Equity - Market Efficiency + overview of equity securities + industry analysis (Rd 46-48) Flashcards
(192 cards)
Which of the following statements about market efficiency is least accurate?
A)
The semi-strong form EMH addresses market and non-market public information.
B)
The weak-form EMH suggests that fundamental analysis will not provide excess returns while the semi-strong form suggests that technical analysis cannot achieve excess returns.
C)
The strong-form EMH assumes cost free availability of all information, both public and private.
B
The weak-form EMH suggests that technical analysis will not provide excess returns while the semi-strong form suggests that fundamental analysis cannot achieve excess returns. The weak-form EMH assumes the price of a security reflects all currently available historical information. Thus, the past price and volume of trading has no relationship with the future, hence technical analysis is not useful in achieving superior returns.
The other choices are correct.
The strong-form EMH states that stock prices reflect all types of information: market, non-public market, and private. No group has monopolistic access to relevant information; thus no group can achieve excess returns. For these assumptions to hold, the strong-form assumes perfect markets - information is free and available to all.
____ reflects current available security market data
____ reflects info from both public and private source
____ reflects without bias to new public information
p - weak form market efficiency
f - strong form market efficiency
mf - semi-strong form market efficiency
Investors ___ (can/cannot) achieve positive risk adjusted returns on average by using technical analysis in weak form market efficiency
cannot
Investors ___ (can/cannot) achieve positive risk adjusted returns on average by using _____ analysis in weak form market efficiency
technical
Investors cannot achieve positive risk adjusted returns on average by using technical analysis in ___ form market efficiency
weak
Investors ___ (can/cannot) achieve positive risk adjusted returns on average by using fundamental analysis in semi strong form market efficiency
cannot
Investors cannot achieve positive risk adjusted returns on average by using ____ analysis in semi strong form market efficiency
fundamental or technical - not consistently achieve
However, fundamental analysis is necessary if market prices are to be semi-strong form efficient.
Investors cannot achieve positive risk adjusted returns on average by using fundamental analysis in ____ form market efficiency
semi strong
____ form market efficiency doesn’t really exist in real life since markets prohibit inside trading
strong
Which of the following forms of the EMH assumes that no group of investors has monopolistic access to relevant information?
A) Weak-form.
B) Both weak and semistrong form.
C) Strong-form.
C
According to the strong-form EMH, security prices reflect all information, which includes the privately available (monopolistic) information.
An efficient capital market:
A)
fully reflects all of the information currently available about a given security, including risk.
B)
does not fully reflect all of the information currently available about a given security, including risk.
C)
fully reflects all of the information currently available about a given security, excluding risk.
A
An efficient capital market fully reflects all of the information currently available about a given security, including risk.
The more ____ a market is, the ____ its reaction will be to new information.
efficient; quicker
If the market is ____, active investment strategies cannot earn positive risk-adjusted returns consistently, and investors should therefore use a passive strategy.
fully efficient
If the market is fully efficient, active investment strategies ____ earn positive risk-adjusted returns consistently, and investors should therefore use a _____ strategy.
cannot; passive
The statement, “Stock prices fully reflect all information from public and private sources,” can be attributed to which form of the efficient market hypothesis (EMH)?
A) Strong-form EMH.
B) Weak-form EMH.
C) Semistrong-form EMH.
A
This is the definition of the strong-form EMH. Private sources include insider information, such as persons holding monopolistic access to information relevant to the formation of prices.
Octagon Advisors believes that the market is semi-strong efficient. The firm’s portfolio managers most likely will use:
A) an enhanced indexing strategy that relies on trading patterns.
B) passive portfolio management strategies.
C) active portfolio management strategies.
B
If the market is semi-strong efficient, portfolio managers should use passive management because neither technical analysis nor fundamental analysis will generate positive abnormal returns on average over time.
- price rapidly adjust according to new information, so using passive technique is better
If markets are strong-form efficient, ___ (active/passive) investment management does not consistently result in abnormal profits.
active
Even if markets are strong-form efficient, portfolio managers can add value by establishing and implementing portfolio risk and return objectives and assisting with ____ (3)
- portfolio diversification
- asset allocation
- tax minimization
Even if markets are ___ efficient, portfolio managers can add value by establishing and implementing portfolio risk and return objectives and assisting with portfolio diversification, asset allocation, and tax minimization.
strong-form
The measure of an asset’s value that can most likely be determined without estimation is its:
A) fundamental value.
B) market value.
C) intrinsic value.
B
The current price of a traded asset is its market value. An asset’s intrinsic or fundamental value is the price a rational investor with complete information about the asset would pay for it.
The value of an asset that a rational investor with full knowledge about the asset’s characteristics would willingly pay is best described as the asset’s:
A) market value.
B) intrinsic value.
C) theoretical value.
B
Intrinsic value is the price a rational investor with full knowledge about an asset’s characteristics would willingly pay for the asset.
If the momentum effect persists over time, it would provide evidence against which of the following forms of market efficiency?
A) Both weak form and semistrong form.
B) Weak form only.
C) Semistrong form only.
A
The momentum effect suggests it is possible to earn abnormal returns using market data. All three forms of market efficiency (weak form, semistrong form, and strong form) assume that market prices fully reflect market data.
Investor overreaction that has been documented in securities markets is most likely attributable to investors exhibiting:
A) loss aversion.
B) conservatism.
C) risk aversion.
A
Loss aversion refers to the tendency for investors to dislike downside risks more than upside risks creating asymmetrical risk preferences. This dislike of losses may be a cause of investor overreaction.
C - The standard economic notion of risk aversion assumes symmetric risk preferences.
B - Conservatism is the behavioral bias whereby investors react slowly to new information and is unlikely to cause overreaction.
A market’s efficiency is most likely to negatively affected by:
A) a ban on short selling.
B) a high amount of trading activity.
C) substantial analyst coverage of the exchange listed companies
A
Research supports the conclusion that short selling helps to prevent market prices from becoming overvalued, while limiting short selling has the opposite effect. More analyst coverage and more liquidity contribute to market efficiency.