DCF Flashcards

1
Q

Step 1 of DCF

A

Get these 8 pieces of information from the past:
1. Financial Statements
2. Cash Flow Projections
3. Discount Rate
4. Terminal Value Calculation
5. Capital Expenditures
6. Working Capital Changes
7. Tax Rate
8. Assumptions

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2
Q

Step 2 of DCF

A

Forecast Cash Flows: Estimate the future cash flows the investment is expected to generate. This could include revenues, expenses, and investments over a certain period.

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3
Q

Step 3 of DCF

A

Determine Discount Rate: Decide on an appropriate discount rate, typically the weighted average cost of capital (WACC), which represents the required rate of return for the investment.

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4
Q

Step 4 of DCF

A

Calculate Present Value of Cash Flows: Discount each future cash flow back to its present value using the discount rate. This is typically done using the NPV (Net Present Value) function in Excel.

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5
Q

Step 5 of DCF

A

Sum Up Present Values: Sum up the present values of all cash flows to get the total present value.

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6
Q

Step 6 of DCF

A

Add Terminal Value: If applicable, calculate the terminal value of the investment at the end of the forecast period and discount it back to present value. Add this value to the sum of present values.

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7
Q

Step 7 of DCF

A

Compare to Initial Investment: Compare the total present value to the initial investment to determine if the investment is attractive.

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8
Q

Give the definition of Cash Flows

A

Cash Flows: The expected future cash inflows and outflows generated by an investment or project, typically measured on a yearly basis.

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9
Q

Give the definition of Discount Rate

A

Discount Rate: Also known as the discount rate or required rate of return, it represents the rate at which future cash flows are discounted back to their present value. It accounts for the time value of money and the risk associated with the investment.

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10
Q

Give the definition of Terminal Value

A

Terminal Value: The value of an investment or project at the end of the projection period. It is often estimated using a terminal multiple (such as EBITDA multiple) or a perpetuity growth rate applied to the final year’s cash flow.

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11
Q

Give the definition of Projection Period

A

Projection Period: The timeframe over which future cash flows are forecasted. It typically ranges from five to ten years, although it can vary depending on the nature of the investment or project.

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12
Q

Give the definition of Initial Investment

A

Initial Investment: The upfront cost required to initiate the investment or project, including capital expenditures and any other initial expenses.

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13
Q

Give the definition of assumptions

A

Assumptions: The underlying factors and variables used to forecast future cash flows, including revenue growth rates, operating expenses, tax rates, inflation rates, and any other relevant factors.

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14
Q

Give the definition of Financial Statements

A

Financial Statements: Historical records of a company’s financial performance, including the income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement. These statements provide insights into past performance and help inform projections for the DCF analysis.

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15
Q

Give the definition of Capital Expenditures

A

Capital Expenditures (CapEx): The funds used by a company to acquire, upgrade, or maintain physical assets such as property, plants, and equipment. CapEx is crucial for projecting future cash flows, as it represents investments necessary for the ongoing operation and growth of the business.

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16
Q

Give the definition of Working Capital Changes

A

Working Capital Changes: Changes in a company’s working capital, which is calculated as current assets minus current liabilities. Changes in working capital affect cash flow and must be accounted for in the DCF analysis, as they reflect the investment required to support ongoing operations.

17
Q

Give the definition of Tax Rate

A

Tax Rate: The rate at which taxable income is taxed by the government. It is essential to determine the after-tax cash flows used in the DCF analysis, as taxes directly impact the net cash flows generated by an investment or project.

18
Q

Give the formula for Forecasted Cash Flows

A

FCF = (Revenue - Operating Expenses - Taxes) - (Capital Expenditures + Change in Working Capital)

19
Q

Give the formula for Discount Rate

A

Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC) = (E/V * Cost of Equity) + (D/V * Cost of Debt) * (1 - Tax Rate)

E = Market value of equity
V = Market value of equity + Market value of debt
D = Market value of debt
Cost of Equity = Risk-free Rate + Beta * Market Risk Premium
Cost of Debt = Interest Expense / Market value of debt

20
Q

Give the formula for Present Value of Cash Flows (PV)

A

PV = FCF / (1 + Discount Rate)^n

n = time period

21
Q

Give the formula for Terminal Value

A

TV = (FCF * (1 + Growth Rate)) / (Discount Rate - Growth Rate)

Growth Rate = Estimated perpetual growth rate

22
Q

Give the formula for Discounted Terminal Value

A

Discounted Terminal Value = TV / (1 + Discount Rate)^n

n = time period

23
Q

Give the formula for Total Present Value

A

Total Present Value = Σ(PV) + Discounted Terminal Value

Σ(PV) = Sum of present values of cash flows

24
Q

Give the formula for Net Present Value (NPV)

A

NPV = Total Present Value - Initial Investment