EC2B3 Topic 6 Monetary and Fiscal Policy Flashcards

(45 cards)

1
Q

What is the primary goal of monetary policy?

A

To manage the economy by controlling the money supply and interest rates.

Monetary policy aims to achieve macroeconomic objectives such as controlling inflation, consumption, growth, and liquidity.

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2
Q

What is fiscal policy?

A

Government policy regarding taxation and spending to influence the economy.

Fiscal policy involves adjustments in government spending levels and tax rates to monitor and influence a nation’s economy.

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3
Q

What are the two main types of monetary policy?

A

Expansionary and contractionary monetary policy.

Expansionary policy aims to increase the money supply, while contractionary policy seeks to decrease it.

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4
Q

True or False: Fiscal policy is primarily concerned with the money supply.

A

False.

Fiscal policy focuses on government spending and taxation rather than the money supply.

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5
Q

Fill in the blank: __________ monetary policy involves lowering interest rates to stimulate economic activity.

A

Expansionary.

Lowering interest rates makes borrowing cheaper, encouraging spending and investment.

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6
Q

What is the role of the central bank in monetary policy?

A

To implement monetary policy and regulate the money supply.

The central bank uses tools like interest rates and reserve requirements to influence economic conditions.

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7
Q

List three tools used in monetary policy.

A
  • Open market operations
  • Discount rate
  • Reserve requirements

These tools help manage liquidity and influence overall economic activity.

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8
Q

What is the primary objective of fiscal policy?

A

To influence economic activity through government spending and taxation.

It aims to achieve a stable economic environment and promote growth.

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9
Q

True or False: Contractionary fiscal policy involves increasing government spending.

A

False.

Contractionary fiscal policy typically involves decreasing spending or increasing taxes.

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10
Q

Fill in the blank: __________ policy can be used to combat inflation by reducing money supply.

A

Contractionary.

It helps to stabilize prices by curbing excessive spending and borrowing.

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11
Q

What are the potential effects of expansionary fiscal policy?

A
  • Increased aggregate demand
  • Higher employment
  • Economic growth

This policy is often used during economic downturns to stimulate activity.

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12
Q

What is the relationship between monetary policy and inflation?

A

Monetary policy can be used to control inflation by adjusting interest rates.

Higher interest rates typically reduce spending and investment, which can help lower inflation.

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13
Q

List two challenges associated with implementing fiscal policy.

A
  • Time lags in policy implementation
  • Political constraints

These challenges can delay the effectiveness of fiscal measures.

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14
Q

What is the concept of ‘crowding out’ in fiscal policy?

A

When government spending leads to a reduction in private sector investment.

Increased government borrowing can raise interest rates, making it more expensive for businesses to invest.

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15
Q

Fill in the blank: The __________ effect describes the impact of monetary policy on the economy through interest rates.

A

Interest rate.

Changes in interest rates affect consumer and business spending decisions.

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16
Q

What is the yield curve

A

Interest rate maturity relationship of bonds

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17
Q
A
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18
Q

Assumptions of one and two period government bonds

  • price, yields

As

A
  1. Bond that pays one unit of money next time period
    Bond pays one unti of money two time periods in the future

Prices; V1 and V2

Yields; i and I:

V1 = 1 / (1+i) and V2 = 1/ (1+I)^2

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19
Q

Nominal return of investing one unit of money into 1 and 2 period bonds. after one period.

A

can buy 1/V1 of One period bond:
% return is (1-V1)/V1 = i
return = yield as bond held to maturity

can buy 1V2 of two period bonds:
bond now worth V1’ = 1/(1 + i’)

return = I + (I - i’) (1+ I / 1 + i’)

20
Q

Is it best to hold one or two period bonds

A
  • uncertain; dep on future yield of i’ which is unknown
  • Two bond generally riskier

in equilibium both willingly held

21
Q

What is the primary assumption of the expectations theory of long-term interest rates

A

Investors only care about expected returns - ‘risk neutral’

all bonds must be held in equilibrium –> bond prices ajudst soo all bonds have expected same return

Thus there is a connection between shortn and long term rates

22
Q

Expected return on two period bond

A

as long as i’ and I not too large

(I - i’)(1+I / 1+i’) = I - i’

thus 2I - i’

therefore expected return = 2I - i’e

i’e denotes expected value of the future one period yield i’

23
Q

given expectations theory of IR and the expected two period bond return.

what is the long term rate and implications for CB MP

A

Risk netural investors hold either bond in equilibrium

so

I = (i + i’e) / 2

I is average of current and expected future short term rates until bond maturity

Implies CB can use MP through expectations as well as i

24
Q

Implications of expectations theory for shape of the yield curve

A

expectations theory equation
i’e - i = 2(I -i)

  • upward sloping (I>i) –> rates will rise (i’e>i)
  • downward sloping (I< i ) –> rates will fall (i’e < i)
  • flat yield curve (I=i) –> no change in rates (i’e = i)
25
What is the problem of time inconsistency
Policymaker gains at current time through believeable future policy action Policymaker does not gain by implementation in the future
26
What are the consequences of stimulus
Higher inflation is anticipated which causes expectations to rise and PC shift upwards Worsens attainable combinations of inflation and real GDP MP has an **inflation bias** as once at 0 inflation again incentivised to go above
27
time inconsistency of low inflation target
28
Methods to gain from commitment commit to low inflation or goals
* CB Independence * Policy framework focusing on inflation * Accountable for low inflation rate commmitmet eaeaeaeaeaeanlicy is able to reduce inflatiaon expectations
29
Why may fiscal policy be smaller or larger in impact
Small: constraints (RE), cwording out (resource, ir) Larger: Multipliers (borrowing constraints)
30
What is gov and household present value budegt constraint Combine them into a version wihtout taxes
Constant constraint
31
Draw a tax cut ina typical ricardian equivalence
(Y-T, Y' - T') down and to the right RE: no change in C' as tax cut saved for future
32
Does RE rule out an increase inea GDP
no
33
from a direct increase in government spending from higher taxes. Draw the corwding out efect with an increase in real GDP
Yd shift MORE than Ys due to cons. smoothing Thus as YD> Ys --> higher IR reducing Cd and Id
34
when is the Yd curve with traditional crowding out valid (no multiplier effect)
Households do not face credit constraints and level of employment is sociall opitmal --> income is a choice not a constraint in reality, credit constraints key reason for multiplier loop
35
Draw the consumption with a binding budget constraint where some households face a constraint on not eranign enough curent income to pay or borrow for current
Credit Constrained Households: - C current rises one for one with disposable income (Y-T) - Current C doesn't respond to future taxes T' Thus RE Fails
36
When in consumption with a binding budget constraint; what is consumption demand a function of
Direct function of income Y
37
What is MPC
sensitivity of Cd to higher Y is MPC MPC = partial diff of Cd(Y) / partial diff of Y MPC for aggregate consumption is a weighted average of the MPC of 1 for borrowing constrained households and the lower MPC of savers
38
What is output demand in MPC model
Yd = Cd(Y) + Id + G Cd(Y) depends on income Y
39
IN equilibrium what is aggregate income (Y) equivalent to
Y = Yd
40
when plotting Yd against Y, what is the gradient
gradient is MPC between 0 and 1
41
Draw the Keynesian multiplier graph
Factors affecting Yd other than income Y shift expenditure line Yd vertically
42
What is the effect of the keynesian multiplier on the Yd curve in the (Y,r) space
Yd curve shifts horizontally by more when a demand shock occurs - Amplifies effect of demand shocks on Y - Keynesian multiplier effect Yd is also now flatter: more sensistive to r
43
What may change the findings of weak effects of fiscal policy
- Some households are borrowing constrainted: multiplier effects on Yd - Prices sticky and monetary policy is accomodative (less crowding out) - Supply-side efffecs (raising TFP)
44
Draw the effect of fiscal stimulus with a temporary increase in G. when: - MP maintains constant real interest rate r - Borrowing constrained households consumer disposable income - Sticky prices
Shift of Yd becomes larger and can exceed increase of G MP holds r constant --> no crowding out and not on Ys curve due to sticky prices
45
What is the effect of financial friction on the transmission mechanisms
Amplify the effects of shocks and policy