exam 2 Flashcards

1
Q

what do people value (mental accounting)

A

time, money and resources

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2
Q

what is the sunk cost effect

A

the tendency to continue an endeavor once an investment in money, effort or time has been made

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3
Q

what are some examples of the sunk cost effect

A

relationships, finishing a terrible movie, continuing a bad paper, eating expired food

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4
Q

what does the study of movie theatre tickets say about the sunk cost effect

A

people who pay more or full price for tickets tend to go to things more than people who pay less, even if they don’t want to go

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5
Q

what is the prospect theory

A

losses loom larger than gains, with a gain that is the same size as a loss you have a less extreme feeling

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6
Q

what is the escalation of commitment

A

throwing good money after bad money, I’ve already spend money so why not spend more to get the desired outcome?

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7
Q

how can the prospect theory be applied to sunk cost theory

A

we can justify paying more if it will then potentially result in an anticipated outcome (to avoid a loss)

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8
Q

how can we get away from the sunk cost feeling

A

sunk cost has greatest impact near the time of expenditure

as time goes on the effect is less apparent or nonexistent

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9
Q

is the sunk cost effect rational

A

no, it is not rational to let the sunk cost determine future behavior

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10
Q

what is transaction utility

A

value is directly related to how good of a deal you think a price is, given the specific context you are in at that time
in other words, buying something and thinking you got a good deal

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11
Q

what is an example of transaction utility

A

buying an expensive shoe at bloomingdales is justifiable, but it is not justifiable buying an expensive shoe at target

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12
Q

what if you didnt know where a product came from

A

(assessing the quality of a product without an associated price) we tend to infer value and price based on the brand and context/location (ex. Olive Garden vs fancy italian restaurant)

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13
Q

explain the wine tasting experiment

A

can we experience different levels of pleasantness or satisfaction based on the perceived price of a good

1) tasting of 3 different wines one retail price ($5), one $90 and the other $35, there was a price mark up for the cheap wine and a price mark down for the expensive wine… told the cheap wine was $45 and the expensive wine was $10
2) wine tasters assigned rating to wine (1-4) once given the prices of the wine and once without being given the prices of the wine, experts and novices were both tested
3) positive correlation in experts between cost and taste, negative correlation in novices between cost and taste
4) how much people were told the wine cost influence how much they reported liking the wine (pleasantness is correlated with wine prices)

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14
Q

what is an FMRI and how was it used in the wine tasting study

A

takes baseline of brain data and then takes brain data during the event and sees the difference
the part of the brain that responds to “experienced pleasantness” was more active when drinking wines priced higher

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15
Q

why do people spend more money on a coke at the movies

A

because it’s all about the experiences so you feel compelled
at the movies (S,M,L) are all closely priced to make you think its not that much more for the large, makes people think it’s a good deal (transaction utility)

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16
Q

what is an example of the economic demand curve

A

cigarettes used to be $1 but now they are $10 because people will still buy them

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17
Q

what are the two misconceptions of scarcity creating demand

A

1) that scarcity = quality
2) and reactance, we want what we can’t have, in other words we have to have things before they’re gone “while supplies last”
an example of this is iPhones, they release less quantity than demanded so people want them before they’re gone

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18
Q

what is the discrepancy between buyers and sellers

A

willingness to pay (buyers) vs willingness to accept (sellers)

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19
Q

what is the willingness to accept

A

what is the minimum price you would be willing to sell an item (greater than willingness to pay)

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20
Q

what is the willingness to pay

A

what is the maximum price you would be willing to buy that item

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21
Q

what is an example of the WTA > WTP (in class)

A

in class: asking to sell or buy extra credit points, WTA was higher

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22
Q

what is the endowment effect

A

ownership creates satisfaction, people value an object more once it becomes theirs
ex. people believe their houses are worth more than they already are (same with selling personal items, WTA > WTP)

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23
Q

what is a study that demonstrates the endowment effect

A
class 1: given mug, asked if they wanted chocolate, 89% chose mug
class 2: given chocolate, asked if they wanted mug, 10% chose mug
class 3: given choice, 59% chose mug

shows that people have a strong preference for what you already own, most desirable item is what you have

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24
Q

what is an example that shows how the endowment effect doesn’t make sense

A

you put an item for $5, do you sell it for more, less or the same?
most people will say more, even though it makes no sense

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25
Q

what is the pseudo-endowment effect and examples

A

you don’t even have to own an item for the endowment effect to affect you

ex. handling an item at the store and not buying it
ex. temporarily being the highest bidder makes you feel as though you have ownership of that item; therefore, makes you more likely to bid again if you “lose ownership”

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26
Q

what is the auction fever article and what variables were manipulated

A

different items people bidded on (t-shirts, chocolate, gift cards)
manipulation:
1) bidding/endowment time (long= 9 rounds vs short bidding period = 1)
2) competition (high= 20-35 competing vs low= 3-5 competing bids)

people in the bid longer with more competition spend more money on the final bid

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27
Q

what was the psychological consequences of $ article studying

A

are the effects of money on behavior primarily positive or negative? the idea was that money is a catalyst for feelings of self-sufficiency

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28
Q

how did they prime people in the psychological consequences of $ article

A

primed with monopoly money, word primes (neutral v. money related), or reading essay about rich people or poor people

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29
Q

how were the subjects tested in psychological consequences of $ article

A

1) time spent on problem solving task before asking for help
2) experiments for helping others
3) experiments for working together

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30
Q

what were the results of people doing the problem solving task in psychological consequences of $ article

A

people primed with money did the task longer before asking for help (more self-sufficient)

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31
Q

what were the results of people helping others in psychological consequences of $ article

A

people were asked to volunteer to code data sheets, help a peer do a test, help someone pick up pencils, and donate money

in all of these cases people primed with money helped less

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32
Q

what were the results of people working together in psychological consequences of $ article

A

physical distance between partners, number of solidarity activity selections, proportion of participants who opted to work alone

people primed with money sat farther apart, selected more solo activities, and chose to work alone

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33
Q

what is the overall conclusion of psychological consequences of $ article

A

when people are primed with thoughts of money they tend to act in ways that reinforce the idea of self-sufficiency

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34
Q

explain how dowsing rods help people “find water”

A

these do not actually work but people will say it words because of subconscious micro movements and the power of persuasion, we are persuaded by things all the time

Dr fortune did this experiment in her class and showed an albert einstein quote, explained how dowsing rods worked and they did

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35
Q

what three things influence the success of persuasion

A

1) receivers traits
2) senders traits
3) message content

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36
Q

what influences a senders traits

A

is the sender credible? depends on the context, credibility of a person may not be universal, but context specific
is the sender likable? how likable someone is can influence how likely you are to believe their message (similar, trustworthy, attractive)

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37
Q

what influences the quality of a message content

A

fear appeal v. logic are the two different approaches to making persuasive arguments
ex. smoking commercials with stoma (hole in neck) causes fear, smoking commercials about smoking money away is a logical argument

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38
Q

how can we ensure that a fear campaign works

A

1) be aware of consequences
2) given a realistic, workable solution, if this is not done people can feel helpless and might act in the opposite way than intended

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39
Q

what influences the receivers traits

A

1) the need for cognition
2) expectations
3) pre-existing beliefs

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40
Q

explain the need for cognition (receivers traits)

A

variable that shows how much people think about information, people with need for cognition are more likely to be influenced by high quality arguments

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41
Q

explain expectations (receivers traits)

A

how likely you are to be persuaded is influenced by knowing if the intention is to be persuaded
if you know you are going to be persuaded, you are less likely to be persuaded (to be forewarned is to be forearmed)

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42
Q

explain pre-existing beliefs (receivers traits)

A

already agreeing with something, you are more likely to be persuaded

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43
Q

what decides when a one sided or two sided argument will be more persuasive

A

depends more on your previous beliefs and on the context

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44
Q

when will one sided arguments suffice

A

when you already agree with the side of the story or you have no knowledge in the content area

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45
Q

what is disconfirmation bias

A

it is harder to persuade with incompatible views, spend more time finding fault with incompatible views
thoughts related to disconfirming evidence are better than thoughts related to confirming evidence

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46
Q

when are two sided arguments better

A

when you initially disagree with the presented point of view

the audience knows there is another side not being presented

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47
Q

what are the two kinds of routes you can use when trying to convey a persuasive message

A

central or peripheral

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48
Q

what is central route processing

A

more of a controlled process, persuasion based on message content

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49
Q

what is peripheral route processing

A

more of an automatic process, persuasion based on non message factors

50
Q

what needs to happen in order for the central route to override the peripheral route

A

the receiver must be

1) motivated to process information
2) able to understand the information

51
Q

why is central route better than peripheral route

A

it is longer lasting and more durable, and it is a better predictor of future behavior

52
Q

what is the elaboration likelihood model

A

amount of effort given to process message will determine whether attitude change occurs

53
Q

what is inductive reasoning

A

making forecasts about new cases based on the cases you’ve observed so far (process of drawing conclusions”

54
Q

what is deductive reasoning

A

start with claims you count as “given” and ask what follows from these premises (process of moving beyond information given)

55
Q

what is Wason Card selection task? and how does it relate to syllogisms and deductive reasoning

A

if there is a vowel on one side, there is an even # on the other side pick = ()
Cards (A) D 4 (7)
the only thing that would make this premise valid is if you affirm the antecedent and deny the consequent

56
Q

what is the falsification principle

A

to prove a rule, it is necessary to look for situations that would falsify the rule (applies to Wason Card selection task)

57
Q

how is deductive reasoning related to the falsification principle

A

people can easily apply falsification principle to real life situations, deductive reasoning is reasoning that involves syllogisms in which a conclusion logically follows from two premises

58
Q

what are the two kinds of syllogisms

A

categorical and conditional

59
Q

what are categorical syllogisms

A

premises and conclusion describe the relationship between two categories by using statements that begin with all, no, or some
people struggle with this because we have to distinguish between truth and validity in conclusions
(premise 1+premise2 = conclusion)

60
Q

what is the difference between validity and truth

A

validity: based on form
truth: based on content
things are valid if the conclusion logically follows from the two premises, things are true if the content is actually right

61
Q

what is validity in syllogisms and the form

A

when conclusions follow logically from the two premises

all A are B
all B are C
all A are C

valid!

62
Q

explain the syllogisms that “could be true” in context of students being hungry

A

premise 1: all of the students are hungry
premise 2: some hungry people are “hangry”
conclusion: some of the students are “hangry”

its possible theres an overlap, but possible there is not. syllogisms can be invalid even though each premise and the conclusion seem reasonable
you can say “hangry” definitely overlaps with hungry, but you cannot say that “hangry” definitely overlaps with students
these statements are neither valid nor true (necessarily), could be true but it depends on personal experience

63
Q

what is a conditional syllogism

A

have two premises and a conclusion, but it takes the form of an “if..then..” statement

antecedent: p
consequent: q

64
Q

what is the first premise of all syllogisms

A

if p, then q

If i study, then I’ll get a good grade

65
Q

what are the two valid syllogisms (and apply to the if i study, then ill get a good grade example)

A

affirming the antecedent and denying the consequent

66
Q

what are the two invalid syllogisms (and apply to the if i study, then ill get a good grade example)

A

affirming the consequent and denying the antecedent

67
Q

what are deductions

A

they are based upon specific premises, and when these are valid, definite conclusions are reached

68
Q

what happens when people are asked to support evidence

A

they rarely give genuine evidence
“what do you think?” people give explanations
“how do you know?” people are more likely to give evidence but it is still not guaranteed

69
Q

in the individual differences in personal theory article what were the codes experimenters used to classify responses and which one is the one thats evidence based

A

1) reiteration or elaboration
2) covariation comparison
3) personal experience
4) external source
5) opinion rebuttal
6) don’t know

covariation comparison is the one that is actually evidence based

70
Q

who was tested in individual differences in personal theory article and what was the hypothesis

A

tested people with high cognitive ability and low cognitive ability, expected people with high cognitive ability to use more evidence based responses

71
Q

what were the actual results of the individual differences in personal theory article

A

there is no significant statistical difference between the categorical evidence given by both groups
people generally use more explanation based support rather than evidence based support (reiteration/elaboration > covariation)
smart people are not more likely to use covariation evidence
lower cognitive ability did correlate with reiteration/repeating

72
Q

what were the follow up questions asked in individual differences in personal theory article

A

supposed someone disagreed with your view. what might they say to show you were wrong? what evidence might they give? could someone prove you wrong?

73
Q

what were the results of the follow up questions in individual differences in personal theory article

A

saying no to these questions is associated with lower cognitive ability and lower open-mindedness, as well as higher superstitious thinking

74
Q

what don’t people always have when forming a reasonable argument based on evidence

A

the information that they need

75
Q

what about when contradictory evidence exists? (in terms of death penalty study)

A

two groups in study (people for and people against death penalty)
all participants given literature why the death penalty is good and why it’s not good
people don’t change their sides because when people read literature that is what they already believe they think its better conducted and more convincing
(attitude polarization)

76
Q

what is attitude polarization

A

attitude about a topic was even stronger after reading arguments both for and against the topic
this is based on the influence of confirmation bias and disconfirmation bias
and all of these together lead to the biased assimilation of evidence

77
Q

what happens to the evidence that people consume?

A

pick up the evidence consistent to beliefs and get rid of the evidence not consistent with what you believe

78
Q

how do you get rid of inconsistent evidence

A

ignoring it
“believing is seeing”
disconfirm or discredit it

79
Q

what happens when people do a thorough search online looking for evidence and an example

A

they will read and believe the first article that agrees with viewpoint, modern technology allows us to determine what we have to see

blue feed, red feed (liberal and conservative face books side by side)

80
Q

what is motivated reasoning

A

if i have a good reason to want to believe something, i will be more likely to believe that something
AND
if i have a good reason to not want to believe something, i will be more likely to not believe that something

81
Q

what else can make it difficult for us to recognize invalid arguments

A

prior knowledge, if a statement seems plausible we are more likely to think its true
also it might be harder to see a statement as true because its not consistent with our prior beliefs

82
Q

what is risk

A

probabilities are known

83
Q

what is uncertainty

A

probabilities are unknown (risk ambiguity)

84
Q

what is the expected value theory

A

the optimal decision for a problem can be determined by comparing the calculated expected value for each choice option
multiply outcome by associated probability

85
Q

give an example of a problem of “risk”

A

what would you choose?
a sure gain of $10,000
a 50% chance of $20,000
this is risk because the probabilities are known, most people choose the sure gain

for this problem the EV (expected values are the same)

86
Q

what is the expected utility theory

A

instead of relying on the expected value to make a decision we should base out decision upon EU: how much is the outcome worth to us?

87
Q

what are certainty equivalents

A

lowest amount of money you will accept for certain instead of the gamble

88
Q

show risk neural vs. risk adverse in this example:

imagine you had a lottery ticket, that would pay you $20,000 or $0, each with the probability .50

A

if risk neutral…
a person’s CE=EV, if someone asked me to sell my ticket i would accept nothing less than my EV (10,000)

if risk adverse…
a persons CE < EV, if someone asked me to sell my ticket I would accept for less than EV (so $7000 for example)

89
Q

what is risk premium

A

the difference between the expected monetary value of a gamble and a risk-adverse decision-makers certainty equivalent of the gamble

ex. 10000-7000=3000

90
Q

what is the risk premium of a risk neutral person

A

0

91
Q

when do people tend to be risk adverse

A

when they are faced with situations related to gains

92
Q

when do people tend to be risk seeking and when are people more risk averse

A

when situations are framed in terms of losses, people are more risk seeking
when situations are framed in terms of gains, people are more risk averse

93
Q

give an example of risk seeking vs risk averse situations

A

would you choose a sure loss of $10,000 or a 50% chance of losing $20,000 (most people choose the latter)
(risk seeking)
would you choose a sure gain of $10,000 or a 50% chance of gaining $20,000 (most people choose the former)

94
Q

give an example of how small probabilities affects risk seeking vs risk averse

A

would you chose a 1% chance of $5000 or a sure gain of $5 (most people choose the former)

would you choose a 1% chance of losing $5000 or a sure loss of $5 (most people choose the latter)

95
Q

what is the certainty effect

A

switching from certainty to uncertainty can influence preferences for risk
lean slightly more towards risk seeking options when there is no certainty

96
Q

what happens when the probabilities are small

A

people are risk seeking for gains and risk averse for losses (the opposite)

97
Q

how would decisions change if people were given an endowment (money to start with) give an example and explanation

A
you are given $1000, would you choose 
a. 50% chance of winning $1000
b. sure gain of $500
EV is 1500 for both (add the $1000)
you are given $1000, would you choose 
c. 50% chance of losing $1000
d. sure loss of $500
EV is 1500 for both 

utility theory says we should base our decision on the expected outcome and current assets (people should choose A & C or B & D if people were consistent decision makers)
but…
people still tend to choose b&c because risk seeking in losses and risk averse in gains, shows people don’t take into account endowment or follow the utility theory

98
Q

what is the process of prospect theory

A

1) editing stage: influenced by framing effects

2) evaluation stage

99
Q

what is subcertainty

A

sum of our weighted probabilities < true probabilities (=1)

100
Q

how do humans have difficulty with extremes and an example

A

we give greater psychological weights to events near extremes (nearly certain or nearly impossible) relative to events with midrange probabilities

ex. two lotteries to win $250, one offers a 5% chance to win prize and the other offers a 30% chance
A. you can improve chances of winning 1st to 10%
B. you can improve chances of winning the 2nd to 35%

A feels like a more significant change because it is an extreme probability (same applies when a probability is changed from 90-95% compared to 65-70%

101
Q

lets make a deal game

A

choosing between 3 doors one with a car two with goats, and you can switch the door after the host shows you a door you didnt pick with a goat
people don’t take into account probability changes and dont switch doors

why should people switch?
because theres a 66% chance you chose a goat first, he then shows you a door with the other goat so when you swap you will always pick the car if you picked a goat first

102
Q

what are joint evaluations

A

looking at items simultaneously (side by side comparison)

103
Q

what are separate evaluations

A

only looking at one item

104
Q

what is a preference reversal

A

someone prefers one option in one context and other option in a different context

105
Q

explain the two experiments in the evaluability hypothesis article

A

1) preference in music dictionaries (B has more entries but torn cover), three groups: joint evaluation, separate evaluation A and separate evolution B
looked at WTP
results: those who got separate evaluations paid more for A because there is no comparison for amount of entires, so based on appearance, those who got the joint evaluation paid more for B because more entries

2) preference in CD changer (B can hold more CDs but has lower THD or sound quality), difficulty of evaluation of trait can influence preference (THD is hard to evaluate because not many people know what it is), two groups: easy/easy (THD was explained) and hard/easy (THD was not explained)
results: easy/easy no preference reversal in joint or separate evaluation (A for both)
hard/easy: preference reversal for doing and separate evaluations (joint=A and separate=B)

106
Q

relate joint and separate evaluations in real world situations

A

buying a used car
A: very worn interior, # of miles 120,000
B: brand new interior, # of miles 200,000
the amount you would pay under joint evaluation and separate evaluation is different

107
Q

what is evaluability hypothesis

A

when one attribute is hard to evaluate independently, but another is easy to evaluate independently it could lead to preference reversals when evaluation is done jointly v. separately

108
Q

are framing and risk aversion only applicable to situations with money

A

imagine a disease is expected to kill 600 people
A: 200 people saved B: 33% chance 600 are saved 66% everyone dies (people choose A)

C. 400 people die D. 33% chance no one will die 66% chance 600 will die (people choose D)

this is an example of framing because they both lead to the same # of people being saved and dying but a PR ensues because of the language “saved” and “died”

109
Q

people say the degree of sadness of losing $100 is greater than the degree of happiness of winning $100 (losses loom larger than gains). are we actually good at predicting emotions?

A

study: given $5 flip coin to either gain $5 or lose $3, then asked to rate level of happiness and how it would change depending on outcome of flip
results: people greatly overestimate their predicted amount of negative emotion in response to a loss and positive emotion in response to a win (emotion forecasting error)

110
Q

what is emotion forecasting error

A

positive effect of winning about equals the negative effect of losing
this does not negate prospect theory because losses can still appear to loom larger than gains by expectation even if that is not apparent in reality

111
Q

what is omission bias and an example

A

tendency to do nothing to avoid having to make a decision that could be interpreted as causing harm, people are influenced by the idea of having to accept responsibility for potential outcomes (vaccinating children)

10% chance of dying from flu
5% chance of dying from the flu vaccine
more people chose to not take the vaccine even though it halves the chance of dying

112
Q

what is an example that proves people need to have pre-existing reason / justification for making decisions

A

you took a qualifying exam at end of semester and are tired. you can buy a package to Hawaii but it expires tomorrow would you:

1) buy it
2) not buy it
3) pay $5 to decide day after tomorrow

results: around same % of people buy it regardless of if they pass or fail exam but if you don’t find out if you pass or fail people decide to pay $5 and buy it later

113
Q

what is paradox of choice and an example

A

more options make it harder to make a choice and give you a bigger likelihood of regret

ex. jam booth with 24 flavors and a jam booth with 6 flavors. more people visited the booth with more flavors but more people bought the jams at the booth with only 6 flavors

114
Q

what do we do when we compare two or more of a similar item

A

we are specifically looking for differences to base our decision on (easy to spot differences)

115
Q

what does the endowment effects for hedonic and utilitarian food products article explain

A

utilitarian: has specific purpose, body needs and uses it
hedonic: used for pleasure
should v. want
55% of people prefer the hedonic group of food when given both options, but when people are given either option first the endowment effect plays a role (higher value of their food)
stronger endowment effect for hedonic food

116
Q

explain joint v separate effects for hedonic v utilitarian foods

A

preference for hedonic > utilitarian food is higher when they are evaluated in isolation (separate)
this could be due to a feeling of guilt you feel when you see both foods together
there are preference reversals for food

117
Q

what are some of the conscious things that affect how much we eat

A

how hungry, who you’re with, dieting, good food, cultural standards

118
Q

what are the 5 S’s in “the food environment” in the environmental factors that increase food intake

A

1) salience: seeing food and wanting it
2)structure and variety: more variety = more consumption
3) stockpiling: food that is more accessible is consumed more
4&5) size and shape: different shapes and sizes = matched consumption

119
Q

what does the pasta experiment show us about the impact of labeling

A

groups got either two cups of pasta (labeled regular) or 1 cup of pasta labeled (half size), then the labeling switched

when the larger portion was labeled half size people consumed more of it
food quality did not change but the perception was different

120
Q

what does the Fast Food article show us about what influences how much we eat

A

divided fast food place in half:

1) regular, bright lights and loud environment
2) fine dining with soft lighting and smooth jazz

results:
both groups ordered same amount of food but fine dining people took longer to eat and ate less and the ratings of fine dining foods were higher