Day 2 Topics Flashcards

(39 cards)

1
Q

Rational Investor - Required Rate of Return

A

want to receive at least the risk free rate, real return and risk premium

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2
Q

Future Value - Compounding

A

FV = PV(1+r)^n

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3
Q

Present Value - Discounting

A

PV = FV/(1+r)^n

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4
Q

Annuity Discount Factor

A

1/r x (1-(1/(1+r)^n))

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5
Q

Annuity Discount Factor with growing annuities

A

A/(r-g) x (1-(1+g)^n/(1+r))

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6
Q

Compound Interest Rate

A

r = (FV/PV)^1/n - 1

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7
Q

Compound periods

A

n = (logFV - logPV)/log(1+r)

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8
Q

Periodic (Non-annual) Compounding

A
  1. Calculate the periodic rate = (1+r) = (1+R)^1/n
  2. use the annuity discount factor 1/r x (1-(1/(1+r)^n))
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9
Q

Discounting perpetuities and perpetuities that grow

A

PV = payment/r
PV = payment/(r-g)

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10
Q

Continuous Compounding

A

FV = Pe^rt

P = principal sum
e = 2.718
r = rate per period
t = time in years

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11
Q

Interest Rate Expressions - APR Formula

A

APR = (r+f/principal)/y x 365

r = interest paid over the life of the loan
f = any fees
y = number of days in the loan term

Measures the cost of borrowing
Only applicable over 1 year

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12
Q

Interest Rate Expressions – Annual Equivalent Rate (AER)

A

AER = (1+r)^12/n - 1

r is the rate of interest for each time period
n is the number of months in the tine period

used for savings or deposits

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13
Q

AER - Continuous compounding

A

AER = e^rt - 1

e = 2.718
r = rate per period
t = time in years

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14
Q

Real Return

A

(1+r nominal)/(1+r inflation) - 1

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15
Q

Advantages and Disadvantages NPV

A

Adv:

 Time Value of Money
 Monetary profit
 Assumes reinvestment
 Works for in and outflows
of cash
 Shows total return
 All risks factored into
discount rate
 Good measure of
profitability

Dis:

 Certainty of future
cashflows?
 True cost of capital?
 Sunk costs are ignored
 Comparison of different
periods or amounts
 Accuracy of discount rate
used?
 Incorrect initial outlay
 No allowance for nonquantitative
factors

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16
Q

Uses and Limitations of
IRR

A

 Useful for comparing
projects – choose the
one with the higher IRR
 But should choose
investment with higher
NPV at the relevant cost
of capital
 Negative cashflows
results in multiple IRRs
 Assumes all cashflows
are re-invested at the IRR

17
Q

Geometric Annualisation

A

(1+ra)^n = (1+r1)(1+r2)(1+r3)…(1+ri)

i.e. ra = [(1+r1)(1+r2)(1+r3)…(1+ri)]^1/n – 1

18
Q

CAGR

A

Measures the annual growth rate of an investment over a specified period

CAGR = (Ve/Vs)^1/t - 1

Ve = end value
Vs = start value
t = time in years

19
Q

Value of a share = Dividend Valuation Model/Gordons Growth Model

A

next dividend/(required return - dividend growth)

20
Q

Efficient Market Hypothesis

A

 EMH states that if markets are efficient share prices fully reflect all information and so trade at their
fair value.

Weak Form =
* All historical information
is reflected in the share
price.
* Excess returns cannot be
generated via technical
analysis but can through
fundamental analysis.

Semi-strong form =

  • All historical and public
    information is reflected in
    the share price.
  • Excess returns cannot be
    generated via technical
    analysis or fundamental
    analysis but can via
    having access to private
    information.

Strong form =

  • All historical, public and
    private information is
    reflected in the share
    price.
  • It is impossible to
    generate excess returns.
  • The only way to achieve
    higher returns is to take
    on more risk.
21
Q

Cognitive biases

A

Loss aversion - hold on to losses too long and sell gains too quickly
Overconfidence bias - overtrading, too much belief in own ability
Anchoring bias: Individuals rely too heavily on an initial reference point when making decisions, even if it’s irrelevant to the current situation.
Herd behavior: Investors follow the crowd rather than making independent decisions, which can contribute to market bubbles or crashes.

22
Q

Pros and cons of algorithmic trading

A

adv:

 ‘Slice and dice’ trades
 Decreased transparency
 Dark pools reduce fees

Dis:

 Decreased transparency
 ‘Contrarian’ trades could
be construed as market
manipulation
 Flash crashes
 Prices on exchanges may
not be a true
representation
 HF traders may ‘front run’
trades

23
Q

Dark Pools

A

 Dark pools refer to a non displayed or hidden nature of the buy and sell orders that reside within a crossing platform. The biggest sources of dark liquidity are within investment banks and major brokers

 Types:

 Broker-dealer owned e.g. JP Morgan
 Agency broker or exchange-owned e.g. CBOE Global Markets
 Electronic market makers e.g. Getco and Knight

 Advantages:

 Effect of large deals reduced
 May be cheaper
 No indication of market strategy

 Disadvantages:

 Price on exchange may not be representative
 Lack of transparency
 Front running by HF traders

24
Q

Types of Shares

A

deferred ord shares
= div not paid unless specific
condition has been met

golden shares = special voting rights
want someone to have a controlling vote

A or NV shares - not as many rights
no voting rights

redeemable shares - company
can redeem them back. can only
offer if other shares have been
offered

cumulative shares - if no div then they must get
a div before ord shares next time

25
Rights of shareholders
Basic rights: receive annual accounts notified of AGMs right to vote and share in profits share of surplus on wind-up Statutory rights: Companies must hold meetings once per year S/H > 10% can call EGMS S/H > 5% can propose resolutions S/H can petition courts Pre-emptive Rights: New shares offered to existing S/H before anyone else
26
Corporate Actions
Bonus issue Share split Reverse split Rights issue Share buyback Dividends
27
Adv/Dis of property investment
Adv: Attractive absolute returns over time historically Diversification Low correlation with other asset classes Performs well in inflationary environments Dis: liquidity risks can be costly (large upfront investment) Costs associated with renting risk of a vacant period
28
REITs vs PAIFs
Close ended vs Open ended premium or discount to NAV vs Trade at NAV Priced continuously throughout the day vs Single pricing point each day Trades on LSE vs Directly with the fund manager Exempt from corporation tax on income and capital gains as long as 90% of property income (not gains) is distributed to shareholders. vs Exempt from corporation tax if HMRC are notified they want the PAIF regime to apply Must not be controlled by 5 or fewer participants and corporate shareholders can't hold >10% or tax charge applies vs No body corporate can hold more than 10% of the Fund’s NAV. Special tax charges to the PAIF will apply otherwise.
29
Disadvantages of Property Funds
Volatility and liquidity Interest Rate and Inflation Market risk - asset price bubbles Gearing Valuation - hard to get accurate valuation of property Exchange rate Local risk
30
Infrastructure
Large physical assets providing essential services/facilities e.g. bridges and hospitals Long duration uncorrelated returns stable and predictable cash flows high barriers to entry indivisibility
31
Infrastructure Funds
Investment trust = direct investment Infrastructure equity fund = invest in shares and securities of infrastructure companies
32
Private Equity
venture capital - equity in startups and early stage companies Distressed companies - financial trouble or declining performance Leveraged buyouts - buy into a company by taking on a high level of debt Mezzanine finance - a hybrid form of financing that blends debt and equity
33
PE Partnerships
General partners: Limited number unlimited liability industry or entrepreneurial experience put up small proportion of capital Limited partners: unlimited number limited liability institutional and other investors provide bulk of capital
34
PE Due diligence
visits to company discussions with employees and suppliers lawyers, accountants and consultants examine company startups - examine feasibility and management established firms - understand the business distressed companies - meet with lenders to renegotiate debt MBOs - succession issues LBOs - cashflow forecasts and ability to repay debt
35
Hedge Funds features
frequently domiciled in offshore tax havens charge an AMC and performance fee performance fee only charged if exceeded high water mark provision (next highest month end NAV) Minimum lock in periods and may charge exit fees Complex strategies using derivatives and gearing typically outperform in bear markets
36
Hedge fund strategies
Non- directional designed to gain a return regardless of market: fixed income arbitrage market neutral - long and short stocks highly correlated convertible arbitrage - buy the bond short the stock statistical arbitrage - mean reversion, stock will revert back to mean Volatility arbitrage - buy a call option and offset with short position in underlying Merger arbitrage - buy target company sell predator distressed companies - undervalued Directional designed to make money if market goes up or down: Long/short short only emerging markets private placements - invest directly in privately issued securities Global macro - global trends, large scale bets to beat market Systematic strategies - program that gives signals to buy and sell
37
funds of hedge funds
Advantages  Diversification  Easy access to hedge funds for retail investors  May enable access to closed funds Disadvantages  Double layer of fees  Less visibility of underlying funds  Low possibility of interaction between the investor and HF manager  Diversification of HF strategies may be counterproductive e.g. opposing strategies cancelling each other out
38
Venture Capital Trusts
Investing in a venture capital trust is investing in a company that invests in early stage and small businesses with high growth potential. They are a company not a trust They are close ended and exchange traded e.g. traded on the LSE. They can trade at a discount or premium to NAV They are priced according to supply and demand One such advantage is it is a more liquid option of investing in the underlying companies as these smaller companies are often very illiquid Another advantage is that as the companies are early stage with high growth potential if these businesses succeed then they will generate high returns. Another advantage is that it gives you access to invest in private companies that you would not otherwise have access to Another advantage is that there is no CGT on gains with no minimum holding period There is also income tax relief on 30% up to 200k investment, per tax year and no carry back facility, have to hold for 5 years, this is only available for newly issued shares, this is a tax deductor Another advantage is that there is no tax on dividends received Tax benefits only available for individuals over 18 Diversification benefits Downside: High risk Potential loss of capital Inexperienced management No loss relief for CGT Lack of track record
39
EIS
The EIS is a government scheme to try encourage investment in small and early stage businesses Direct investment in a small unquoted business The criteria to qualify are under 250 employees, no more than £15 gross assets and annual limit that can be raised of £5m Tax benefits Income tax relief of up to 30% of £1m and an extra £1m in knowledge intensive companies Carry back facility to previous tax year Must hold for over 3 years Tax reducer Business relief - IHT free if held for over 2 years CGT relief if held for over 3 years CGT loss relief, can claim against gains or income less the income tax relief CGT deferral relief any gain can be deferred if reinvested in a EIS - charge will come into effect when disposed of unless is then reinvested again in to an EIS. 1 year before the gain and 3 years after Very high risk as small unlisted companies Illiquid May lose all capital invested