data Flashcards

(38 cards)

1
Q

real economic growth covid

A

shrank by 10% (but immediately bounced back)

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2
Q

real economic growth gfc

A

shrank by 4.5% (took 5 years to recover)

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3
Q

real economic growth 2024

A

grew by 1.4%

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4
Q

why has IMF downgraded economic growth outlook / predictions for uk

A

fallout from us tariffs

1.1% from 1.6%

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5
Q

general aim for economic growth in matured countries

A

2%

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6
Q

target for inflation

A

±2%

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7
Q

how do we measure inflatino

A

% change in CPI

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8
Q

what economic indicator do we use to talk about living standards

A

real gdp PER CAPITA

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9
Q

when did inflation peak (recently) and why

A

october 22

due to russian invasion of ukraine
+ bounce back from covid
(demand > supply)

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10
Q

what has the uk been experiencing from october 2022

A

disinflation

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11
Q

latest cpi data

A

2.6% by march 2025

down from 2.8% in february 2025

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12
Q

why are their expectation of increased inflation in future

A

raised national insurance + minimum wage

impact of trump trade wars (increasing prices)

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13
Q

interest rates following gfc

A

0.5% for very long time

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14
Q

reason for post covid inflation

A

supply recovered slower than demand

and russo-ukrainian war

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15
Q

how is unemployment measured

A

labour force survey

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16
Q

unemployment rate uk

A

4.4% but starting to rise again

17
Q

unemployment in covid

A

5.2% but quickly recovered

18
Q

unemployment rate gfc

A

8.4

peaked november 2011

19
Q

other countries unemployment

A

germany 3.5% (very good)

france 7.5% (a lot worse than us)

usa 4.2% (similar to us)

20
Q

why is uks pretty good unemployment percentage misleading

A

underemployment

(0 hour contracts, part time work, gig workers)

21
Q

why is unemployment expected to raise

A

due to higher minimum wage

will effect hospitality / minimum wage jobs

22
Q

economic inactivity

A

21%

rose after covid due to long term sickness and personal choice

23
Q

why does uk have a higher sickness economic inactivity rate than other countries

A

nhs (long waiting list)

could be fixed with increased nhs investment

24
Q

wage growth

A

real wages have been stagnant for a long time

but recently have (real) increased by 5.9%

25
interest rates
4.5% 0.5% for over a decade after gfc increased to deal with inflation (some argue should have increased sooner to reduce inflation spike)
26
quantative easing 2025
government is doing more quantitative tightening emergency measure used after gfc to try and speed up recovery (not as important after covid due to quicker recovery
27
fiscal deficit
4.5% of gdp
28
sustainable level for fiscal deficit
3%
29
national debt
100% of gdp
30
yield on government bonds
4.6% and rising (cost of borrowing)
31
annual cost of servicing the debt
over £100billion per year around £120billion
32
thresholds for tax
fiscal drag (thresholds have stayed the same despite inflation)
33
tax level compared to history
highest level of 70 years limits disposable income
34
current account
trade deficit 2.5% of economy
35
productvity
flatlined since gfc less productive than competitors structural supply side issue
36
exchange rate
weak from brexit
37
confidence
very low and unsure
38
nice decade
non inflationary continuous expansion prior to gfc the uk experience 63 consecutive quarters of economic growth without high inflation