Emerging And Developing Economies Flashcards
(129 cards)
List me the 3 main measures of development
The human development index (HDI)
The inequality-adjusted HDI (IHDI)
The multi-dimensional poverty index (MPI)
What is the human development index
The HDI is a composite index of development and includes three elements:
Education (the mean years of schooling for an adult aged 25 and expected years of schooling for a pre-school child.
Health (life expectancy at birth)
Real GNI per head at purchasing power parities.
The index results in a number between 0 and 1: the higher the value, the higher the level of development.
Tell me about the inequality-adjusted HDI
The IHDI is published alongside the HDI and takes into account how human development is distributed. Countries which are very unequal see their human development scores fall more than those that are less unequal. Therefore, the difference between the HDI and the IHDI represents the ‘loss’ in potential human development due to inequality.
Tell me about the multi-dimensional poverty index
The global MPI is composed of 10 indicators corresponding to the same three components as the HDI: education, health and standard of living. Multi-dimensional poverty is made up of several factors that constitute poor people’s experience of deprivation - such as poor health, lack of education, inadequate living standard, disempowerment, poor quality of work and threat from violence.
Which two aspects of poverty does the global MPI combine
Incidence, i.e. the percentage of people who are poor
The intensity of people’s poverty, I.e the average of the components identified before in which poor people are deprived.
List me other indicators of development
The proportion of the male population engaged in agriculture
Energy consumption per person
The proportion of the population with access to clean water
Mobile phones per thousand of population
The proportion of the population with internet access.
List me factors influencing growth and development
This section is primarily focussed on problems facing developing countries:
Primary product dependancy, Volatility in commodity markets, Level of savings and investment, Foreign exchange gap, Capital flight, Demographic factors, Access to banking and credit, Infrastructure, Education and skills, Absence of property rights, Non economic factors
What may primary products be divided into
Primary products may be divided into hard commodities, such as copper, tin and iron ore,
and soft commodities, which include most agricultural crops, such as wheat, palm oil, rice and fruit.
List me the issues a country may face that are dependant on primary products
Price fluctuation
Difficulty of planning investment and output
Natural disasters
Protectionism by developed countries
Low income elasticity of demand for primary products
Tell me about the issue facing countries dependant on primary products: difficulty of planning investment and output
The price fluctuations cause uncertainty, which is a deterrent to investment
Tell me about the issue facing countries dependant on primary products: natural disasters
Extreme weather such as hurricanes, tornadoes, droughts and tsunamis can cause severe disruption to the production of primary products, especially agricultural products.
Tell me about the issue facing countries dependant on primary products: protectionism by developed countries
For example, the huge subsidies given to US cotton farmers have created great difficulties for Indian cotton farmers, who are unable to compete; the EU’s common agricultural policy has meant that there is no free access to European markets for food from developing countries.
Tell me about the issue facing countries dependant on primary products: low income elasticity of demand for primary products
The Prebisch-Singer hypothesis states that the terms of trade between primary products and manufactured goods tends to deteriorate over time.
Tell me what the Prebisch-singer hypothesis
This theory suggests that countries export commodities would be able to import less and less for a given level of exports. Prebisch and Singer examined data over a long period of time and found the data suggested that the terms of trade for primary commodity exporters did have a tendency to decline.
A common explanation for this is that the income elasticity of demand for manufactured goods is greater than that for primary products, especially food. Therefore, as incomes rise, the demand for manufactured goods increases more rapidly than demand for primary products and the prices of manufactured goods rise relative to the prices of primary products, so causing a decline in the terms of trade for countries dependant on the export of primary products.
How may the Prebisch-Singer theory be criticised
First, some countries have developed on the basis of their primary products (eg Botswana: diamonds)
Second, if a developing country has a comparative advantage in a primary product, then its resources will be used more efficiently by specialising in the production of that product
Third, primary product prices rose sharply until the middle of 2008 while the prices of many manufactured products were falling.
Some economists argue that, in the case of food, prices are likely to increase as world population grows and incomes in countries such as China and India rise, so causing higher demand for many food traditionally eaten by those in developed countries.
Although the Prebisch-Singer theory is real, why is the outlook for countries such as Bolivia good
Nearly half the worlds known reserves of lithium (which can be used to make batteries for hybrid and electric vehicles) are located in Bolivia. Given the decline in oil production, and the subsidies being given to companies to develop electric cars, demand for lithium can be expected to rise sharply in the future.
In contrast, countries producing and exporting copper, such as Chile, were faced with a 50% fall in price between the middle of 2008 and 2009.
Tell me about volatility in commodity markets as a factor influencing growth and development
Demand for, and supply of, commodities tend to be price inelastic. In the case of demand, this is because they are required in the production of other goods for which demand is also price inelastic, such as pasta, bread and steel. Supply is inelastic because a long growing period is required for soft commodities (most agricultural commodities) while for hard commodities, eg coal and diamonds, considerable time is required for developing new mines. Consequently, any demand side or supply side shock will result in significant price change. In turn, price changes will result in fluctuations of producers’ incomes and foreign exchange earnings. For example, since demand is price inelastic, then a fall in price will cause total revenue to fall and, therefore, the foreign currency earnings from exports to fall.
Why may a shift in the supply curve of an agricultural commodity occur
Any shift in the supply or the demand curve would cause a sharp change in price. A shift in the supply curve of an agricultural commodity might occur if there is a drought, while and earthquake might disrupt the production of copper mining. Since demand is price inelastic, then a leftward shift in the supply curve would cause a significant increase in price.
Why has demand for commodities increased
A change in the conditions of demand would cause a significant price change because supply is price inelastic( lines are close to vertical). Demand has increased for a number of reasons:
An increase in world population, which is now over 7 billion
An increase in real incomes, which has led to increased demand for many commodities (for example, the demand for beef, which requires large amounts of grain for animal feed, has increased significantly)
An increased demand for grain to be used for fuel
What’s the GDP per capita like In developing countries
Many developing countries have a low GDP per capita and consequently they hold inadequate savings to finance the investment seen as essential to achieve economic growth and development. The Harrod-Domar model illustrates the problem.
What problem does the Harrod-Domar model illustrate
Countries have a low GDP per capita and so hold inadequate savings to finance the investment seen as essential to achieve economic growth and development.
What does the Harrod-Domar model look like
Low incomes -> low savings -> low investment -> low capital accumulation -> low incomes
It illustrates low GDP per capita and the savings gap.
It’s like a cycle woah 🚲
What other gap is the foreign exchange gap associated with
Associated with the savings gap, many developing countries face a shortage of foreign exchange
Why do countries face a shortage of foreign exchange
This may be the result of a variety of factors, including:
Dependence on export earnings from primary products
Dependence on imports of capital goods and other manufacturing goods
Capital flight
Debt