EBM Exam 1 Flashcards

(108 cards)

1
Q

Descriptive statistics vs Inferential statistics

A

Descriptive: describe and summarize data
Inferential: make inferences to larger pop beyond the data collected

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2
Q

Simple random sample

A

each person has equal prob of being selected (prob sample)

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3
Q

Stratified random sample

A

Divide into M and F and select 10% of each gender – ensure that both men and women are represented equally (prob sample)

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4
Q

Cluster sample

A

select 10 clinics in NE OH then select 50 pt from each clinic (prob sample)

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5
Q

Systematic sample

A

select every pt that walks through the door at the clinic

prob sample

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6
Q

Convenience sample

A

advertise over internet, newspapers

approach people in waiting room

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7
Q

Nominal
Ordinal
Interval
Ratio

A

Nominal: cannot be ordered (gender, race)
Ordinal: can be ordered (likert scale)
Interval: meaningful intervals (temp)
Ratio: absolute zero, ratios are possible (age)

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8
Q

Discrete vs. continuous

A

Discrete: counts, no fractions (ex. number of pts)
Continuous: infinite number of values (age)

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9
Q

Match test w/ scale of data for dependent variable

Differences in proportion

A

Chi square (nominal)

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10
Q

Match test w/ scale of data for dependent variable

One or 2 means

A

t-test (interval or ratio)

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11
Q

Match test w/ scale of data for dependent variable

More than 2 means

A

Wilcoxon rank sum test (ordinal)

ANOVA w/ F-tests (interval or ratio)

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12
Q

Match test w/ scale of data for dependent variable

Differences in variances

A

F-test (interval or ratio)

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13
Q

Match test w/ scale of data for dependent variable

Association b/w 2 variables

A
Spearman rho (ordinal)
Pearson r (interval or ratio)
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14
Q

Match test w/ scale of data for dependent variable

Predicting the value of a variable

A
Logistic regression (nominal)
OLS regression (interval or ratio)
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15
Q

Match test w/ scale of data for dependent variable

Predicting the value of a censored variable

A

Cox proportional hazards analysis (nominal)

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16
Q

Mode

A

value that occurs most often

nominal and ordinal

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17
Q

Median

A

value in middle of distribution, 50th percentile

ordinal or interval/ratio

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18
Q

Mean

A

average
(population and sample means)
(interval/ratio)

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19
Q

Normal distribution

A

mean, median, and mode have same value – at top of bell curve

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20
Q

Range

A

difference b/w lowest and highest scores

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21
Q

Variance

A

mean of the squares of all the deviation scores in the distribution (the mean square)

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22
Q

What percentage of the area under the curve falls w/in 1, 2, and 3 SD from the mean?

A

1 SD from mean: 68%
2 SD: 95%
3 SD: 99.7%

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23
Q

Prevalence vs incidence

A

prevalence: number of people w/ disease at given time (chronic)
incidence: number of NEW cases of a disease w/in a certain time period (acute)

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24
Q

Prevalence is affected by…

A

incidence (high incidence inc prevalence)
recovery (high recovery rate dec prevalence)
mortality (high mortality dec prevalence)

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25
Maternal mortality
death of woman while pregnant or w/in 42 days of termination of pregnancy from any cause related to or aggravated by the pregnancy or its management
26
Neonatal mortality
rate of infant death during first 28 days after live birth
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Infant mortality
number of infant deaths in first yr of life for every 1,000 live births
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Under-5 mortality (child mortality)
probability per 1,000 that a newborn baby will die b/f reaching age 5
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Life expectancy
how long a person is expected to live, based on yr of birth, current age, and other factors
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Health-adjusted life expectancy
number of healthy yrs a person is expected to live at birth by subtracting the yrs of ill health
31
Yrs of potential life lost
estimating the avg time a person would have lived had he or she not died prematurely
32
Quality-adjusted life yrs
measure of the value of health outcomes
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Disability-adjusted life yrs
sum of the years of life lose due to premature mortality in the pop and the yrs lost due to disability
34
Why use relative risks?
stable across populations with different baseline risks and are, for instance, useful when combining the results of different trials in a meta-analysis
35
When are relative risks used vs odds ratios?
Relative risks: when prospective cohort studies or RCTs are conducted Odds ratios: used for case-control studies b/c we do not know the true incidence of a disease/outcome
36
Validity
IS THERE BIAS? did the study measure what it claimed to test? how accurate is the study? is there bias (systematic error)?
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Internal validity
are the results of the study valid for the pop studied?
38
External validity
are the results of the study valid for the larger pop? are they generalizable?
39
Reliability
HOW PRECISE ARE THE RESULTS? do you get similar results if you measure more than once? is the study precise in measurement?
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3 measures of reliability
test/retest reliability repeatability and reproducability precision of measure
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Types of bias in external validity
Sample size too small Volunteers used Inclusion and exclusion criteria too select
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Efficacy vs effectiveness
Efficacy: determine whether an intervention is successful under IDEAL circumstances Effectiveness: determine whether an intervention is successful under REAL WORLD clinical settings
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Types of bias in internal validity
``` Measurement or info bias --recall bias --ascertainment bias Intervention bias Attrition bias ```
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Types of bias in internal validity Measurement or info bias + 2 types
were the predictor and outcome variables measured accurately? - -recall bias: participants may not remember past events - -ascertainment bias: researchers or participants have knowledge of who is receiving the intervention, lack of blinding
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Types of bias in internal validity | Intervention bias
did the authors select an unusually high dose for the comparison drug?
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Types of bias in internal validity | Attrition bias
loss to follow-up b/c too many people drop out, lack of intention-to-treat analysis
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Ecological fallacy
conclusions about indv are based only on analyses of group data
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Hawthorne effect
people who know they are being studied may modify their behavior or feelings
49
Confounding varaibles
true effect is due to an unmeasured variable that affects the results, lack of randomization to intervention and control groups
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Case control Cohort study Cross-sectional *these are all types of what kind of research?
Case control: outcome --> exposure Cohort: exposure --> outcome Cross-sectional: snapshot at one time period AKA prevalence/frequency survey *all are analytic (observational, primary)
51
Case control study: cannot calculate what measures? Why? What type of study allows for calculation of these?
Cannot calculate relative risks or attributable risks b/c no pop denominator *cohort study: can calculate incidence rates, relative risks, attributable risks
52
PICOT stands for...
``` P: pop I: intervention C: comparison O: outcome T: time ```
53
Health disparities
Health disparities are preventable differences in the burden of disease, injury, violence, or opportunities to achieve optimal health that are experienced by socially disadvantaged populations
54
Peer review
Peer review is the critical assessment of manuscripts submitted to journals by experts who are not part of the editorial staff
55
FRISBEE stands for | why is it important?
``` Follow-up Randomizaiton Intention-to-treat Similar baseline Blinding Equal treatment Equivalence to your pt **validity of research ```
56
FINER stands for
``` Feasible Interesting Novel Ethical Relevant ```
57
PPICO stands for
``` Problem Patient/population Intervention Comparison Outcomes ***clear clinical question in systematic review ```
58
3 models for Meta-Analysis
Fixed effects model: any difference found among study results due to chance Random effects model: difference b/w study results due to chance and other effects --popular when interventions thought to be more variable Bayesian Meta-Analysis
59
Forest plot
Quickly visualize the results of individual | studies and possibly for pooled data
60
L'Abbe plot
``` Quickly shows the amount of contribution of individual studies to the outcome sample size is proportional to circle size ```
61
Funnel plot | bias unlikely vs likely
bias unlikely: dots to left and right of zero | bias likely: dots to right of zero
62
Causes of publication bias
reporting bias true heterogeneity data irregularities chance
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Qualitative sources of heterogenetiy among studies
Patients in studies (differences in gender, age range, disease state) Interventions (drug vs. placebo, drug A vs drug B) Outcomes (death, inc chance of MI) Clinical research design of indiv studies
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Tests for heterogeneity
Mantel-Haentszel Chi-Square test Breslow-Day Test Cochran's Q Test I^2 statistic
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Positively skewed Normal Negatively skewed
Pos: mean and median to the RIGHT of the mode Normal: mean, median, mode are the same Neg: mean and median to the LEFT of the mode
66
Standard normal or Z distribution has a mean of ___ and a SD of ____
``` mean = 0 SD = 1 ```
67
For normal distribution to be fully defined, what 2 measures must be known?
mean | SD
68
Test statistic
measures the degree to which observation varies from predicted
69
Type of data used with these tests: Student's T test Chi-squared test ANOVA
Student's T test: continuous data Chi-squared test: categorical data and proportions ANOVA: comparing means of 2 or more pops
70
Null hypothesis
the intervention being studies has NO EFFECT
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Type I error
incorrectly concluding that an effect exists when it does not (errouneous REJECTION OF NULL HYPOTHESIS) **worry more about type I errors
72
Type II error
failing to recognize an effect that truly exists (erroneous ACCEPTANCE OF THE NULL HYPOTHESIS)
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Alpha
prob of making a type I error
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Beta
prob of making a type II error
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To reduce alpha and beta, need to...
inc sample size
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P value
prob of obtaining the observed results if the null hypothesis is true
77
Power
prob of finding an effect if it truly exists (1-beta)
78
Parameter estimation
determining the plausible range of values for a parameter of interest in a pop or experimental group - -point estimate - -CI
79
To inc the degree of confidence, how do you have to change CI
wider CI to inc degree of confidence
80
The mean of sample means should be ___ the mean of the whole pop The SD of the sample means will be ___ the SD of the pop
Mean of sample means should be the SAME as the mean of the whole pop SD of the sample means should be LESS THAN the SD of the pop
81
Odds ratio
measures the degree to which exposure to a risk factor or a treatment changes the odds of experiencing an outcome
82
Non-inferiority margin
maximum acceptable loss of efficacy
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Prob of type I error ___ with number of independent hypotheses tested
increases
84
Bonferroni correction
adjust p values when doing multiple hypothesis testing | alpha = 0.05/# hypotheses tested rather than alpha = 0.05
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Sensitivity
how reliably does the test pick up disease when present? to calculate, only consider pts known to have disease neg result on highly sensitie test rules out disease
86
Specificity
does this test avoid false-pos? to calculate, only consider pts who do not have the disease pos result on a highly specific test rules in disease
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Pre-specified hypotheses
based on prior research, clinical/biochemical reasoning, or other first principles precisely defined in study protocol
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Post-hoc
even if highly statistically significant, not proof of association or causality --to be convincing, findings must be both improbable and have a plausible explanatory mechanism
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ANOVA
``` more than 2 groups F statistic (variance b/w and within groups) If have more variance b/w groups than within the groups, you will get a bigger F statistic which will be more likely to be stat sig ```
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Repeated measure ANOVA
when longitudinal data collected | --each person has repeated measures of the dependent variable
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Therapy vs prognosis studies
Therapy: involve experimental intervention by researcher --compare groups based on treatment Prognosis: observational --look for associations b/w variables
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Parametric tests
``` normally distributed dependent variable ratio or interval level data measures are independent usually used to examine means (t tests, ANOVA) --sometimes difference in variance ```
93
Nonparametric tests
make NO assumptions about normal distribution more conservative than parametric used for analysis of medians and proportions used for ranked data used for nominal or ordinal data
94
Wilcoxon rank sum test AKA Mann-Whitney U test
nonparamentric test when assumptions for t test don't hold ranks scores from lowest to highest ranks analyzed as though they were original observations null hypothesis: means of the ranks are equal
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Independent vs dependent variable
independent: predictor dependent: outcome
96
Dose-response relationship
in drug studies, what is the largest, most effective dose w/o serious side effects?
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``` Types of regression ordinary least squares poisson (explain) logistic (explain) cox proportional hazards analysis (explain) hierarchical linear modeling ```
Poisson (count dependent variable) Logistic (dichotomous dependent variable) Cox proportional hazards analysis (survival analysis)
98
Logistic regression
predicting a binary (dichotomous outcome) predicts the probability of the outcome variable regression coefficients can be transformed into odds ratios w/ CI used for multivariate analysis
99
First order interactions
the relationship b/w an independent variable and the dependent variable is conditional upon a second independent variable
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Kaplan-Meier Curve
used with survival analysis x axis: exposures y axis: percent of event-free subjects
101
Relationship b/w CI width and sample size
CI width inc as sample size dec | --seen in survival curve as people die off
102
Survival analysis
censored observations Kaplan-Meier curves plot timing of events Cox proportional hazard analysis for multivariate analysis based on regression analysis
103
What tests use multilevel modeling?
logistic regression | OLS regression
104
Prevalence and Diagnostic tests
Prevalence: tells dr the prior prob of the disease | Diagnostic test: alters the disease prob estimate
105
``` How are these measures affected by inc in prevalence? sensitivity specificity PPV NPV ```
``` sensitivity and specificity remain constant PPV inc NPV dec **inc true pos **inc false neg ```
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ROC curves
method to find best cut point used to compare tests --test is best when has greater area under the curve --best cut point is at the top of the curve
107
Downfall of screening tests
increases number of false pos
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CAGE screening questionaire
Cut down Annoyed (others) Guilty Eye opening