exchange rates Flashcards
(14 cards)
Floating exchange rate
what
a regime where the value of a currency is allowed to be determined only by demand and supply of it on the foreign market
appreciation/ depreciation
factors to shift demand or supply curves of a currency (eg US from EU people)
Demand:
increase in demand of US goods/ services (higher EU inflation, incomes and tastes for US)
better US investment prospects
higher US interest rates (more likely to save there)
speculators predict increased US $ value
Vice versa for supply
managed exchange rates
not many exclusively floating, business uncertainty or large fluctuations
currency which is allowed to float, with some intervention
advantages of high exchange rates
downward pressure on inflation (price of finished goods and fop costs (imports) lower) more imports (unit of currency can buy more of other) improved domestic efficiency (imports and international competition)
disadvantages of high exchange rate
damage to export industry (higher prices)
damage to domestic industries (imports, cannot compete lowered prices)
advantages of low exchange rate
greater employment in exports and domestic (competitive internationally)
disadvantages of low exchange rate
inflation (imported fops more expensive, eg raw materials)
total evaluation of low vs high
high can fight inflation, but unemployment problems; low solves employment problems, but inflationary
reasons for intervention
lower: increase employment, raise: lower inflation
fixed exchange rate
avoid large fluctuations, allow business confidence
improve current account deficit
methods of intervention
using foreign currency reserves to buy or sell currencies (increase by buying own with reserves, lower by buying foreign)
changing interest rates (raise to raise, high attracts investment and buying own currency; vice versa, invest abroad)
advantages of fixed exchange rate
reduced uncertainty for all economic agents
ensure sensible government inflation policies (have to keep inflation low to remain competitive)
reduce speculation in foreign exchanges (not always case, attempts made to destabilize to gain by foreigners)
disadvantages of fixed
domestic macro goal of low unemployment may be sacrificed (because of changes to interest rates to raise demand for currency, but deflationary) must maintain high levels of foreign reserves to be able to defend itself complex levels (keep competitive) international disagreement (unfair trade advantages)
advantages of floating
interest rates are free to be used for domestic problems (eg inflation)
in theory self adjustment to balance current account (if deficit, demand should be low since exports are low and supply high)
not necessary for high foreign reserves
disadvantages of floating
uncertainty in international markets (future costs and revenue) not necessarily self adjusting, influenced by government intervention and major events worsen inflation (high inflation bad exports, rights and imports expensive)