Extra flashcards
(47 cards)
How do you understand science?
Scientists want to draw conclusions from data. It is important to understand when something to legitimate or not to draw a certain conclusion.
Premises and conclusion
Premises = what we presuppose
Conclusion = what we conclude from the premises
Valid argument
When the conclusion follows from the premises.
Invalid argument
An argument that is not valid.
Premise 1: can be true
Premise 2: can be true
Conclusion: doesn’t follow the premises.
Deductive argument
The truth of the premises absolutely guarantees the truth of the conclusion.
Inductive argument
The truth of the premises gives good reason for the conclusion, but does not absolutely guarantee the truth of the conclusion.
Representative data
Data that represents the subject matter as a whole, not just the special parts.
Three types of reasoning error
- Confirmation bias
- Correlation and causation
- Probabilities
Confirmation bias
We are biased towards confirmation, that we have a tendency to ignore evidence that conflicts with our beliefs and the other way around.
Correlation and causation
Two things occur together.
1. Correlation between smoking and lung cancer.
2. Studying hard and getting a good grade.
Probabilities
Example with the train.
Popper
Always critical. That scientists are always trying to prove their own theories false. This is also how you can recognise a pseudo scientist.
Falsification
Observation that shows that a theory is false.
Falsified
State of a theory that has been shown to be false.
Falsificationism
Popper’s claim that scientists are only interested in falsifying their own theories (wrong).
Kuhn
He did not agree with Popper’s idea that scientists should mostly be critical all the time.
Kuhn’s phases of science
- Pre-paradigmatic science: science starts here, happens once
- Normal science: once here, you can never go back to the first phase. Always return to this and we are here most of the time. The rule.
- Crises: from here, science can move back to normal science or to scientific revolution.
- Scientific revolution: once here, go back to normal science.
Paradigm
Theories, concepts and methods which a scientific discipline takes for granted and that direct research in that discipline.
Normal science
Defined by the existence of a paradigm (confidence).
Pre-paradigmatic phase
The phase before there is a paradigm, the methods still have to be thought up by the scientists, not science as we know it, unproductive.
Anomaly
Problem within the paradigm that scientists are unable to solve right now.
Popper would think of an anomaly as a falsification and rejects it.
Kuhn on anomalies
He claims that science always has anomalies, and its existence is not a problem as long as they are confident it will be resolved.
Crisis
Scientists start doubting their own paradigm (unconfident).
What are the two ways to solve the crises?
- The anomalies are solved, return to normal science.
- A new parading emerges to solve anomalies. If the scientists embrace it and abandon the old ways, then we have a scientific revolution.