final Exam Rebecca Flashcards

(39 cards)

0
Q

What are the three trade regimes in China in the post 1949 period? Describe and discuss the major features of each regime.

A

Pre reform: everything including trade was centrally planned, major trade partners were soviets and other planned economies. This changed after ussr fallout. Import heavy machinery and export food and textile. Trade later shifted towards self reliance during reform.

Post reform: dual trade regime, some open trade, other to support central

WTO:convergence to international standard and true market priorities. ensure market prices with some control

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1
Q

What are the major themes for SOE reform in the 1980s and 1990s respectively, and how do these results compare with the last decade?

A

Early 80s: expanded enterprise autonomy though limited, managerial contract system, still no privatization and no mass lay off of workers. Contracts were short term and not oriented towards long run profits. Still had soft budget constraints.

1990s: 1994 general policy of grasping large and letting go of small, privatization and layoffs of a lot of workers. State retreated on competitive markets, focused on natural monopolies. Retained some state control but also Diluted state shares and took some companies public.

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2
Q

How did the dual track foreign exchange market work? How did the dual track in foreign trade work?

A

Dual foreign exchange: official and swap market. Official was state driven and swap is market driven. In 1994 the dual rates unified, no dual track anymore.

Dual foreign trade: one sector deals with import substitution (old or traditional sector) and other is export oriented (processing or new sector)

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3
Q

Why a dual track instead of a single track? Use the examples in foreign exchange and foreign trade to explain the advantages and disadvantages of a dual-track.

A

Dual track foreign exchange market has two exchange rates, official and swap trade.

Dual foreign trade: old sector, import substitution, and new sector, export oriented processing trade. Exports can keep a portion of profits. Advantage of dual foreign trade was Free market introduced. Foreigners run trade not local.

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4
Q

Why is there a huge discrepancy between the average statutory import tariff and the actual tariff revenue share in import value in China?

A

Tariffs are declining in China because of smuggling and many exemptions

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5
Q

What are the major structural changes in Chinas’s exports in the last twenty years? What were the forces behind such changes? Explain.

A

3 broad areas: export commodities, export regions, and production displacement

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6
Q

Why was China so eager to join the WTO? Explain the top three reason?

A

Trade and growth: remained shallow and growth slowdown after Asian crisis.
Reform and restructuring: WTO as an anchor for further reform, and increasing competition.
Joining the international club: be a part of civilized world and more a part of world affairs

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7
Q

Discuss the special challenges for Chinas’s accession to the WTO both in negotiation and implementation.

A

Negotiation: China is large and growing fast, but not a complete market economy and still developing.

Domestic challenges include short term costs and long term national interests.

Abroad: economic and political reasons.

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8
Q

What is the “Tariff-Rate Quota” (TRQ) system? What are the three important parameters in TRQ? What is the purpose of TRQ?

A

TRQ lower tariff up to a certain quota. Initial quota low tariff, alternate quota high tariff.

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9
Q

Under the terms of Chinas’s accession to the WTO, can the US impose quantitative restrictions only on imported goods originating from China? Can the US do the same to other WTO members? Why?

A

Relatively easy for countries to impose on China for twelve years. A country may impose tariffs on imported goods provided certain conditions at met.

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10
Q

In antidumping cases, why can China not use it’s domestic production costs as a basis for calculating the normal value of its export? What can China do in this circumstance?

A

China is treated as a non market economy.

Disadvantages to Chinas’s labor intensive

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11
Q

What are the risks for Chinas’s agriculture sector after it enters the WTO? What are the possible solutions?

A

WTO import grains so projected job losses. China does not have agricultural advantage.
Solution: migrating to more labor intensive product.

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12
Q

Why do economists consider Chinas’s financial sector very fragile after the WTO accession? What are their arguments?

A

Financial services for banking very fragile because a lot of competition from foreign banks, predict 1 million in job losses from state banks.
Foreign banks can conduct, affect wholesale rather than retail.

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13
Q

What are the distinct patterns of foreign investment in China? Name some government policies that are directly responsible for such patterns? Explain.

A

Investments are mostly FDI (direct investment into a business in a country by a company in another country, either by buying a company or expanding operations of an existing business in that country), not through stock market due to stock restrictions.
Most loans are short term loans and few are from foreign banks, which is due to banks being state owned and giving preference to certain companies.
Currency isn’t convertible.

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14
Q

In what aspects are Special Economic Zones in China special? How are SEZ in China compared with Export Processing Zones in other Asian countries?

A

SEZ have tax incentives for foreign investors and simplified administrative procedures.
Differences : SEZ were experiments in a market economy. Fundamentally different from rest of country, windows to the rest of the world, could form joint ventures with foreigners.
localities were laboratories for futre

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15
Q

What are the three major forms of foreign direct investment in China? What are the dynamics in the relative importance of each form over time? Explain the reasons.

A

Contractional joint venture: a service contract between Chinese and foreign entity to team up.
Equity joint venture, 80s-90s: create new entities
Wholly owned foreign investor: foreigners getting more used to China and rule of law.
Trend reflected relaxation of policies.

16
Q

What are the comparative economic advantages of Hong Kong and Taiwan respectively in the near future?

A

Legal environment in Hong Kong is very attractive to foreigner investors. A lot of investing still channels through Hong Kong. Some talk of being overtaken by Shanghai.
Taiwan: direct investment in mainland soared. Taiwan deindustrialized and outsourced production to mainland. Comparative advantage is that high market services reflective for higher developed economy.

17
Q

What are the three categories of government fiscal revenue in China? How should one calculate the true government debt in China?

A

Budgetary (20%)
extra budgetary (fees, i.e. DMV)
Off budgetary revenue.
NPL problem, AMCs All liabilities, also pension structure unfounded pension liability is major.

18
Q

Is it true that fiscal contracting practiced in China between 1980 and 1993 has led to a significant increase of the share of local government expenditure in total government expenditure? What is the major feature of the contracting between central and local governments, and what is the economic rationale?

A

Yes.
Period before that, the tax revenue locals captured was not directly correlated with the amount spent.
80s the correlation of revenue and money spent increased and power was decentralized - fiscal discipline, better incentives for local governments.
Major features: fixed revenue allocation, sharing scheme, marginal revenue retained by locals was high (some instances 100%), originally a 5 year scheme.

19
Q

How did local government respond to the fiscal contracting between 1980 and 1993?

A

1980s: increase in the amount of marginal revenue that could be retained by locals. If they performed well, they could reap benefits. Massive growth in revenue, and in employment. Locals had incentive to encourage enterprises to do well in order to tax.
This stimulated non gov performance because local gov has incentive for non state enterprise to succeed. Tax incentives really important for inducing local growth.

20
Q

What are the major components of fiscal and tax reform of 1994?

A

Fiscal contracting and separating taxes, national/local level.
Fiscal federalism: decentralization of fiscal policy. Local government can dictate fees while taxes are determined by gov. Simplified and Uniformity amongst taxes, Value added tax. Taxes shared between local and central.

21
Q

Compare value-added tax, sales tax, and personal income tax. Explain the major advantages and disadvantages of each in the context of today’s China from the prospectives of efficiency and equality

A

Value added tax: flat tax, assessed at each stage of transaction, very common in Europe, kind of similar to sales tax. VAT is at every stage of value. Can get a rebate if export goods. Benefits: easier to collect, harder to evade. Problem is that it is like a consumption tax, everyone pays same price (regressive). Want to improve quality since rich and poor have same rates with high inequality not good.
income tax is more progressively distributed.

22
Q

Explain the two basic economic roles of law in the modern economy. Why does one make a distinction between rule of law and rule by law?

A

Guanxi - connections
Rule of law creates conducive environment and parameters, sets rules and facilitates investment. Advantages: reducing transaction costs, increasing transparency and predictability.
Distinguishment: Gov will use law to maintain order, rule of law applied in accordance to rule by law

23
Q

On what legal basis can the Chinese gov be sued by its citizens and organizations? What are the major limitations in such a lawsuit?

A
Ministry of law reestablished in 1982.
Government can be sued by its people in terms of environment, class action possible. 
But Big businesses in China have lots of power because give lots of taxes.
24
What are the most common contract related law suits in China? What are the most common administrative litigation cases?
Contract related lawsuits: employment contracts, age discrimination, and intellectual security. Administrative litigation lawsuits: environment
25
What is judiciary local protectionism? Why is it so prevalent in China but not in the US?
Local courts protect local businesses because they have an incentive to tax them, etc. Local judges side with local enterprises. In China, courts are more concentrated than in the US
26
Explain the relationship between law and Guanxi 關係(connections) in the context of economic contracting.
Social capital and personal connections. | Laws may be viewed as more preferable.
27
Use the quantity equation of money to explain why the link between money growth and inflation in China is not as tight as in other countries.
MV = PQ Quantity equation determines price. Inflationary pressure induces fixed assets so overall inflation rises over actual price level. Estimated demand for money, real GDP, GDP deflator. Monetary conditions have tightened since 2004.
28
What are the Chinese gov policies to fight inflation? In which aspect has the Chinese gov used policy instruments that are different from those used by the US Federal Reserve Bank?
Keep rmb lower than actual. Policy trilemma of independent monetary policy, fixed exchange rate and free capital mobility. China has fixed exchange rate and independent monetary policy. US has free capital mobility and independent monetary policy.
29
What is the macroeconomic monetary policy pursued by the Chinese gov in the period between 1998 and 2002? What is the economic rationale?
The 1997 Asian financial crisis changed the economy, China took a hit. Slowdown in economic growth and deflation became a concern. Implemented expansionary monetary and fiscal policies. Monetary policy increases money supply and reduce interest rates. Monetary policy not really effective. Fiscal policy increases C, G, I. So gov increased spending. More effective and export tax.
30
What are the forces making pressure on Chinas's currency to appreciate since 2005?
2005 China moved away from dollar to basket of currency peg. Means China is more prone to appreciation or depreciation based on market forces. Fixed exchange rate pros and cons: Overvalued currency can lead to crisis. Undervalued currency, other countries don't like it and can lead to protectionist policies. External pressures: China has a huge trade surplus with the US and Europe. A lot of currency tied to interest rates. If China has a higher interest rates lead investments away. Domestic pressures: hard to control inflation. Big problem in last couple of years. Against: appreciation makes imports cheaper, exports more expensive to foreigners. Could lead to flood of ag imports.
31
Explain the reasons for the pressure of Yuan appreciation from the perspective of Chinas's domestic macroeconomic policies.
Domestic pressures: hard to control inflation. This has been a big problem in recent years. Against: imports would become cheaper and exports more expensive to foreigners. Fears that it would lead to flood of ag imports
32
Discuss the historical process of Chinas's regional economic emergence.
1950s: trade only with other centrally planned economies. 1960s: mostly self reliant 1970s: some import of textiles and food 1980s-1990s: big expansion in foreign trade. Now joining the WTO.
33
What is the Trade Triangle and what is its significance for China's role in Asia?
China is in a unique position. It has a huge domestic market, but also is very competitive in providing exports. But its dependence on exports and join WTO make it more dependent on the world economy. China is leaning towards appreciation, but also wants to sustain growth. The Trade Triangle is trade with Asia and rest of the world. China has a trade surplus with the rest of the world. With rest of Asia they provide imports of primary products to China. More comprehensive regionalism, supply chain integration. China takes over the high value of chain, so that they aren't competing on exports. Future, if likely appreciation, then more competition for imports because imports will be cheaper for China.
34
Discuss the linkage between Asian regional integration, China's WTO accession, and globalization.
China is in a unique position with the rest of the world. It has a huge domestic market but also very competitive in providing exports. But its dependence on exports and join WTO make it more dependent on world economy. China is leaning towards appreciation but it also wants to sustain economic growth. The Triangle is China, rest of Asia, and the rest of the world. China has a trade surplus with the rest of the world. With the rest of Asia, they provide imports of primary products to China. This has led to more comprehensive regionalism and supply chain integration with China taking the high value of the chain so that they are not competing on exports. Future, if likely appreciation, then more competition for imports because imports will be cheaper for China.
35
What are the significant issues regarding labor market dynamics for Chinas's sustained growth?
China has a huge shortage of Skilled labor. But addressing those issues through education and increasing capacity. How long can China sustain lower wages. Already have seen rise in wages and companies moving to other countries. How high does labor productivity have to be to match wages? Low birth rate demographic shifts and Aging population. Rural to urban migration is high. How long will continue?
36
Discuss how China's land, water, and energy resource can be expected to evolve over the next generation.
China is a resource constrained economy. Shortage of arable land and urban encroachment means less farm land. Recently buying farmland in Africa. High competition for limited water supply, which is scare and unevenly distributed. Middle class and urban areas have much higher water usage rates. How will be secure in future? Energy use, driven by urbanization, industrialization, income growth, and trade. Coal and renewable energy. China is a net importer of coal, a dependency. Import most of oil and non renewable energy. Appreciating currency will also impact energy use, cheaper.
37
What is China's appropriate role in global climate negotiations?
China is currently the largest absolute emitter of green house gases, but per capita is lower compared to the US. Some energy exported and some domestic. Infrastructure development is extremely energy intensive and leads to high carbon dioxide emissions. Urbanization is more energy intensive. Environmental conditions.
38
How does middle class emergence challenge Chinas's sustainable growth prospects?
``` China will have 38% of the worlds middle class by 2030. Implications for food supply, energy, water. Middle class has trade offs. Sign of economic growth and prosperity but middle class also have new demands (meat, water, better food, energy). How will China sustain. ```