Epidemiology Flashcards
(126 cards)
What is the formula for relative risk and odds ratio?
Relative risk:
Number of exposed cases/ (Number of exposed cases + number of exposed controls)/Number of not exposed cases/(Number of not exposed cases + number of not exposed controls)
Odds ratio:
(Number of exposed cases x Number of not exposed controls)/ (Number of exposed controls x Number of not exposed cases)
Compare the advantages and disadvantages of case-control and cohort studies
Case-control: good for rare diseases, quicker and cost-effective, but recall bias and uncertain exposure-disease time relationship
Cohort: can study multiple outcomes simultaneously and eliminate bias if prospective, but inefficient for rare disease and loss-to-follow-up introduces bias
Compare the advantages and disadvantages of high-risk and population public health interventions
High risk: effective and efficient, with strong benefit:risk ratio, but is temporary, difficult to perform and risk prediction may not be accurate
Population: equitable and larger potential but questionable benefit:risk ratios and poorer motivation
Define a clinical trial
Clinical Trial: planned human experiment to measure effectiveness of intervention - not observational
Define age standardised death rates
Age standardised death rates: rate of death per year, either for a given condition or for the population as a whole; can be used to assess the effectiveness of a country’s health system as well as comparing if one population is dying of a given condition more frequently than the other
Why is caution warned with age standardised death rates?
Caution: differences in reporting, diagnostics, coding, and behaviour can all affect SMRs and cause “alarming increases” that do not actually translate to massively increased incidence or mortality
What are the key features required for a clinical trial?
Key features: defined intervention, comparator, inclusion criteria and exclusion criteria
Define and give the formula for sensitivity
Sensitivity: probability those WITH disease are identified (disease identified/disease total) - higher better
SnNout: when a test has a high sensitivity, a negative result tends to be in the diagnosis
Define and give the formula for specificity
Specificity: probability those WITHOUT disease are identified (healthy identified/healthy total) - higher better
SpPin: when a test has a high specificity, a positive result tends to be in the diagnosis
Define and give the formula for positive predicted values
+ve PV: probability those testing positive DO have the disease (positives true/positives total)
Define and give the formula for negative predicted values
-ve PV: probability those testing negative DO NOT have the disease (negatives true/negatives total)
Define and interpret p values
P-Value: likelihood that the result is due to chance, so p = 0.05 suggests that the probability of being the result of chance is 5%; p<0.05 is usually used as a test of significance, whereby if p<0.05 the probability the result is due to chance is less than 5%
Define and interpret confidence intervals
Confidence intervals: repeated sampling will produce a spread of estimates around the true value, and 95% confidence intervals can be used to show where 95% of sample estimates will lie; this allows us to be confident that the true value lies somewhere within this interval
Define and state the formula for relative risk
Relative risk: ratio of probability of an outcome in exposed group versus unexposed : incidence exposed / incidence unexposed
Define and state the formula for attributable risk
Attributable risk: difference between rate of outcome in exposed and unexposed (hence attributable to exposure): (incidence exposed - incidence unexposed)/100
Define and state the formula for odds ratio
Odds ratio: likelihood of having an exposure if you have the disease, relative to likelihood if you don’t have disease: odds cases / odds controls
Define case control studies
Start with a source population, containing a group of cases and a group of controls from a population that is the same as/representative of that which the cases come from; looking retrospectively, compare the odds of exposure in those with the disease and those without, to see if those that have the disease were more likely to have been exposed - this will produce an ODDS RATIO
Define cohort studies
These can be performed retrospectively (possibility of bias, less expensive) or prospectively (less bias, more expensive), and involve starting with a HEALTHY cohort of volunteers, and following them up over time to study the effect of exposure on outcomes. The cohort is divided at analysis to the exposed and unexposed, and then the risk of the outcome in question is studied to provide a RELATIVE RISK (incidence exposed/incidence unexposed)
Define confounding
Confounder: a factor (e.g. Age, sex, ethnicity, socioeconomic status) that is associated with both the exposure of interest and the outcome of interest
Define heterogeneity when conducting a meta analyses/ systematic review
Studies differ with respect to PICOS, and I2 can measure heterogeneity of included studies where 0% is fully homogeneous, 50% moderate heterogeneity and 75% classed as very hetergeneous
Define high risk
High-risk: identifying those at most risk of disease and targeting with an intervention (screening at risk groups)
Define population public health interventions
recognising common disease and targeting everyone to reduce exposure
Define incidence
Incidence: number of new cases of a disease in a specified time period (number of cases/number disease free at beginning of period)
What is prevalence?
Prevalence: number of cases of disease at a specific point in time (number of cases/total population)