Discrete Probability Flashcards
(12 cards)
What is the sample space?
The set of all possible outcomes of an experiment
What is the size of the sample space?
The amount of possible outcomes - e.g. 4 for flipping a coin twice.
What is P(A U notA)?
1, as it is P(omega)
What is a finite discrete probability space?
(omega, P) - a finite set of outcomes w, called a sample space, omega, with a function P: omega -> R mapping the outcomes to a real number.
What is P(A∩B) for independent events in a finite discrete prob. space?
P(A)P(B) assuming independence.
What is the general formula for P(AUB)?
P(A U B) = P(A) + P(B) - P(A ∩ B)
What does P(B|A) mean?
The probability of B happening given that A has already occurred. P(A) != 0
What is the formula for P(B|A)?
P(B|A) = P(B ∩ A) / P(A)
What is Bayes’ formula?
P(B|A) = P(A|B)P(B) / P(A)
What is the expansion of Bayes’ rule?
P(B|A) = P(A|B)P(B) / (P(A|B)P(B) + P(A|notB)P(notB))
How can Bayes’ rule prove independence?
A and B are independent if any of these three hold:
P(A∩B) = P(A)P(B)
P(B|A) = P(B)
P(A|B) = P(A)