EGCP_L2 Flashcards
(12 cards)
LM Curve
Definition:
- The LM curve shows the positive relationship between the interest rate (i) and output (Y) that balances money supply and demand.
- It comes from the equilibrium condition Ms = p · L(i, Y).
- Increasing money supply shifts the LM curve down (lower i).
IS Curve
Definition:
- The IS curve shows a negative relationship between output (Y) and interest rate (i), ensuring planned expenditures = actual expenditures.
- Core equation: Y = C(Y) + I(i) + G.
- A rightward shift indicates higher demand (e.g. more public spending).
Money Market Equilibrium
Key Points:
- Money supply is set by the central bank; money demand depends on Y and i.
- At higher Y, money demand increases, pushing i up unless supply adjusts.
- The LM curve visualises how i must adjust for equilibrium at different Y levels.
Increase in Public Spending
Effect:
- IS curve shifts right → output and interest rate both rise.
- May cause crowding out of private investment due to higher i.
- Historical example: German reunification led to a boom via public expenditures.
Easing of Monetary Policy
Mechanism:
- Central bank increases money supply (or sets a lower target interest rate).
- LM curve shifts down → lower i, higher Y.
- Stimulates investment (I) and consumption (C).
Declining Consumer Confidence
Consequences:
- IS curve shifts left as households consume less.
- Results in lower output and lower interest rate (in the short run).
- Possible counteractions: fiscal stimulus (shifts IS back right) or monetary easing (shifts LM down).
Aggregate Demand Curve
Definition:
- Relates price level (p) to output (Y).
- Derived from how a change in p shifts the LM curve, thereby altering Y.
- The IS-LM framework in the short run gives rise to the AD curve when p is variable.
Short-run Aggregate Supply (AS)
Key Points:
- Upward sloping due to sticky wages and contracts.
- Misconceptions about price changes can also cause deviations in output.
- In the short run, output is primarily determined by aggregate demand.
Long-run Equilibrium Adjustment
Process:
- If output differs from the natural level (Yn), prices gradually adjust.
- As prices change, the LM curve shifts, guiding Y back to Yn.
- Downward wage/price adjustments can be slow and face resistance (e.g. Greece 2010–2016).
Central Bank Instrument
Modern Practice:
- Central banks typically target the short-term interest rate, not the money supply.
- By stabilising i, they offset fluctuations in money demand.
- Examples: ECB sets the interbank rate (EONIA), Fed sets the federal funds rate.
Long-term Interest Rates
Relationship:
- Long-term nominal interest rate iL depends on expected future short-term rates plus a term premium.
- Central banks influence long-term rates via current and expected future short-term rates (and forward guidance).
Taylor Rule & IS-MP Model
Modern Approach:
- Replaces LM with an MP (Monetary Policy) curve based on a Taylor rule: i responds systematically to inflation and output gap.
- Simplifies the trade-off analysis using a Phillips Curve to capture inflation-output dynamics.