Curve shift scenarios Flashcards
(20 cards)
Government spending ↑ (fiscal expansion)
Curve Shift: IS → right
Short-Run Effect: ↑ Y, ↑ π
Medium-Run Effect: CB raises i → LM left, Y → Yₙ, π ↑
Government spending ↓ (austerity)
Curve Shift: IS → left
Short-Run Effect: ↓ Y, ↓ π
Medium-Run Effect: CB lowers i → LM right, Y → Yₙ, π ↓
Taxes ↑ (fiscal contraction)
Curve Shift: IS → left
Short-Run Effect: ↓ Y, ↓ π
Medium-Run Effect: CB lowers i → LM right, Y → Yₙ, π ↓
Taxes ↓ (stimulus)
Curve Shift: IS → right
Short-Run Effect: ↑ Y, ↑ π
Medium-Run Effect: CB raises i → LM left, Y → Yₙ, π ↑
Central bank cuts i (monetary expansion)
Curve Shift: LM → right
Short-Run Effect: ↑ Y, ↑ π
Medium-Run Effect: π ↑ → CB raises i → LM left, Y → Yₙ
Central bank raises i (tightening)
Curve Shift: LM → left
Short-Run Effect: ↓ Y, ↓ π
Medium-Run Effect: π ↓ → CB lowers i → LM right, Y → Yₙ
Oil price ↑ (cost-push shock)
Curve Shift: PC → up
Short-Run Effect: ↓ Y, ↑ π
Medium-Run Effect: CB raises i → π ↓, Y → Yₙ
Consumer confidence ↓
Curve Shift: IS → left
Short-Run Effect: ↓ Y, ↓ π
Medium-Run Effect: CB lowers i → LM right, Y → Yₙ, π back to target
Business investment ↓
Curve Shift: IS → left
Short-Run Effect: ↓ Y, ↓ π
Medium-Run Effect: CB lowers i → LM right, Y → Yₙ, π back to target
Inflation expectations ↑ (πᵉ↑)
Curve Shift: LM → left
Short-Run Effect: ↓ Y, ↑ π
Medium-Run Effect: CB raises i → deeper ↓Y, then π ↓
Inflation expectations ↓ (πᵉ↓)
Curve Shift: LM → right
Short-Run Effect: ↑ Y, ↓ π
Medium-Run Effect: CB lowers i → ↑ Y, π stabilises
Money supply ↑
Curve Shift: LM → right
Short-Run Effect: ↑ Y, ↑ π
Medium-Run Effect: CB raises i later, π ↑ → then stabilises
Money supply ↓
Curve Shift: LM → left
Short-Run Effect: ↓ Y, ↓ π
Medium-Run Effect: CB lowers i → π ↑, then stabilises
Currency depreciation (imported inflation)
Curve Shift: PC → up
Short-Run Effect: ↓ Y, ↑ π
Medium-Run Effect: CB raises i → LM left, Y ↓, π ↓
Currency appreciation
Curve Shift: PC → down
Short-Run Effect: ↑ Y, ↓ π
Medium-Run Effect: CB lowers i → LM right, Y ↑, π ↑
Stock market crash
Curve Shift: IS → left
Short-Run Effect: ↓ Y, ↓ π
Medium-Run Effect: CB lowers i → Y ↑, π back to target
Positive demand shock
Curve Shift: IS → right
Short-Run Effect: ↑ Y, ↑ π
Medium-Run Effect: CB raises i → LM left, Y → Yₙ, π ↑
Negative demand shock
Curve Shift: IS → left
Short-Run Effect: ↓ Y, ↓ π
Medium-Run Effect: CB lowers i → LM right, Y → Yₙ, π ↓
Positive supply shock (e.g. productivity ↑)
Curve Shift: PC → down
Short-Run Effect: ↑ Y, ↓ π
Medium-Run Effect: π ↓, CB stabilises i, Y → Yₙ
Wage shock (higher bargaining power)
Curve Shift: PC → up
Short-Run Effect: ↓ Y, ↑ π
Medium-Run Effect: CB raises i → π ↓, Y → Yₙ