Economic Factors Flashcards
(45 cards)
SPICED
strong
pound
import
cheaper
export
dearer
- high exchange rates
WPIDEC
weak
pound
import
dearer
export
cheaper
- low exchange rates
Explain exchange rates
The price of one currency expressed in terms of another. There is an important link between the domestic rate of interest and the value of a nation’s currency.
Exchange rates between most currencies vary regularly according to the balance of supply and demand for each individual currency. If the demand for pounds increases (for example, more tourism to the UK), the
exchange rate goes up; if the supply increases (such as more UK citizens holidaying abroad),
the exchange rate falls.
Define interest rates
The price paid for borrowed
money. The base rate of interest is the rate set by the Bank of England.
Effect of high interest rates on consumers:
- Less spending by borrowers – the cost of borrowing increases so people borrow less (as the cost of repaying the loan is more).
- More saving by savers – there is an appeal to saving as they will earn a higher rate of interest on their money and hence spend less money.
- Less spending as smaller amount of disposable income (hits those selling luxury items). Also millions of consumers have mortgages – when interest rates rise there is less money to spend on other
items.
Effect of high interest rates on businesses:
- Reduction in the sale of luxury items and items normally bought on credit – businesses selling wants, such as televisions and sofas, may see a substantial fall in sales.
- Higher overheads for businesses – loans become more expensive due to the increase in interest charges.
- Reduction in expansions/growth – businesses may decide to postpone decisions to buy new machinery or build new factories.
- No real change in sales for businesses selling ‘needs’.
- Encourages businesses to save more as the returns are greater.
- Sees businesses reducing their levels of stocks (maybe selling at reduced prices) to reduce the need to borrow money.
- Sees businesses reducing production to reduce the costs of credit.
- Encourages debtors to delay payment in order to earn interest.
- Sees creditors wanting their money more quickly
Exchange rates effect on exports
- a rise in the value of the pound means exported goods cost more for overseas customers, so
demand falls - a fall in the value of the pound means exported goods cost less for overseas customers so
demand rises.
Exchange rates effect on imports
- a rise in the value of the pound means imports cost less so more profit can be made or prices can be reduced
- a fall in the value of the pound means imports cost more so less profit is made or prices are increased.
Link between rise in interest rates and exchange rates
UK becomes a more attractive location for foreign investors g foreign investors purchase pounds to invest in UK banks demand for pounds increases, raising the price
(exchange rate).
Link between fall in interest rates and exchange rates
UK becomes less attractive to investors g foreign investors sell pounds to purchase other currencies g supply of pounds
increases causing the exchange rate to fall.
Define interest rate - monetary policy
Since May 1997 the Monetary
Policy Committee of the Bank of England has had responsibility for setting interest rates, which it does monthly, with the aim of achieving the government’s target for inflation (2% ± 1%) whilst attaining long-term growth in the economy.
Objectives of raising interest rates
- reducing the level of consumer spending
- reducing inflation
- slowing the level of economic growth (GDP)
- reducing the number of imports
- dampening down an economic boom.
Implications of rising interest rates
- many businesses may experience falling sales as consumers increase savings
- demand for products purchased on credit may decline significantly
- business cancelling or postponing investment plans
- businesses reduce borrowing
- increased value of sterling increasing the prices of exports while reducing import prices.
Objectives of reducing interest rates
- reducing levels of unemployment
- stimulating the level of production in the economy
- promoting exports sales by reducing the exchange rate of the pound
- increasing rates of economic growth in the economy
- assisting in recovering from a slump.
consequences of falling interest rates
- demand and sales are likely to increase
- production is likely to be stimulated by increasing employment
- export sales of price sensitive products may increase whilst imports become less competitive.
Define fiscal policy
The use of taxation and public
(government) expenditure as a means of controlling the level of activity within the economy.
The government can operate two types of fiscal policy
- To increase the level of economic activity – achieved by cutting rates of taxation; increasing government expenditure. This results in increased output and spending, less unemployment, possible
increase in inflation and more imports. - To reduce the level of economic activity – achieved by increasing rates of taxation; cutting government expenditure. This results in lowered output, spending and employment, lower inflation and fewer imports.
Government expenditure is in two broad categories
- Transfer payments – this is expenditure on unemployment benefit, pensions and other social security payments. An increase in transfer payments often results in substantial increase in demand for basic goods, such as food, public
transport and gas. - The infrastructure – governments improve the infrastructure through their spending on housing, roads and flood protection. Investment in these areas can increase the level of economic activity by boosting demand for the services of construction businesses whilst reducing costs for other businesses.
Define inflation
Inflation is the rate at which the general level of prices is rising. Inflation is measured by the Consumer Price Index (CPI) which measures the rate of inflation based on the changes in prices of a basket of goods and services.
For many businesses, a low rate of inflation is not a problem. Inflation only becomes a major problem when it is high, rising rapidly or doing both together. Inflation occurs in two ways
Demand-pull inflation
The demand for the country’s goods and services exceeds its
ability to supply the products. Prices rise generally as a means of restricting demand to the
available supply.
Cost-push inflation
Costs rise due to factors such as rising wages or costs of raw
materials and components
The government’s main weapon against inflation has been to raise interest rates. The effects of this are:
- consumers are discouraged from spending their money by higher savings rates and are less likely to buy on credit as it is more expensive
- businesses reduce investment as borrowing becomes more expensive
- output and sales decline and the inflationary pressure reduces.
High rates of inflation affect businesses because
(If inflation rates are low: Opposite )
- rising wages and raw materials costs may force businesses to accept lower profit margins or to raise prices
- businesses face menu costs as prices listed have to be frequently updated
- businesses face shoe leather costs (businesses frequently need to spend time and money trying to find out which supplier has the cheapest prices)
- overseas businesses (with lower inflation rates) may gain a competitive advantage
- some businesses will invest more as the real value of loans falls quickly
- other businesses will hold back on investment because interest rates are likely to rise
- people save more due to uncertainty and because interest rates are frequently raised, so demand falls.
define taxation
Part of any income earned by a
business must be paid to the government.
The revenue generated is used to fund public services such as education, health and the
armed forces.