Final Exam Flashcards
(89 cards)
General Economic Trends
-A gradual increase from 2000-2008
-Recession hits in 2008-2010
-Steady increase until covid in 2020 where it drops slightly
-An increase during 2021 but now it is starting to drop again
Thoroughbred market economic trends
-A steady decrease from 2007-2010 during the financial recession
-Slow increase in 2011
-Drops slightly back down in 2012
-It increased again in 2013 and stayed relatively constant
-In 2018 there was another slightly increase
-drastic decrease in 2020 due to covid
-drastic increase in 2021 after covid
2022 Yearling Sales
-at the top end of the market the recent economic downturn and inflation has not negatively affected thoroughbred sales
-increase in available purses partially driving the market
Uber rich investors
-buy collectors items
-defy market trends and only play in the very top of the market
Wealthy investors
-play in the upper market but don’t compete with the uber rich
-are impacted by market trends and overall economic conditions
Stud fee multiples and stock market trends relationship
stud fee multiples generally mirror stock market trends
Wanna Be’s-Everybody Else investors
-play in a tight investment window based on their investment goals
-hoping to hit a home run
-most volatile part of the market and first to tank when economy slows
-includes commercial limited partnerships
In increasing order: portfolio management (risk/reward)
-bonds
-high yield stocks (dividend paying)
-real estate
-growth stocks
-private equity
-speculative investments
In increasing order: Thoroughbred portfolio management (risk/reward)
-broodmares
-stallion shares
-pinhooks
-racehorses
-yearlings
-weanlings
Diversification
spreading the risk of the portfolios into varying categories
-investing in different types to spread the risk
Asset allocation
% of overall invested capital in various categories
Counterintuitive timing
own various types of assets that appreciate/depreciate in opposite directions with changes in economic conditions
What happens to stocks during recession?
stocks will get lower allocation in favor of safer investments
What happens to stocks during economic recovery?
boom stocks will get larger allocations as will speculative investments
When is the best time to buy stocks?
just after a market correction (buy cheap, sell high)
Leverage
use of borrowed funds to increase the return on invested capital
Return on investment
[(net profit from sale of investment) - (cost of investment)] / (cost of investment)
Discounted cash flow method
-discounted future cash flows to value as of today
-can use IRR and NPV
Financial modeling concepts
-creating a series of cash flows by year
-separate assumptions from cash flows
-use proper metrics depending on what problem you are trying to solve
Internal rate of return
-can be looking backwards or forwards
-discount rate where the NPV of future cash flows = 0 d
Net present value
-discounting all future cash flows to todays date
-accounts for the time value of money (a dollar earned in the future wont be worth as much as one earned today)
Payback period
number of years (or months) that the net cash flows from the acquisition are 0
-all costs including purchase and expenses fully recovered
-particularly useful in stallion analysis
When are mares bred?
Feb. 15th to July 15th
When are foals born?
January-June following year (stud fees paid)