Financial markets and monetary policy Flashcards

(17 cards)

1
Q

Money

A
  • Functions = med of exchange, unit of acc, store of value, stand of def pay
  • Char = acceptable, divisible, portable, scarce, divisible
  • Money supply = narrow (SR deposits), broad (total)
  • Equity = stakeholder cap
  • Debt = external finance
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2
Q

Financial markets

A
  • Sections
    –> Money (SR loans, LR govt borrowing, interbank lending)
    –> Capital (financial assets)
    –> Currency (spot, future)
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3
Q

Bonds/yields

A
  • Bonds = IOU’s, allow govt/firms to borrow from investors
  • Govt bonds = raise money for govt
  • Corp bonds = raise cap for production
  • Incentive = very secure
  • Treasury gilts = buy nominal value (£100)
  • Coupon = fixed amount paid each year (£5)
  • Maturity = get principal back (5 years)
  • Market price = value on secondary market (£115)
  • Yield = (coupon / market £) * 100
  • Market price inverse to yield
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4
Q

Phillips curve

A
  • Inverse relationship between inflation and unemployment rate
  • ↑unemp, ↓inflation = -ve output gap)
  • ↓unemp, ↑inflation = +ve output gap
  • LRPC = remain constant in the LR (self corrects)
  • SR = prioritise certain objs, tradeoffs inevitable
  • LR = policies to achieve all objs
  • EAPC = expected inflation caused inflation to rise
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5
Q

Commercial banks

A
  • What = financial institutions, make money selling services to customers (public)
  • Functions = take deposits, lend to borrowers
  • How = interest>returns, service fees, brokerage %
  • Balance sheet
    –> Assets = cash, BoE reserves, I, advancements, fixed assets
    –> Liabilities = deposits, borrowing
    –> Capital = shareholder funds, retained profit
  • Objectives = profitability, liquidity, security (conflict)
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6
Q

Investment banks

A
  • What = work for firms/govt not public
  • Functions = underwrite shares, trade shares/bonds, lend out, financial advisor, M&A advisor
  • How = underwriting, advisory fees, trading, asset management
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7
Q

Systemic risk

A
  • Interdependence causes financial system to crash
  • Commercial + investment banks take more risks
  • Severe econ downturn
  • Bank failure = recession, bailouts, unemp, lowY/output
  • Run on banks = everyone withdraws money at once in panic
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8
Q

Central bank

A
  • Functions
    –> Set bank rate
    –> Regulate banks
    –> Fin stability (bailouts, lender of last resort, liquidity assurance)
    –> Manage currency
    –> Policy research
    –> Mon policy authority
    –> Bank for govt/banks
  • Problems = moral hazard, insufficient liquidity, reg capture, bailouts unfair
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9
Q

Monetary policy

A
  • What
    –> BoE instrument to control inflation via bank rate, money supply and exchange rate
    –> Depends on = output gap, C/B conf, rate change
  • MPC
    –> Set bank rate
    –> Assess economy
    –> Consider GDP, unemp, inflation, exchange rate, housing £, I
  • Expansionary (↓rate,↑AD)
    –> ↑C = ↓S, ↑C, ↑Y, ↑GDP
    –> ↑I = cheaper to borrow
    –> ↑G = ↑spend, ↓interest
    –> ↑X = ↓currency(↓M,↑X)
    –> Pros = growth, ↓CA def, ↑I, ↓unemp
    –> Cons = ↑inflation, ↑M (↑AD), liquidity trap, -ve for savers, time lags
  • Contractionary (↑rate,↓AD)
    –> ↓C = ↓MPC, ↓C/Y/asset£/wealth/conf
    –> ↓I = delay purchases, ↑payments, ↓bus conf
    –> ↓G = dearer borrowing
    –> ↓X =↑currency (↑M,↓X)
    –> Pros = ↓inflation, discourage debt, ↑S, ↓asset £, ↓M (↓AD), future flexibility, sustainable lending
    –> Cons = ↓growth/emp, ↓I, ↑CA deficit, -ve impact on indebted
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10
Q

Transmission mechanism

A
  • How interest feeds through the economy causing inflation
    –> Market rate
    –> House prices
    –> Expectations
    –> Exchange rates
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11
Q

Quantitative easing/tightening

A
  • QE
    1) Add money BoE balance sheet
    2) Buy gilts
    3) Gilt price ↑
    4) Yield ↓ (inverse relationship)
    5) Interest rate ↓ (bank rate influences by yield
    6) ↑AD
    –> Pros = growth, ↓deflation, stabilise fin market, encourage I
    –> Cons = inflation, asset bubble, ↑Y, ↓efficiency
  • QT
    1) Stop buying gilts
    2) Existing gilts mature
    3) Hold principle + coupon in reserve
    4) ↓money in economy
    5) Interest rate ↑ (scarcity)
    6) ↓AD
    –> Pros = ↓inflation
    –> Cons = ↓growth, ↓liquidity, ↑volatility
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12
Q

Forward guidance

A
  • BoE communicated future mon policy (bank rate, QE, etc.)
  • Gradual guidance = ↓volatility
  • Types
    –> Time-based
    –> State-dependant
    –> Qualititative
    –> Threshold-based
    –> Open-ended
  • Pros = ↓uncertainty, ↑MP effect, support econ stability
  • Cons = credibility concerns, ↓flexibility, unintended consequences
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13
Q

Funding for lending

A
  • Launched to boost lending after 2008
  • Banks borrow cheaply, increases availability for borrowers
  • TFS = borrow near bank rate for 4 years
  • TFS with SME incentives
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14
Q

Financial market failure

A
  • Causes
    –> Excessive loss (speculation, asset bubbles, asymmetric info)
    –> Financial crisis/ recession
    –> Bank bailouts
  • Collusion to fix interest/ exchange rates against consumer interests
    –> Market rigging (fines)
  • Deregulation
    –> No capital/liquidity ratios
    –> No reserve requirements
    –> Use commercial funds for risky investments
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15
Q

Bank regulation

A
  • Limit freedoms to ensure ethical behaviours
  • Reasons
    –> Asymmetric info
    –> Moral hazard
    –> Market bubbles
    –> Market rigging
    –> Systemic risk
  • How banks can fail
    –> Lost confidence
    –> LR lending (lack liquidity)
    –> SR borrowing (credit crunch vulnerability)
    –> Risk incentive in investment division of commercial banks
  • Systemic risks (other banks fail)
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16
Q

UK financial regulators

A
  • FPC (Financial Policy Committee) - BoE
    –> Macroprudential
    –> Remove risks
    –> Instruct PRA/FCA
    –> Advise govt
    –> Raise awareness of systemic risk
  • PRA (Prudential Regulation Authority) - BoE
    –> Microprudential
    –> Set institute standards
    –> Maintain stability
    –> Supervise risk management
  • FCA (Financial Conduct Authority) - Treasury
    –> Regulate fin sector
    –> Protect C’s interests
    –> Ensure UK fin integrity
    –> Promote comp
    –> Supervise conduct/fin products
  • Oth = liquidity/capital ratios
17
Q

Problems with financial regulators

A
  • Moral hazard
  • Regulatory capture
  • Asym info (banks > reg)
  • Info failure (loopholes)
  • Unintended consequences (shadow banking, disincentivise commercial banking, bank failure)
  • Admin/enforcement costs