Final Flashcards
(35 cards)
Null Hypothesis
- H0
- original hypothesis, no change
- there is no wolf
Alternative Hypothesis
- H1
- there is an effect
- there is a wolf
Type I Error
- false alarm
- rejecting the null hypothesis when null is true
- thinking there was effect when there wasnt
Type II Error
- miss
- failing to reject null when the null is false
- missing a real effect
Power
- rejecting the null hypothesis when the alternative hypothesis is true
- probability of a Type II error
- P = 1 - B
Low Power
- less likely to detect a real effect
- high risk of a type II error
High Power
- more likely to detect a real effect
- lower risk of a type II error
Alpha α
- level of significance
- = 0.05
- probability of a type I error
Central Limit Theorem
- as sample size increases, sampling distribution of the mean is normal
- large sample = smaller standard error
- n > or equal to 30
What do we mean when we say p-value?
how likely is it to get a result like this if the null hypothesis is true?
if the null is true, how likely is it to get a result this extreme?
What p-value is considered significant in psych?
p < 0.05:
- these results unlikely to occur by chance alone
- question the null
- this result is statistically significant
p > 0.05
- these rules could’ve happened by chance
- stick with the null
- this result is not statistically significant
Ways to Increase Power
- If directional hypothesis, use one tailed test
- when using one tail tests, the CV of you test statistic (like z-value) is smaller - Increase sample size
- bigger sample = smaller standard error -> easier to detect effects - Increase the dose or exposure
- levels you choose for your independent variable can change effect size - Decrease variability
- reduces extraneous factors
Probability
= number of ways it can happen / total number of outcomes
ex: probability of drawing a 10 from deck of cards
Mutually Exclusive Events
- P(A or B) = P(A) + P(B)
ex: probability of drawing a 10 or a face from cards - just add together the probs of both because they don’t relate
Non-Mutually Exclusive Events
- P(A or B) = P(A) + P(B) - P(A and B)
- probability of both then subtract the amount of times theres an intersection
Series of Outcomes of Independent Events
(probability of heads)flip 1 x (probability of heads)flip 2
.5 x .5 = .25 – used a product of their individual probabilities
Correlation Coefficient
- measure of the degree of relationship between 2 sets of scores
- varies between -1.0 and +1.0
+/- .00 - .29 = none (.00) to weak correlation
+/-.30 - .69 = moderate correlation
+/-.70 - 1.00 = strong correlation
Scatterplot
graphically represents the relationship between 2 variables
Why do we say we cannot assume causal relations when we talk about correlations?
- we assume the correlation is causal & one variable causes changes in the other (not true)
- fail to recognize that other variables could be responsible for the observed correlation (the third variable)
- when 2 variables are correlated, it means one variable is present at a certain level, the other variable also tends to be present at a certain level
- not saying its a prediction guaranteed or causal, but the variables occur tg at specific levels
What is restricted range? Why is it a problem?
- truncating the variable limits variability
ex: BMI & heart risk disease
- looking @ everyone from underweight to obese, the correlation might be strong, r = .82
- but if you look at the ppl in normal BMI (restricted range) now r = .22, it looks weak but only as you cut the extremes
When we calculate Pearson’s r, we make certain assumptions about the nature of the relationship. What do we assume?
- most common correlation coefficient
- we assume: linearity, variables measures of interval or ratio scales
What is the difference between a one-tailed and two-tailed test?
One-tailed test:
- had a hypothesis in mind
- directional
Two-tailed:
- no predictions/hypothesis
- null hypothesis: correlation between ___ and ___ is zero in the population. H0 = 0
(no linear relationship)
- alt hypothesis: correlation between ___ and ___ is not zero. H1 not equal to 0.
Know how to calculate the df for r and use the table of r-values to determine if a relationship is significant.
Know how to report an r value in APA style.