Demography Flashcards
Demography defn
the scientific study of human population
3 phenomenon of demography
(a) changes in population size (growth or decline)
(b) the composition of the population
(c) the distribution of population in space.
Demography statistics
population censuses, National Sample Surveys, registration of vital events, and adhoc demographic studies
Demographic cycle
High stationary ➡️ Early expanding ➡️ Late expanding ➡️ low stationary ➡️ Declining
Stage 1 or High stationary
high birth rate and a high death rate which cancel each other and the population remains stationary
Stage 2 or Early expanding
The death rate begins to decline, while the birth rate remains unchanged or increased in some countries
Stage 3 or late expanding
The death rate declines still further, and the birth rate tends to fall. The population continues to grow because births exceed deaths. India has entered this stage
Stage 4 or low stationary
low birth and low death rate with the result that the population becomes stationary
Stage 5 or Declining
birth rate is lower than the death rate ➡️ decline in population
India Crude Birth and Death rate
20 and 7 (2015)
World birth rate at 1975 and 2015
Less than 30 and 19
Reason for low global birth rate
Global trend towards smaller family
Key factors in declining fertility rates
1 government attitudes towards growth, 2 the spread of education,
3 increased availability of contraception,
4 family planning programmes,
5 marked change in marriage patterns.
Global death rate 2015
8/1000 population (23% reduction)
Factors affecting crude death rate
infant and child mortality
Reason for low death rate
1 maternal and child health services
2 immunization, diarrhoeal disease and acute respiratory
3 infectious diseases, there has been marked reduction in infant and child mortality rates, which are reflected in th
Growth rate defn
crude death rate is substracted from the crude birth rate, the net residual is the current annual growth rate,exclusive of migration
Factors of growth rates
1 age distribution,
2 marriage customs and
3 numerous cultural, social and economic factors.
% of growth rates occurring in developing countries
95%
One third of world population is under the age of ?
15 currently
UNFPA estimation of world population by 2015
10 billlion
Expected no of births per women :
1 industrialised country
2 developing countries
3 least developed
- 7
- 9
- 1
Global fertility rate
2.5
Consequence of rampant population growth
greatest obstacle to the economic and social advancement of the majority of people in the underdeveloped world