
deflation
A sustained decline in the price level. Negative inflation rate.
What determines output in the Short Run?
Short-run: demand side: Movements in output are generated by movements in the demand for goods. Firms adjust labor at given wage rates to match the level of demand and they can adjust prices to some extent.
Year-to-year movements in output are primarily driven by movements in demand. Changes in demand, perhaps as a result of changes in consumer confidence or other factors, can lead to a decrease in output (a recession) or an increase in output (an expansion). Output being determined by demand.
What determines output in the Medium Run?
Medium-run: supply side: Output is determined by how much firms produce. This depends on their stock of capital, the size and composition of the labor force etc. These things can be adjusted, but it takes time.
The economy tends to return to the level of output determined by supply factors: the capital stock, the level of technology, and the size of the labor force. And, over a decade or so, these factors move sufficiently slowly that we can take them as given. Output being determined by the level of technology, the capital stock and the labor force.
What determines output in the Long Run?
Long-run: supply side: Output is determined by deeper parameters: the structure of the economy, innovation, the laws under which firms operate, the education system etc.
Neither technology, nor capital, nor skills are given. The technological sophistication of a country depends on its ability to innovate and introduce new technologies. The size of its capital depends on how much people have saved. The skills of the people depend on the quality of the country’s education system. In conclusion it depends on factors like the education system, the saving rate, and the role of the government. Output being determined by factors like education, research, saving and the quality of the government.
What is Okun’s law?
If output growth is high, unemployment will decrease. —> key to decreasing unemployment is a high enough rate of growth.
Clear relation between the change in the unemployment rate and GDP growth.
- High output growth generally associated with a decrease in the unemployment rate.
- Low output growth generally associated with an increase in the unemployment rate.
Intuition:
High output growth, increase in production, more hiring, less unemployment.
What is the GDP deflator?
nominal GDP/real GDP = price level
the GDP deflator is the average price of all final goods produced in the economy
GDP Deflator: increases in GDP can come from either and increase in real GDP or an increase in prices. If we see nominal GDP increase faster than real GDP, the difference must come from an increase in prices.
GDP as the sum of value added in the economy during a given period.
Value added = value of its production minus value of intermediate goods. Calculated from production side.
GDP as the sum of incomes in the economy during a given period.
Value added of the income from labor and capital. Calculated from income side. Labor income: firms’ pay to workers Capital income: the rest of the revenue
GDP as the sum of incomes in the economy during a given period.
Value added of the income from labor and capital. Calculated from income side.
Labor income: firms’ pay to workers
Capital income: the rest of the revenue
Nominal GDP
Nominal GDP is the sum of the quantities of final goods produced times their current price. Denoted with “dollar sign”Y
Why does nominal GDP increase over time?
- The production of most goods increases over time.
2. The price of most goods increase over time.
Real GDP
Real GDP is the sum of the quantities of final goods times the constant prices. Weighted average of the output of all final goods. Denoted with Y.
To construct real GDP: # of cars in each year * common price from one year (base year) —> despite what year we use as base year, the rate of change from year to year will be the same.
Price level
nominal GDP = GDP deflator (price level) * real GDP
What is CPI?
CPI: representing a regular consumer’s basket. An index.
GDP and CPI move together most of the time.