Demography Flashcards
(86 cards)
Birth rate
There has been a long term decline in the number of births since 1900s-28.7 but in 2014 it had fallen to 12.2.
is it set?
No it fluctuates, in 1918 and 1945 after the two world wars there were baby booms. There was a third baby boom in 1960 followed with a decline in births in the 1970’s.
Determining birth rates
1- Portion of women who are of childbearing age (15-44)
2- How fertile they are (how many children they have)
Total fertility rate
The average number of children a woman will have during their fertile years.
UK’s: 1.63-2001 and 1.82 in 2014.
Peak in 1964 - 2.95 (baby boom)
Reasons for changes in fertility
-Women are remaining childless than in the difference
-Woman are postponing having children: average age of giving birth is 30. ( women over 30/40 are less fertile)
Reasons for the decline in birth rates
1) Changes in women’s position
2) Decline in infant mortality rate
3)Children are now an economic liability
4) Child centredness
1) Changes in women’s position
Changes in the 20th century;
- Legal equality with men
- Increased educational opportunities
- More women in paid employment ( equal pay act)
- Changes in attitudes to family life and a woman’s role
- Easier access to divorce
- Access to abortion and contraceptives, giving women more control over their fertility
Harper (2012)
Education of women is the most important reason for the long term fall in birth rates. It has led to a change in mind st among women, resulting in fewer children. Educated women are more likely to use family planning and they see a life outside of the traditional role of housewife and mother.
Many postpone having children or choose not to have children in order to pursue a career.
Once a pattern of low fertility lasts for more than one generation, culture norms of family size change.
Decline in infant mortality rates
IMR - Measures the number of babies that die before their first birthday, per thousand babies born alive, per year.
Fall in IMR leads to a fall in birth rates.
Harper
This is because, if many infants are dying parents are having more to replace the ones they lost.
In contrast if babies survive parents will have less.
IMR UK
1900 - 154 (15% of babies died within the first year)
1950 - 30
2012 - 4
During the first half of the 20th century the UK’s IMR began to decline because..
- Improved housing conditions and better sanitation. This reduced infectious diseases in which infants were more susceptible due to their weakened immune system.
- Better nutrition
- Improved services for mothers and children, such as antenatal and postnatal clinics.
Doctors role
- Mass immunisation against childhood diseases such as whooping cough, measles.
- The use of antibiotics to fight infection
- Improved midwifery techniques
Evaluation
Brass and Kabir (1978) The trend to smaller families didn’t begin in rural areas where the IMR first began to fall but rather in urban areas where the IMR remained higher for longer.
3) Children are now an economic liability
In the 19th century children were seen as economic assets to their parents as they could be sent out to work from an early age to earn an income.
- Laws: Banning child labour; introducing compulsory schooling and raising the school leaving age meaning children are economically dependent on their parents for longer.
- Changing family norms; What children expect from their parents in material terms mean the cost of bringing up children has risen.
4) Child centredness
Childhood is now socially constructed as a uniquely important period in the individual’s life. Parents now have fewer children and lavish more attention and resources on these few.
2001 increase in birth rates
One reason is the increase in immigration, mothers from outside the UK have higher fertility rates than those born inside the UK. Babies born to mothers from outside the UK for 25% of all births in 2011.
Predicted the annual number of births the annual number of births to be constant at 800,000 per year.
Effects - the family
Smaller families = women are more likely to be free to go to work thus leading to dual earner households.
Effects - the dependency ratio
It’s the relationship between the size of the working or productive part of the population and the size of the non - working or dependent part of the population.
What are the effects ?
The earnings, savings and taxes of the working population support the dependent population. If there is a decline in children there are less people to support reducing the burden of dependency. However in the long term this means that fewer adults in the working population and more dependent elderly that need support.
Vanishing children
Childhood becomes lonelier and fewer children will have siblings. More childless adults means fewer voices speaking up for children’s interest.
Deaths rates UK
In 1900s, the death rate stood at 19, whereas by 2012 it had more than halved to 8.9.
Reasons for the decline in the deaths
Tranter (1996) over 3/4ths of the decline in the death rate from about 1850 to 1970 was due to the fall in the number of deaths from infectious diseases such as measles, smallpox, and above all TB.
How did this lead to a decline?
It is possible that the population began to develop some natural resistance or that some diseases became less virulent.