EMH Flashcards
(8 cards)
What is the Efficient Market Hypothesis (EMH)?
It’s the idea that asset prices fully reflect available information—so you can’t consistently beat the market.
What is the Weak/Semi/Strong Form of EMH?
A: Prices reflect all past prices and volume; you can’t profit from technical analysis or chart patterns.
Prices reflect all public information; you can’t profit from news or financial reports because prices adjust instantly.
Prices reflect all public and private information—even insiders can’t earn excess profits.
Semi-Strong Form – Deeper Understanding
Investors
Example
Public info is already priced in, so reacting to news doesn’t give you an advantage.
A company announces high profits → stock price jumps immediately → no time to buy low after hearing the news.
Insider info illegal can happen
What is arbitrage in finance and how does it help make markets efficient?
Buying low and selling high to make risk-free profits when prices are wrong.
It corrects mispriced stocks—smart investors buy underpriced assets or sell overpriced ones, pushing prices back to fair value.
Limits to arbitrage
Fundamental risk – price might not move as expected
Noise trader risk – irrational traders cause volatility
Financing constraints – limited money to keep betting
Why do limits to arbitrage matter
They stop traders from fully correcting mispricings, so prices may stay wrong longer than expected.
What is behavioural finance?
A field that studies how emotions and biases affect investor decisions and market prices.
Name 2 common investor biases
How do biases affect markets
Overconfidence – investors think they’re smarter than they are
Herding – people follow the crowd instead of making rational decisions
They can cause mispricing, bubbles, and crashes—making markets less efficient.