Factors affecting Voting Behaviour 4.1 Flashcards
(14 cards)
Education
general trend: no qualifications = vote conservative
degree = vote labour
Education (facts)
2017 - 52% of those with zero qualifications voted Conservative, whereas 48% of those with a degree voted Labour
2019 - 59% of those with no qualifications voted Conservative, whereas 39% of those with a degree voted Labour
Region
traditional North/South divide
voters in poorer areas tend to support labour
traditionally Labour do better in cities while Conservative do better in the countryside
local geographical issues are very important to most voters
Region (facts)
2019:
Northwest - 46.5% Labour
Southwest - 52.8% Conservative
London - 48.1% Labour
East Midlands - 54.8% Conservative
‘Red Wall’ (broke 2019)
Ethnicity
trend: clear majority of ethnic minorities vote labour due to stronger support for multicultural agenda
trend for white voters = less prominent but still Conservative Majority
Ethnicity (facts)
2017: 65% of ethnic minorities voted for Labour
Age
trend: older voters = Conservative, younger voters = Labour
sharp spike in this trend recently
Age (facts)
2017 - Labour had 47% more support from 18-19 yr olds
BUT only 57% of 18-19 yr olds voted, compared to 84% of those over 70 yrs.
2019 - over 55s voted mostly Conservative, 18-24s vote mostly Labour
Gender
trend: over past 50 years, there is little to suggest influence - party support = broadly mirrored
historically women = more inclined to Conservatives due to emphasis on family values
21st Century, men = Conservative and women = Labour (tiny majority)
Gender (facts)
studies show a prioritising of different issues - eg, men - defence spending, women - opposition to cuts in public sector
Social Class and Facts
2 types:
ABC1 - historically more likely = Conservative
C2DE - historically more likely = Labour
1974 -1992, >50% ABC1 voted Tories
in 1974, >50% C2DE voted Labour
But since partisan and class dealignment, this figure has switched.
What is Partisan Dealignment?
What is Class Dealignment?
the process of not having a long-term loyalty to a particular party
the process of voters not associating themselves with a particular class (due to a larger middle class, decrease in TUC power, privatisation and greater educational opportunities)
Is Social Class still important?
YES: plurality of middle still = Conservative, until 2019 votes for Labour from the working class were increasing, class links to other factors eg education/ region, new trend of ABC1 = Labour and C2DE = Conservative} class still aligns just not traditionally
NO: Conservatives broke ‘Red Wall’ in 2019, majority of voters don’t align, other factors eg age are becoming more important
Other Factors
rational choice voting
governing competency
issue voting
media influence
opinion polls
tactical voting