Equity1 Flashcards
(37 cards)
Perceived Mispricing
Estimated Value - Market Price
Perceived Mispricing
55-56=-1
True Mispricing
Intrinsic Value - Market Price
True Mispricing
57-56=1
Valulation error
Estimated value - Intrinsic Value
Valulation error
55-57=-2
Unadjusted historical Beta
1/3 =(2/3)Beta)= 1/3+(2/3).60
.33+.40
.73
Estimated Unleaverd Beta
Beta(1/ (1+(d/e))
1.20(1/(1+.50)
.80
levered Beta
.80*(1+.25)=1.00
Ibbotson and chen Model equity risk premium
(1+inflation rate)(1+EPS growth rate)(1+P/E growth rate)-1 + income rate)- Treasury Bond YTM
Ibbotson and chen Model equity risk premium
- 031.041.00-1+.020-.050
9. 1-5.0=4.1
ROE, return to equity
Net Profit margin* asset turnover* leverage factor
ROE, return to equity
(NI/ sales)* (Sales/Assets)*(Assets/equity)
ROE, return to equity
(10/200)(200/400)(400/100)
5.0%.54.0=10.00%
Substainable Growth rate
(1-DPO)ROE
(1-.40)20%
12%
DPO
DPS/EPS
2.00/5.00=.40
ROE
EPS/BVPS
5.00/25.00=20.%
Fama French Model -
Higher Mkt risk= higher equity discount rate
smaller Mkt risk= Higher equity discount rate
Lower book to mkt value results in higher equity discount rate
Pastor - Stambaugh extension
Has four factors
Indicates for a company stock
Better liquity tends to result in lower equity discount rate
Worse liquity tends to result in a higher equity discount rate
H model
- 00(1.05) / ( .11-.05) +2.00(.20-.05)*(4/2)/(.11-.05)
- 00+10.00
- 00
three stage model
2.00(1.20)/(1.11)+2.00(1.20)^2/(1.11^2)
+2.00(1.20)^21.15/ /(1.11)^3 +2.00(1.20)^21.15*1.10 / (1.11)^4+ 63.76(1.11)^4
- 00(1.20)^21.151.10*(1.05) /.11-.05
- 76
Warranted Leading P/E
Corresponding price
DPO/ (K-G) (1-.40) / (.11-.06)
.60/.05 =12.0
EPS2Leading P/ E
6.0012.00= 72.00
Warranted Leading P/S
Corresponding price
Net Profit Margin * DPO / (K-G) .10* (1-.40) / (.11-.06)
..60/.05 =1.20
SPS2Leading P/ E
60.001.20= 72.00
Warranted Leading P/B
Corresponding price
( ROE-G ) / (K-G) .10* (15-..06) / (.11-.06)
.1.80
BVPS*(P/B)
40.00*1.80= 72.00