confidence intervals Flashcards

(35 cards)

1
Q

what is an estimator of a population parameter?

A

An estimator of a population parameter is a random variable that uses sample information to provide an approximation of this unknown parameter

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2
Q

what is an estimate?

A

A specific value of that random variable is called an estimate

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3
Q

what is a point estimator?

A

A point estimator πœƒΜ‚ is an unbiased estimator of the parameter if its expected value (or mean) is equal to that parameter:
𝐸(πœƒΜ‚ )=πœ‡_πœƒΜ‚ =πœƒ

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4
Q

what are examples of point estimators?

A

The sample mean is an unbiased estimator of the population mean,
– The sample proportion is an unbiased estimator of the population proportion,

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5
Q

what is the bias?

A

The bias in is defined as the difference between its expected value and πœƒ
π΅π‘–π‘Žπ‘ (πœƒΜ‚ )=𝐸(πœƒΜ‚ )βˆ’πœƒ

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6
Q

what is the bias of an unbiased estimator?

A

0

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7
Q

what is the most efficient estimator?

A

The most efficient estimator is the unbiased estimator with the smallest variance

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8
Q

what is the relative efficiency of πœƒΜ‚_1 with respect to πœƒΜ‚_2?

A

The relative efficiency of πœƒΜ‚_1 with respect to πœƒΜ‚_2 is the ratio of their variances:
π‘…π‘’π‘™π‘Žπ‘‘π‘–π‘£π‘’ 𝐸𝑓𝑓𝑖𝑐𝑖𝑒𝑛𝑐𝑦= π‘‰π‘Žπ‘Ÿ(πœƒΜ‚_2 )/π‘‰π‘Žπ‘Ÿ(πœƒΜ‚_1 )

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9
Q

when is πœƒΜ‚_1 is said to be more efficient than πœƒΜ‚_2?

A

πœƒΜ‚_1 is said to be more efficient than πœƒΜ‚_2 if π‘‰π‘Žπ‘Ÿ(πœƒΜ‚_1 )<π‘‰π‘Žπ‘Ÿ(πœƒΜ‚_2 )

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10
Q

what is the general form for all confidence intervals?

A

The general form for all confidence intervals is:
π‘ƒπ‘œπ‘–π‘›π‘‘ πΈπ‘ π‘‘π‘–π‘šπ‘Žπ‘‘π‘’Β±π‘€π‘Žπ‘Ÿπ‘”π‘–π‘› π‘œπ‘“ πΈπ‘Ÿπ‘Ÿπ‘œπ‘Ÿ

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11
Q

what are the necessary assumptions to find the confidence interval estimate for the mean when varience is known?

A

Population variance 𝜎^2 is known
Population is normally distributed or, if population is not normal, sample is large

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12
Q

what is the formula for the confidence interval estiamate for the mean when the population variance is known?

A

π‘₯Μ…Β± [𝑧_(π›Όβˆ•2) 𝜎/βˆšπ‘›]
where 𝑧_(π›Όβˆ•2) is the value of the standard normal distribution, above which lies 100(π›Όβˆ•2)% of the distribution

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13
Q

what is the formula for the marginal of error?

A

The margin of error, 𝑀𝐸= [𝑧_(π›Όβˆ•2) 𝜎/βˆšπ‘›]

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14
Q

when does the margin of error fall?

A

𝑀𝐸=𝑧_(π›Όβˆ•2) 𝜎/βˆšπ‘›
1. The population standard deviation decreases (πœŽβ†“)
2. The sample size increases (𝑛↑)
3. The confidence level decreases (𝛼↑)

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15
Q

where do the intervals extend to ?

A

UCL=π‘₯Μ…+𝑧_(π›Όβˆ•2) 𝜎/βˆšπ‘›
to
LCL=π‘₯Μ…βˆ’π‘§_(π›Όβˆ•2) 𝜎/βˆšπ‘›

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16
Q

what intervals constructed contain πœ‡ and which do not?

A

100(1βˆ’π›Ό)% of intervals constructed contain πœ‡;
100(𝛼)% do not

17
Q

what are the degrees of freedom (df)?

A

This is the number of observations that are free to vary after the sample mean has been calculated

18
Q

what is the difference and similiarity between the t distribution and the normal distribution?

A

𝑑 distributions are bell-shaped and symmetric, but have β€˜fatter’ tails than the normal

19
Q

when is the t distribution the standard normal distribution?

A

the t distribution is equal to the standard normal distribution when the degrees of freedom is equal to infinity

20
Q

what is the formula for the t distribution with (n-1) degrees of freedome

A

𝑑=(π‘₯Μ…βˆ’πœ‡)/(π‘ βˆ•βˆšπ‘›)

21
Q

what are the necessary assumptions needed to find the confidence interval estimation of the mean when the population variance is unknown?

A
  1. Population variance 𝜎^2 is unknown - We can substitute the sample standard deviation, 𝑠, for the population standard deviation, 𝜎, in the confidence interval formula used earlier but this introduces extra uncertainty, since 𝑠 is variable from sample to sample. This is why we use the 𝑑 distribution instead of the normal distribution
  2. Population is normally distributed or, if population is not normal, sample is large
22
Q

what is the formula for the confidence interval estimate when the population varience is unknown?

A

π‘₯̅±𝑑_(π‘›βˆ’1,π›Όβˆ•2) 𝑠/βˆšπ‘›

where 𝑑_(π‘›βˆ’1,π›Όβˆ•2) is the relevant value of the 𝑑 distribution with π‘›βˆ’1 df

23
Q

when is the sample proportion approximately normal?

A

the distribution of the sample proportion is approximately normal if 𝑛𝑝(1βˆ’π‘)>5, with standard deviation:
𝜎_𝑝̂ =√(𝑝(1βˆ’π‘)/𝑛)

24
Q

what is the confidence interval for the population proportion?

A

𝑝̂±𝑧_(π›Όβˆ•2) √((𝑝̂(1βˆ’π‘Μ‚ ))/𝑛)
where
𝑧_(π›Όβˆ•2) is the standard normal value for the level of confidence desired
𝑝̂ is the sample proportion
𝑛 is the sample size

25
what is an example of a confidence intervals with population means and a dependent sample?
the same group before vs after the treatment
26
what is an example of a confidence intervals with population means and a independent sample?
group 1 vs an independent group 2
27
what is an example of confidence intervals with population proportions?
proportions of 1 vs proportion of 2
28
what is the necessary assumption for finding the difference in means between dependent samples?
both populations are normally distributed
29
what is the formula to find the mean difference between two dependent samples?
πœ‡_𝑑=πœ‡_π‘₯βˆ’πœ‡_𝑦
30
what is the point estimate for the population mean diference?
𝑑 ̅= (βˆ‘(π‘₯βˆ’π‘¦ ) )/𝑛
31
what is the sample standard deviation of d?
𝑠_𝑑=√((βˆ‘(𝑑_π‘–βˆ’π‘‘Β Μ… )^2 )/(π‘›βˆ’1))
32
what is the formula for the confidence interval for the difference between the two population means?
𝑑 ̅±[𝑑_(π‘›βˆ’1,π›Όβˆ•2) x 𝑠_𝑑/βˆšπ‘›]
33
what is the point estimate for the difference betweent the two sample means in an independent sample?
π‘₯Β Μ… βˆ’ 𝑦 ̅
34
what is the formula for the confidence interval for the difference in sample means in an independent sample when varience of both samples are known?
(π‘₯Β Μ…βˆ’π‘¦Β Μ… ) Β± 𝑧_(π›Όβˆ•2) √((𝜎_π‘₯^2)/𝑛_π‘₯ +(𝜎_𝑦^2)/𝑛_𝑦 )
35
what is the formula for the varience of the difference in means when both variences are known and the samples are independent?
𝜎_(π‘₯Β Μ…βˆ’π‘¦Β Μ…)^2=(𝜎_π‘₯^2)/𝑛_π‘₯ + (𝜎_𝑦^2)/𝑛_𝑦