Credit Analysis (L10) Flashcards
(11 cards)
credit analysis
assess credit worthiness of a company
the likelihood of them not being able to pay back the og value or the money with interest
if a firm isn’t creditworthy…
more likely to default on payments (miss payments)
more likely to go bankrupt (company closed)
harder to obtain loans
causes of bankruptcy
recession
high interest rate
loan refused/limited credit supply
regulations/comp
size,age, private or public company
fraud
how to find credit analysis
financial ratio analysis
z-score
distance to default
financial ratio
shows trends, monitors firm performance by looking at ratios of liabilities/assets, ebit/asset, cash flows/assets
who gets charged a higher interest rate
more risky company
limitations of financial ratio analysis
doesn’t quantify the riskiness/creditworthiness of a company
time consuming to analyse
so many financial ratios
z-score
combines financial ratios to find credit worthiness (weighted)
1.2working capital/total assets +1.4retained earnings/total assets +3.3EBIT/total assets+0.6market value of equity/total liab + sales/total assets
z-score risk assessment
<1.80 high risk
2.99< low risk
in-between is a grey area
z score limitations
outdated
doesn’t consider enough factors eg macroeconomic factors
distance to default
V market value of assets
F face value of liab
u growth of market value of assets
o volatility
V<F, bankruptcy if its when they have to pay up
Ev-F/o = V*(1+u)^T-F/o
higher DD= better credit worth