Factor Theory Flashcards

(30 cards)

1
Q

What is Factor Theory?

A

Factor theory is based on an analysis of factor risks, where risks represent exposure to bad times, where these exposures are rewarded with risk premiums

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2
Q

What are the principles of factor theory?

A
  1. Factors are important, not assets.
  2. Assets represent bundles of factors.
  3. Investors have differing optimal risk exposures.
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3
Q

What are bad times?

A

Bad times represent economic bad times, like high inflation and low economic growth.

They could also represent bad times for investing, including poorly performing investments and markets.

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4
Q

Implications of CAPM

A
  1. Hold the factor not the asset
  2. Investors have their own optimal factor risk exposures.
  3. The average investor is fully invested in the market
  4. Exposure to factor risk must be rewarded.
  5. Risk is measured as beta exposure.
  6. Valuable assets have low risk premiums.
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5
Q

Capital Allocation Line

A

When investors hold portfolios that combine the risky asset and the risk free asset, the various risk return combinations are represented by the capital allocation line.

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6
Q

Capital Market Line

A

When all investors invest in the same risky MVE portfolio, the capital allocation line for an investor is called capital market line

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7
Q

How do you quantify investor’s risk aversion?

A

E(R (market)) - Risk Free Rate = risk aversion (lamda) X sigma squared (variance)

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8
Q

What is the security market line?

A

Line that determines the risk premium of an individual asset.

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9
Q

What is the formula for beta?

A

Cov(R(market),R(security))/variance(R(market))

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10
Q

Assumptions of CAPM

A
  1. Investors only have financial wealth. In reality, investors have many factors that contribute to their wealth.
  2. Investors have mean variance utility, as in a symmetrical treatment of risk.
  3. Investors have a single period investment horizon.
  4. Investors have homogeneous expectations.
  5. Markets are frictionless (no taxes or transaction costs)
  6. All investors are price takers (in real world, they are price setters)
  7. Information is free and available to everyone
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11
Q

CAPM simplifying assumptions

A

The CAPM relies on several assumptions that are often considered overly simplistic or unrealistic, especially in illiquid or inefficient markets.

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12
Q

Investors only have financial wealth (CAPM assumption)

A

CAPM assumes investors only have financial wealth, but in reality, they also have unique income streams, liabilities, and human capital, making inflation and income growth important factors.

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13
Q

Mean-variance utility (CAPM assumption)

A

CAPM assumes investors treat risk symmetrically (mean-variance utility), but in reality, investors dislike losses more than they like gains, leading to different levels of downside risk.

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14
Q

Single period investment horizon (CAPM assumption)

A

CAPM assumes a single period investment horizon, while real-world investors often need to rebalance portfolios over multiple periods.

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15
Q

Homogeneous expectations (CAPM assumption)

A

CAPM assumes all investors have identical expectations, but in reality, investors have heterogeneous expectations, causing deviations from the model.

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16
Q

Frictionless markets (CAPM assumption)

A

CAPM assumes no taxes or transaction costs, but real markets have both, especially for illiquid securities, leading to significant deviations from the model.

17
Q

Trading restrictions and heterogeneous beliefs

A

In the real world, trading restrictions (like short selling bans) and differing beliefs can prevent investors from fully acting on their expectations, causing market asymmetries.

18
Q

All investors are price takers (CAPM assumption)

A

CAPM assumes all investors are price takers, but in reality, large or institutional investors can influence market prices through their trades.

19
Q

Free and available information (CAPM assumption)

A

CAPM assumes information is free and available to everyone, but in reality, information can be costly and not accessible to all investors.

20
Q

Diversification in CAPM and multifactor models

A

Both models highlight the benefit of diversification—CAPM diversifies away idiosyncratic risk through the market, while multifactor models use tradable factors to remove this risk.

21
Q

Optimal exposures

A

Each investor has an optimal exposure to the market portfolio in CAPM or to factor risks in multifactor models.

22
Q

Average investor’s portfolio

A

Under both CAPM and multifactor models, the average investor holds the market portfolio.

23
Q

Reward for factor risk exposure

A

Exposure to factor risk must be rewarded; in CAPM, the market factor is priced, and in multifactor models, each factor has its own risk premium.

24
Q

Risk measurement in CAPM and multifactor models

A

In CAPM, an asset’s risk is measured by its beta; in multifactor models, risk is measured by factor exposures (factor betas)

25
Assets with low risk premiums
Assets that provide positive payoffs in bad times are considered valuable and have low risk premiums.
26
What is a pricing kernel?
Also known as a stochastic discount factor (SDF), which represents a random variable used in pricing an asset, represents an index of bad times, where bad times are indexed by different factors and states. It is denoted by m in the multifactor model. m=a+b1f1+b2f2+..... (multiple factor exposures)
27
Bad times from the perspective of pricing kernels
With multifactor pricing kernels, bad times can be defined as periods when an additional $1 income becomes very valuable. Looking at bad times this way interprets SDF as a marginal utility.
28
Price of “Bad Times” Risk (λm​)
The compensation investors require for holding assets that perform poorly in bad times, calculated as λm=−var(m)/E(m)
29
Assets with Positive Payoff in Bad Times
Assets that provide returns during adverse economic periods are considered valuable and therefore have low risk premiums.
30
How to explain behavioral biases which create inefficiencies in the market?
Rational explanation: Losses during bad times are compensated by high returns. Behavioral Explanation: Agents' overreaction/ under reaction to news which generate high returns.